انرژی و اقتصاد

Policy Analysis on انرژی و اقتصاد

پرونده خاشقجی می‌تواند به زوال دوستی آمریکا و عربستان بینجامد

این هفته می‌تواند هفته‌ای پرآشوب برای سیاست آمریکا در خاورمیانه و برای بازار نفت باشد. در پاسخ به گفته‌هایی که انتظار می‌رفت پرزیدنت ترامپ در برنامه تلویزیونی «۶۰ دقیقه» دیشب بیان کند، دولت عربستان پیشاپیش در بیانیه‌ای «هرگونه تهدید یا هر تلاشی برای تخریب وجهه عربستان» را کاملا رد کرد.

۱۵ اکتبر ۲۰۱۸

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سایمون هندرسون

تحلیل کوتاه

واشنگتن باید در عقب‌نشینی خود از بصره بازنگری کند

بستن پایگاه دیپلماتیک و حیاتی آمریکا درعراق، پیام نادرستی درباره عزم آمریکا برای مقابله با فعالیت‌های بدخواهانه ایران ارسال می‌کند.

۱۰ اکتبر ۲۰۱۸

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مایکل نایتز

Articles & Testimony

The Worrisome Mystery of a Saudi Journalist’s Whereabouts

If Riyadh did in fact order Khashoggi’s detention, it may be miscalculating the likely negative impact on U.S. diplomacy and Western investment.

۳ اکتبر ۲۰۱۸

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

Terrorist Attack in Iran a Concern for Saudis, Oil Markets

Iranian disruption of Saudi production could wreak havoc on global oil markets, and be challenging to counter absent clear fingerprints from Tehran.

۲۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Cyprus Aims to Export Gas via Egypt

A new pipeline agreement will further establish Egypt as the energy hub of the Eastern Mediterranean.

۲۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

Reshaping U.S. Aid to the Palestinians

Plenty of good actors remain on both sides of the Green Line, and by partnering with them, Washington can build on what has worked since Oslo and discard what has failed.

۱۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸

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Dennis Ross
Dave Harden
David Makovsky

Brief Analysis

Israeli Gas Is Almost Ashore, But Challenges Remain

Environmental concerns, uncertainty over export routes, and future security risks overshadow the latest progress in bringing the Leviathan field online.

۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

Survey of Terrorist Groups and Their Means of Financing

A former Treasury official discusses how governments, banks, and other entities need to adapt constantly just to keep up with the evolving financial tactics used by terrorists and their supporters.

۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸

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Katherine Bauer

Brief Analysis

UNRWA Funding Cutoff: What Next?

Despite the attendant risks and public outcry, Washington’s decision to halt all aid to the agency could spur some reform without drastically affecting its core humanitarian services.

۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸

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James G. Lindsay

Brief Analysis

IRGC Navy Leadership Change May Not Signal Imminent Behavior Change

Despite the appointment of a radical anti-American commander, Iran’s naval forces are unlikely to resume frequent provocations without a strategic shift at the very top of the regime.

۵ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸

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Farzin Nadimi

A man manipulates cables on a bank of internet data servers - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

The Rise of the Cyber-Mercenaries

What happens when private Middle Eastern firms have cyberweapons as powerful as those owned by governments?

۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸

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Neri Zilber

Brief Analysis

Taking It Slow at Jordan’s Nasib Border Crossing with Syria

Besides raising security concerns, rushing to reopen the crossing would yield far fewer economic benefits than implementing recommended IMF reforms.

۳۰ اوت ۲۰۱۸

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Ben Fishman

Brief Analysis

Iran’s Response to Sanctions? Ignore Them

The current Iranian narrative—that economic problems stem from domestic mistakes rather than foreign pressure—complicates the U.S. policy of using sanctions to force change.

۲۹ اوت ۲۰۱۸

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Patrick Clawson

Articles & Testimony

Trump Wants to Help Israel by Cutting Aid to Palestinians. Why Are Some Israelis Worried?

Top IDF officials believe cuts could deepen the economic crisis in the West Bank and Gaza, put thousands of Palestinians out of work, and ultimately lead to violence.

۲۹ اوت ۲۰۱۸

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Neri Zilber

Brief Analysis

Breaking the Stalemate in the Egypt-Ethiopia Dam Dispute

Cairo needs Washington's help to avoid a drastic, potentially destabilizing water shortage while advancing the negotiations with Ethiopia.

۲۸ اوت ۲۰۱۸

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Barak Barfi

Brief Analysis

Saudi Arabia’s Confusing Signals

A further delay in the Saudi Aramco sell-off adds to a growing picture of policy unpredictability.

۲۴ اوت ۲۰۱۸

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Syrian Refugees in Turkey

The continued difficulty of integrating so many displaced people could make Ankara more amenable to a political solution that ends the war and allows large numbers of them to return home.

۲۲ اوت ۲۰۱۸

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Soner Cagaptay
Maya Yalkin

Video

Brief Analysis

Turkey Sanctions: Navigating a Historic Bilateral Crisis

Three experts examine the past drivers and near-term consequences of Washington’s rapidly escalating diplomatic conflict with Ankara.

۱۷ اوت ۲۰۱۸

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Amanda Sloat
Max Hoffman
Steven Cook

Brief Analysis

Iran's Passive Defense Organization: Another Target for Sanctions

Despite its nominal defense role, the NPDO has helped the regime repress citizens online, a function that Washington should counter with sanctions.

۱۶ اوت ۲۰۱۸

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Farzin Nadimi

Articles & Testimony

Turkey’s Economy May Be in Freefall, But Erdogan’s Base Believes He Can Do No Wrong

The president has cultivated an adoring crowd of inflexible ‘Erdoganists’ who feed on the politics of resentment and reject Ataturk’s pro-Western legacy entirely.

۱۶ اوت ۲۰۱۸

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Soner Cagaptay

Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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