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All Policy Analysis by Patrick Clawson
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In-Depth Reports
Assessing the Iran Nuclear Agreement and The Washington Institute’s Iran Study Group June 24 Policy Statement
Since the announcement of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), members of The Washington Institute’s Iran Study Group have met to assess the agreement’s relationship to the parameters outlined in the study group’s June 24 policy statement. Members of the study group have also benefited from several hours of
۴ اوت ۲۰۱۵
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Robert Satloff
Dennis Ross
James Jeffrey
David Makovsky
Patrick Clawson
Michael Eisenstadt
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
How Iran's Economic Gain from a Nuclear Deal Might Affect Its Foreign Policy
The additional resources unleashed by the agreement will put Iran in a better position to spend more on its various priorities, but how much it puts toward foreign adventurism will remain a political, not an economic, decision.
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۵
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Iranians Debate: What Next with the United States?
President Rouhani speaks of conciliation with the United States, but the differing bilateral descriptions of the parameters have some Iranians worried that a deal is by no means certain.
۶ آوریل ۲۰۱۵
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Mehdi Khalaji
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Khamenei's Silence: Iranian Reactions to the Nuclear Framework
Initial public statements by Iranian officials emphasize that the United States and its partners have accepted an outcome in which Tehran need not change course.
۳ آوریل ۲۰۱۵
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Mehdi Khalaji
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۵
◆
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Iran Adapts to Sanctions in the Absence of New Measures
When it comes to sanctions, continuously adopting new measures is the best way to convince Iran's leaders that they must resolve the nuclear impasse.
۲۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۵
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
۱۷ دسامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Potential Economic Impact of an Iran Deal
Although a nuclear agreement might encourage banks and investors to reengage with Iran, low oil prices and longstanding economic problems could affect how the deal is perceived.
۲۶ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
What Difference Would an Iran Deal Make?
Implementing a nuclear agreement will be no easier than reaching one, and Washington will have little influence over what Iran decides to do over time about the deal.
۲۵ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
Patrick Clawson
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
۲۳ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
۲۱ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
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Patrick Clawson
In-Depth Reports
How Iranians Might React to a Nuclear Deal
As the P5+1 and Iran negotiate about the nuclear impasse, Iranian factional politics has heated up. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has made disparaging comments about the nuclear negotiations, yet supported continuing the talks. The Rouhani government is facing a variety of criticisms: it is vigorously defending its record at
۱۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
Patrick Clawson
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Iran Can Afford to Say No to a Nuclear Deal
The Islamic Republic has taken tough measures to adjust to the new sanctions, and its economy is now positioned to grow modestly even if the sanctions remain in place.
۱۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۴
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Netanyahu and Obama to Review Progress on Iran
Recent U.S. efforts to enforce sanctions and insist on strict interpretation of the Geneva agreement provide a backdrop for the two leaders' upcoming discussion of the Iran nuclear issue.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۴
◆
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Why Are Congressional Democrats Considering New Iran Sanctions?
The president's fellow party members in Congress are unhappy about his perceived lack of coordination with them on various issues, leading to a potentially damaging impasse on Iran.
۱۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۴
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
۳ دسامبر ۲۰۱۳
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Patrick Clawson
In-Depth Reports
No Good Outcome:
How Israel Could Be Drawn into the Syrian Conflict
Given the complexities and dynamics of the Syrian conflict, it is distinctly possible that Israel could be drawn into the fighting. Perhaps more important, the risk of spillover will likely extend years into the future, since the war's aftermath will not include near-term peace between Syria and Israel. How can
۲۶ نوامبر ۲۰۱۳
◆
Patrick Clawson
Michael Eisenstadt
Matthew Levitt
David Schenker
Andrew J. Tabler
Jeffrey White
Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
۲۵ نوامبر ۲۰۱۳
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Making the Iran Nuclear Deal Work
Now that an Iran nuclear deal has been signed, the next challenge is implementation. This step will entail at least two major challenges: interpreting the agreement and progressing toward what the deal calls "the final step of a comprehensive solution."
۲۵ نوامبر ۲۰۱۳
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
۱۸ نوامبر ۲۰۱۳
◆
Patrick Clawson
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