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ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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Brief Analysis
Iran Confident As Sanctions Tighten
Iran sees itself in a strong position relative to the West and therefore believes it has little reason to be forthcoming in nuclear negotiations.
۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Putin's Trip to Israel Could Challenge Washington
The Russian leader's visit is expected to provide competition for U.S. diplomatic leadership on issues such as natural gas, Iran, and Syria.
۲۲ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
From Crisis to Cooperation:
Turkey's Relations with Washington and NATO
As recently as 2011, most discussions of the U.S-Turkey relationship necessarily focused on discord, disappointment, and growing concern. With memories of the Gaza flotilla incident and Turkish dissent on Iran sanctions still fresh, the horizon was clouded and turbulent. The intervening months have brought a dramatic turnaround, however. In this
۱۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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  • Rich Outzen
Articles & Testimony
Calling Iran's Bluff: It's Time to Offer Tehran a Civilian Nuclear Program
The ultimate goal of the ongoing nuclear negotiations with Iran, the next round of which commences in Moscow on June 18, has always been the same: Determining whether Iran is willing to accept that its nuclear program must be credibly limited in a way that precludes it from being able
۱۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Russia's Modest Hopes for the Moscow Summit with Iran
Despite widespread skepticism, Russian authorities still hope that the upcoming P5+1 summit will be another small step toward settlement of the Iranian nuclear issue.
۱۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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  • Nikolay Kozhanov
Interview: Dennis Ross on Iran, Peace Process, Egypt
On Tuesday 12 June, Ambassador Dennis Ross was interviewed by BICOM senior research fellow Professor Alan Johnson. The interview covered key policy issues facing Britain, Israel and the United States. The following is a transcript of their discussion.
۱۳ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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  • Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
Russia's Relations with Iran:
Dialogue without Commitments
Under current conditions, it would be naive to expect Russia to severely curtail its relations with Tehran or officially support the West's stance on the nuclear question. Given Iran's importance as a regional player, Moscow simply cannot afford confrontation with its southern neighbor. At the same time, Russia's pragmatic, cost-benefit
۱۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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  • Nikolay Kozhanov
In-Depth Reports
Beyond Worst-Case Analysis:
Iran's Likely Responses to an Israeli Preventive Strike
Although an Israeli preventive strike on Iran's nuclear program would be a high-risk endeavor carrying a potential for escalation in the Levant or the Persian Gulf, it would not be the apocalyptic event that some foresee. In this Policy Note, two Washington Institute military experts assess the likelihood of various
۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
How Tehran Is Outflanking Washington
Last week's talks in Baghdad between Iran and the P5-plus-1 -- the United States, Britain, China, France, Germany and Russia -- yielded no agreement. Paradoxically, however, both Washington and Tehran are likely to view the negotiations as successful, but for vastly different reasons. There is an interest that both Iran
۳۰ مهٔ ۲۰۱۲
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  • Michael Singh
Dennis Ross: Political Solution Still Possible with Iran
As world powers make their way to Baghdad for another meeting with Iran in an attempt to resolve the nuclear standoff, former US negotiator Dennis Ross tells Al-Hayat that a political solution is still possible on the issue. Ross, who closely worked on the Iranian file in the last three
۲۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Command and Control
This week, the world's major powers resumed negotiations with Iran over its nuclear program. Should they fail, the specter of a possible Israeli strike looms large, seeming to grow more likely as Tehran's nuclear program advances. In recent weeks, however, the conventional wisdom has shifted to favor the view that
۲۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۲
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  • David Makovsky
  • Olivia Holt-Ivry
Articles & Testimony
The Clerics vs. Modernity
While the Islamic Republic's soft power fails, the Iranian people's urge to integrate into world culture and economy is unprecedented.
۲۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۲
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Avoiding the Containment Trap with Iran
In one of the most memorable lines of his March 4, 2012, speech on the Middle East, President Obama declared, "Iran's leaders should understand that I do not have a policy of containment; I have a policy to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon." However, containment is rarely a
۲۲ مهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Too Early to Expect a Breakthrough on Iran
While the upcoming talks in Baghdad are unlikely to lead to a breakthrough, Washington should use them to determine whether a deal is ultimately possible.
۲۲ مهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
The Baghdad Nuclear Talks: Three Steps to Help Diplomacy Succeed
Although Washington may be tempted to take whatever progress it can get from this week's nuclear talks, the only agreement worth having is one that resolves Western concerns about Iran's nuclear activities while lessening the threat of military conflict.
۲۲ مهٔ ۲۰۱۲
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Prospects for Success in the Iran Nuclear Negotiations
While Tehran may be preparing the ground for an interim agreement on terms the West would accept, any deal-in-principle would have to be finalized, put into practice, and followed by fuller agreements.
۱۸ مهٔ ۲۰۱۲
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  • Patrick Clawson
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The Ayatollah of Rejection May Be Contemplating Compromise
Khamenei's dilemma: To compromise he must save face; but, to save face, he must not compromise.
۱۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Gulf Arab Leaders Meet to Discuss Syria and Iran
The upcoming GCC meeting in Riyadh reflects concern about events in Syria, fear of Iran, and anxieties about Washington's policies.
۱۱ مهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Iranian Security Threat in the Western Hemisphere:
Learning from Past Experience
World attention on Iran centers on the threats to international security posed by the country’s nuclear program. As Iran presses on in its efforts to become a nuclear power, the regime in Tehran also employs an aggressive foreign policy that relies heavily on the deployment of clandestine assets abroad to collect intelligence and support foreign operations, all of which are aimed at furthering Iranian foreign policy interests. From a U.S. perspective, Iran’s massive diplomatic presence in the Western Hemisphere presents a particularly acute problem. In response to Iran’s abuse of the diplomatic system, the international community should collectively press our friends and allies in Latin America to severely restrict the size of Iran’s diplomatic missions to the minimum needed to conduct official business.
۱۰ مهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Sanctions Are Only a Stop-Gap
The question is not whether sanctions have worked but whether the strategy they serve is correct.
۹ مهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Patrick Clawson

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