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All Policy Analysis by Patrick Clawson
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برجام زیر شمشیر داموکلس (بخش دوم) : یک راه میانه؟ پالیسی واچ ۲۸۶۸
تهدید به عدم تصدیق توافق اتمی از سوی رئیس جمهور آمریکا به دولت این کشور فرصتی برای تعامل با کسانی را مهیا میسازد که مایلند این توافق حفظ شود. از اینرو، رئیس جمهور باید به جای رویکرد «یا همه چیز یا هیچ»، از این اهرم به شکلی معقول استفاده کند.
۶ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
◆
کاترین باوئر
پاتریک کلاوسون
Brief Analysis
What To Expect After Iran's Election
The outcome is unlikely to bring much change to Tehran's foreign and security policy, but it will reveal how stable the Iranian system is when the powerful hardliners are decisively rejected by voters.
۱۹ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
Patrick Clawson
Nader Uskowi
Farzin Nadimi
Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
How Much Has the Trump Presidency Influenced Iran's Election?
As Iranians prepare to go to the polls, three experts discuss how the current campaign compares to past ones and what the outcome might mean for U.S. interests.
۱۸ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
Patrick Clawson
Nader Uskowi
Elham Gheytanchi
Brief Analysis
Iran's Presidential Election: The Economic Situation
Despite some positive growth indicators, Rouhani faces an uphill struggle to convince voters that his economic plan is truly best for them.
۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Patrick Clawson
Video
Inside Iran's 2017 Election: Economics, Politics, and National Security
In this short video, Institute scholars explain the economic, security, and political dynamics shaping Iran's 2017 presidential election and the future of Iranian policy.
۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
Patrick Clawson
Nader Uskowi
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Iran's Economy Post-Nuclear Deal: A Misleading IMF Scorecard
Iran's budget and banking system are being held hostage by unaccountable revolutionary institutions like the IRGC, but for some reason the IMF is not calling Tehran out on the glaring lack of transparency.
۱۰ مارس ۲۰۱۷
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Why Trump and Netanyahu Might Keep Iran Nuclear Deal After All
Despite the prime minister's distaste for the deal, he will likely ask Washington to enforce it to the hilt instead of shredding it -- something the Trump White House seems ready to do given its actions toward Iran thus far.
۱۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Matthew Levitt
Katherine Bauer
Patrick Clawson
In-Depth Reports
Reinforcing the Role of Sanctions in Restraining Iran
Even while the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action is in place, the Trump administration could bring significant pressure to bear on Iran. In this Policy Note, Institute fellows Katherine Bauer, Patrick Clawson, and Matthew Levitt look at the role of sanctions in restraining Iran's regional aggression and disrupting its global-terrorism
۱۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
Katherine Bauer
Patrick Clawson
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
۱۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
More Information Is Needed to Evaluate Implementation of the Iran Nuclear Deal
Experts need sufficient information to make informed judgments about whether the deal's terms are being implemented in full, and it is unclear whether any mechanism exists to detect procurement violations.
۱۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Katherine Bauer
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
۶ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
Patrick Clawson
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Syrian Kurds as a U.S. Ally:
Cooperation and Complications
This collection of essays by Washington Institute experts explores how the United States can work with--or, in some cases, around--the various actors in heavily Kurdish-populated northern Syria to advance the fight against the Islamic State and create long-term stability. Successive pieces look at the Kurds themselves, Turkey, Arabs in the
۱۸ نوامبر ۲۰۱۶
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Patrick Clawson
David Pollock
Soner Cagaptay
Andrew J. Tabler
Fabrice Balanche
Bilal Wahab
Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Obama Team Makes Defensible Actions on Iran Look Suspicious
If administration officials would simply explain their Iran decisions from the start rather than waiting for inevitable media leaks, they could ensure that any new revelations are small news items, not the subject of page one stories or congressional inquiries.
۸ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۶
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
۳۰ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
Patrick Clawson
Video
Brief Analysis
Energy and U.S. Middle East Policy in an Era of Plentiful Oil
Three experts discuss U.S. priorities in the Middle East, the potential upsides and downsides of increased American energy independence, and the consequences of low prices for various oil-producing states.
۴ اوت ۲۰۱۶
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Patrick Clawson
Simon Henderson
Helima Croft
Brief Analysis
۳ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
۲۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Why Iran Will Never Proceed with the Proposed Plane Purchases
In deciding whether to formally prohibit plane sales that already seem commercially infeasible, Washington should consider one question: if the Islamic Republic is going to shoot itself in the foot, why refuse it the gun?
۲۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Patrick Clawson
In-Depth Reports
Energizing Policy:
America and the Middle East in an Era of Plentiful Oil
Thanks to technical innovation, and despite oil price fluctuations, the United States is producing more of its own oil and using relatively less. With this decreased dependence on imported energy, the grave danger is that perceived U.S. indifference to Middle East developments could worry allies and embolden hostile forces. In
۲۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Patrick Clawson
Simon Henderson
Video
TWI Video Briefing: The JCPOA at One Year
One year after the signing of the nuclear deal with Iran, how has the agreement changed the Iranian economy, Tehran's foreign policy, and Russia's role in the Middle East? Watch video briefings by Washington Institute experts.
۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Matthew Levitt
Patrick Clawson
Anna Borshchevskaya
Dennis Ross
Katherine Bauer
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