انرژی و اقتصاد

Policy Analysis on انرژی و اقتصاد

The Middle East and the U.S.-China 'Trade War'

The price of oil is often directly related to global economic prospects, so Washington’s tariff tiff with Beijing could hit regional states doubly hard.

۱۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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David Pollock

Articles & Testimony

Trump Is a Belligerent Isolationist. But on Iran, He Needs Allies.

If the president wants to blunt Tehran’s sabotage campaign without a war, he needs to work closely with countries that share a stake in the free flow of oil.

۱۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Dennis Ross

Articles & Testimony

Iran Is Winning, but U.S. Has Options, in Gulf Crisis

Among other steps, Washington should release more intelligence on Tehran’s efforts to target energy assets while urging Gulf and European allies to visibly step up their military posture.

۱۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Simon Henderson

تحلیل کوتاه

سیاست خاورمیانه‌ای چین: نرم حرف بزن و پول حسابی نشان بده

یک تحلیل‌گر اسرائیلی مشاهدات خود را از گفت‌وگوهای فشرده با مقامات ارشد نظامی، دیپلماتیک، و آکادمیک چین در این مطلب به اشتراک گذاشته است.

۱۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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ایهود یاری

Brief Analysis

Iran Seems Prepared for Major—But Measured—Escalation in the Gulf

The latest round of shipping attacks could be another notch in Tehran’s controlled military response to U.S. pressure, and bolder escalatory actions should be expected given the bleak outlook for negotiations.

۱۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Farzin Nadimi

Brief Analysis

East Mediterranean Energy and Middle East Peace

The slow but steady progress in developing offshore gas fields is transforming local economies and could underpin U.S. peace plans.

۱۳ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

Oil Prices Up on Tanker Attacks, But Long-Term Trend Looks Down

Ultimately, sabotage operations in the Gulf may prove to be less impactful than Russian engagement with OPEC, a global economic slowdown, and other geopolitical factors.

۱۳ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Lebanon and Israel Are Set to Negotiate: What’s at Stake?

Although Hezbollah and its allies might use the upcoming talks as a mere stalling tactic, negotiators will still have opportunities to exploit the group’s domestic vulnerabilities.

۱۲ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Hanin Ghaddar

Brief Analysis

The Face-Off Over Gulf Arms Sales: ‘Emergency’ or False Alarm?

As Congress questions whether certain arms sales merit emergency treatment, the White House may have opened a Pandora’s box of long-term consequences for legislative oversight, Gulf relations, and defense profits.

۱۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Dana Stroul

Brief Analysis

Israel’s Election Redo: Implications for the Trump Peace Plan

The U.S. and Israeli electoral calendars will likely impede any grand peace plan for the foreseeable future, so the administration should instead focus on immediate stabilization measures leading up to and during the Bahrain economic conference.

۳۱ مه ۲۰۱۹

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David Makovsky

Brief Analysis

Iraqi Kurdistan Chooses a New President, But Internal Rifts Deepen

The latest step toward ending the KRG’s political gridlock obscures more-worrisome Kurdish divisions, many of which threaten wider U.S.-Iraqi security and economic interests.

۳۰ مه ۲۰۱۹

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Bilal Wahab

Multimedia

Brief Analysis

The Ends of Iran: Next Steps for Tehran and Its Neighbors

The former head of U.S. naval operations in the Gulf joins two military and diplomatic experts for a discussion on Iran's strategic calculus, allied perspectives, and Washington's policy options.

۳۰ مه ۲۰۱۹

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Michael Eisenstadt
John Miller
Barbara A. Leaf

Articles & Testimony

A Deal Trump and Khamenei Could Make

Iran says it won’t negotiate with Washington under pressure, but it has done so in the past and might again.

۲۹ مه ۲۰۱۹

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Dennis Ross

تحلیل کوتاه

شایعه‌های جنگ: پاسخ به رفتار نامطلوب ایران در خلیج فارس

واشنگتن باید تنش‌ها را کاهش دهد، خطوط تماس را باز نگه دارد، و بازدارندگی را احیا کند، گرچه مدیریت تضاد میان این اهداف، چالش‌برانگیز خواهد بود.

۱۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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مایکل آیزنستات
فرزین ندیمی

Articles & Testimony

Russian Activities in Africa

An in-depth look at Putin’s economic, military, and diplomatic outreach to the continent, which has extended well past North African states following his successful power play in Syria.

۱۶ مه ۲۰۱۹

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Anna Borshchevskaya

تحلیل کوتاه

نفت سعودی، آماج آتش ايران

حمله به نفت‌کش‌های نزدیک تنگه هرمز و خط لوله‌ اصلی نفت عربستان سعودی در داخل این کشور، به بحران نوظهور خلیج شتاب داده است و می‌تواند باعث افزایش جهانی قیمت‌‌ها شود.

۱۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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سایمون هندرسون

Articles & Testimony

Saudi Prince's Scorecard on New 'Vision' Looks Good—With Caveats

Change is certainly happening in the kingdom, but it hasn’t been smooth, and doesn’t look like it will be so in the future either.

۱۲ مه ۲۰۱۹

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Simon Henderson

تحلیل کوتاه

التحكيم في مسألة خط أنابيب العراق-تركيا: تفادي الكارثة في السياسات

يشكّل خط الأنابيب بين العراق وتركيا ملكية مشتركة بين الدولتين ويخضع للاتفاقيات الدولية. ومن وجهة نظر أنقرة، تسمح هذه الاتفاقيات لـ «إقليم كردستان العراق» بالوصول إلى خط الأنابيب مباشرةً، لكنّ بغداد ترى الأمور بطريقة مختلفة وقد رفعت دعوى على تركيا أمام "غرفة التجارة الدولية". وبينما تُشرف هيئة التحكيم في هذه

۸ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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مایکل نایتز

Brief Analysis

Iran’s Six Potential Nuclear Steps

Hoping to pressure Europe into providing more concessions, Tehran may threaten to reduce its commitments under the nuclear deal, but can it avoid escalation with Washington while doing so?

۷ مه ۲۰۱۹

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Omer Carmi

Articles & Testimony

U.S.-Iran, Israel-Gaza Turn Mideast into a Danger Zone Again

American ships and bombers are arriving in the Gulf at a time when nerves are raw and various players are making risky escalation wagers.

۶ مه ۲۰۱۹

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Simon Henderson

Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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