انرژی و اقتصاد

Policy Analysis on انرژی و اقتصاد

The Face-Off Over Gulf Arms Sales: ‘Emergency’ or False Alarm?

As Congress questions whether certain arms sales merit emergency treatment, the White House may have opened a Pandora’s box of long-term consequences for legislative oversight, Gulf relations, and defense profits.

۱۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Dana Stroul

Brief Analysis

Israel’s Election Redo: Implications for the Trump Peace Plan

The U.S. and Israeli electoral calendars will likely impede any grand peace plan for the foreseeable future, so the administration should instead focus on immediate stabilization measures leading up to and during the Bahrain economic conference.

۳۱ مه ۲۰۱۹

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David Makovsky

Brief Analysis

Iraqi Kurdistan Chooses a New President, But Internal Rifts Deepen

The latest step toward ending the KRG’s political gridlock obscures more-worrisome Kurdish divisions, many of which threaten wider U.S.-Iraqi security and economic interests.

۳۰ مه ۲۰۱۹

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Bilal Wahab

Multimedia

Brief Analysis

The Ends of Iran: Next Steps for Tehran and Its Neighbors

The former head of U.S. naval operations in the Gulf joins two military and diplomatic experts for a discussion on Iran's strategic calculus, allied perspectives, and Washington's policy options.

۳۰ مه ۲۰۱۹

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Michael Eisenstadt
John Miller
Barbara A. Leaf

Articles & Testimony

A Deal Trump and Khamenei Could Make

Iran says it won’t negotiate with Washington under pressure, but it has done so in the past and might again.

۲۹ مه ۲۰۱۹

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Dennis Ross

تحلیل کوتاه

شایعه‌های جنگ: پاسخ به رفتار نامطلوب ایران در خلیج فارس

واشنگتن باید تنش‌ها را کاهش دهد، خطوط تماس را باز نگه دارد، و بازدارندگی را احیا کند، گرچه مدیریت تضاد میان این اهداف، چالش‌برانگیز خواهد بود.

۱۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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مایکل آیزنستات
فرزین ندیمی

Articles & Testimony

Russian Activities in Africa

An in-depth look at Putin’s economic, military, and diplomatic outreach to the continent, which has extended well past North African states following his successful power play in Syria.

۱۶ مه ۲۰۱۹

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Anna Borshchevskaya

تحلیل کوتاه

نفت سعودی، آماج آتش ايران

حمله به نفت‌کش‌های نزدیک تنگه هرمز و خط لوله‌ اصلی نفت عربستان سعودی در داخل این کشور، به بحران نوظهور خلیج شتاب داده است و می‌تواند باعث افزایش جهانی قیمت‌‌ها شود.

۱۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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سایمون هندرسون

Articles & Testimony

Saudi Prince's Scorecard on New 'Vision' Looks Good—With Caveats

Change is certainly happening in the kingdom, but it hasn’t been smooth, and doesn’t look like it will be so in the future either.

۱۲ مه ۲۰۱۹

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Simon Henderson

تحلیل کوتاه

التحكيم في مسألة خط أنابيب العراق-تركيا: تفادي الكارثة في السياسات

يشكّل خط الأنابيب بين العراق وتركيا ملكية مشتركة بين الدولتين ويخضع للاتفاقيات الدولية. ومن وجهة نظر أنقرة، تسمح هذه الاتفاقيات لـ «إقليم كردستان العراق» بالوصول إلى خط الأنابيب مباشرةً، لكنّ بغداد ترى الأمور بطريقة مختلفة وقد رفعت دعوى على تركيا أمام "غرفة التجارة الدولية". وبينما تُشرف هيئة التحكيم في هذه

۸ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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مایکل نایتز

Brief Analysis

Iran’s Six Potential Nuclear Steps

Hoping to pressure Europe into providing more concessions, Tehran may threaten to reduce its commitments under the nuclear deal, but can it avoid escalation with Washington while doing so?

۷ مه ۲۰۱۹

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Omer Carmi

Articles & Testimony

U.S.-Iran, Israel-Gaza Turn Mideast into a Danger Zone Again

American ships and bombers are arriving in the Gulf at a time when nerves are raw and various players are making risky escalation wagers.

۶ مه ۲۰۱۹

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Simon Henderson

President Donald Trump meeting with King Salman in Saudi Arabia in 2017 - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

The U.S. and Saudi Arabia Can’t Get a Divorce

Even amid growing exasperation over Riyadh’s behavior, realities on the ground and in the global economy show why the relationship is still crucial.

۱ مه ۲۰۱۹

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Dennis Ross

Brief Analysis

Israel’s Armistice with Hamas, Growing Tensions with Abbas

Releasing the U.S. peace plan could accelerate recent Palestinian political dynamics, with Hamas consolidating its position via ceasefire and reconstruction aid while the PA continues isolating itself.

۲۴ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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Ehud Yaari

Articles & Testimony

More Money at the Gas Pump May Be the Price of Pressuring Iran

President Trump may be counting on the fact that U.S. voters oppose both higher gas prices and another war, but in the end he may have to pick one or the other.

۲۳ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Renewing the Iran Sanctions Waivers (Part 2): Energy and Afghan Trade

Washington should phase out the oil waivers carefully and prevent Chabahar port from becoming an escape valve for Iran.

۲۲ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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Patrick Clawson

تحلیل کوتاه

تجدید معافیت‌ تحریم‌های ایران (بخش ۱): فعالیت‌های هسته‌ای

نه حذف کامل تحریم‌ها و نه تمدید همه آن‌ها، هیچ‌کدام بهترین روش کار نیست، بلکه برخی از معافیت‌های درحال‌انقضا، اگر به‌درستی –و به‌طور علنی– مورد بازبینی قرار گیرند، می‌توانند به منافع آمریکا کمک کنند.

۲۲ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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پاتریک کلاوسون

Articles & Testimony

Does Designation of the Revolutionary Guards Make a Difference?

The handful of new tools in question could expose Iraqi officials to sanctions and criminal liability given Baghdad's energy dependency on Iran.

۱۸ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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Matthew Levitt

Brief Analysis

How Sanctions Are Affecting Iran’s Airline Industry

Greater delays, downtime, and problems acquiring new planes have made Iran feel the heat, but its civil aviation sector continues to generate revenue for the regime.

۱۷ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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Farzin Nadimi

Articles & Testimony

Don't Pull Back from the Middle East

Safeguarding America’s widely agreed interests in the Middle East requires a substantial presence, as does the region’s tendency to export insecurity.

۱۶ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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Robert Satloff

Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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