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مقالهها و دیدگاهها
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Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Disaster Dynamics:
Assessing Middle East Responses to the Turkey-Syria Earthquake and Other Destructive Events
Regional generosity was on display after the February 6 temblor, but aid decisions do appear to be driven by political considerations.
۳ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Sarah Cahn
Erik Yavorsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Opposition in the Iranian Diaspora and among Iranian Reformers: The Case of Mousavi
As an Iranian opposition coalesces in the diaspora, challenges loom on the horizon. How the diaspora approaches reformists inside Iran calling for a new constitution will help demonstrate just how cohesive Iran’s disparate opposition groups can become.
۳ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Majid Nikouei
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
How Militia Digital Media Avoid Domain Seizure and Blocking
Outlets run by terrorist groups Kataib Hezbollah and Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba continue to modify their domain names and social media brands to dodge shutdowns.
۲ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Ranw Hassan
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq’s Endless Electoral Law Debate
The Coordination Framework is poised to yet again change Iraq's electoral law, continuing a history of such changes that have destabilized and delegitimized the political system.
۲ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Feyzullah Tuna Aygün
Articles & Testimony
Turkey’s Disaster—and Erdogan’s: How the Earthquake Could Spell the End of His Rule
The president might find the current situation ominously similar to two decades ago, when a combination of devastating natural disaster and deep public dissatisfaction swept his Islamist faction to power.
۱ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Is Iran Ready to Build a Nuclear Bomb or Not?
The Biden administration’s mixed messages about the significance of new enrichment revelations will make it more difficult to decide next steps.
۱ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham and Imagined Communities in Its Proto-State
The jihadist group has been releasing upbeat online briefs about various locales under its control, seemingly aiming to unite residents in northwest Syria and soften its image abroad.
۱ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Sarah Cahn
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Israel Expands Settlements as Smotrich Increases His Authority
Amid widening West Bank violence, the far-right minister is pursuing a policy leading to de facto annexation, and it is unclear whether Netanyahu will cap these ambitions.
۱ مارس ۲۰۲۳
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David Makovsky
David Patkin
Gabriel Epstein
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Netanyahu Government’s Approach to Russia and Ukraine
Despite increased pressure on both sides, Netanyahu is likely to maintain Israel's nonaligned approach to the conflict in Ukraine in an effort to preserve his immediate regional interests.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
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Daniel Rakov
In-Depth Reports
Iran’s Nuclear Endgame Warrants a Change in U.S. Strategy
The regime's latest step on uranium enrichment should compel the United States and its partners to snap back sanctions, bolster military deterrence, and plan for potential crisis scenarios.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Jihadi “Counterterrorism”: Hayat Tahrir al-Sham Versus the Islamic State
An in-depth look at how the Syrian group has sought to differentiate itself from other jihadist terrorist organizations, but with only partial success despite a decade’s worth of political evolution.
Feb 2023
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
تحلیل کوتاه
نتایج سفر رئیسی به چین بیشتر نمادین است تا واقعی
سفر رئیسجمهور ایران به پکن به همراه هیاتی عالیرتبه تاکید دوبارهای بود بر محدودیتهای رابطه ایران و چین و احتمالاً باعث افزایش بیمیلی تهران به سازش هستهای خواهد شد.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
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هنری رُم
Brief Analysis
To Prevent the PA from Unraveling, Address Internal Reform
Reversing the dangerous trends in Palestinian domestic dynamics is a complicated undertaking, but failure to address these issues will ultimately hobble any diplomatic and security understandings reached on West Bank de-escalation.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
Ghaith al-Omari
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
How the Popular Mobilization Forces Exploited Syria's Earthquake
Now that Iraqi PMF groups can deploy to Syria with Baghdad's formal authorization, many cross-border militant activities may accelerate under the cover of earthquake relief.
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
Erik Yavorsky
◆
Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
The Ukraine War & the Middle East
One Year On
In a series of policy articles, media presentations, and media appearances, Washington Institute scholars discuss what could lie ahead for Ukraine, the Middle East, and the world as the war enters its second year.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
Shaina Katz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Putin’s Position in MENA and the Turkish Elections
Putin’s shift in MENA policy suggests efforts to smooth the way for Erdoğan’s electoral bid.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
Baraa Sabri
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Gulf Navigates a Multipolar World
Amid global uncertainty, Gulf states are seeking to strike a delicate balance between old and new partners.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
Fawzi al-Zubaidi
Articles & Testimony
Is Ukraine the ‘War Before the War’?
As with Russia, Persian Gulf states may be reluctant to cross Beijing if conflict erupts in Asia, but Washington should remind them that even narrow financial action can help counter any Chinese moves on Taiwan.
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Israel Planning to Export Gas via LNG Ship
The option, which would take several years to develop, would reduce or even remove the current need to export gas via Egypt.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
Simon Henderson
Maps & Graphics
تحلیل کوتاه
رونمایی ایران از پایگاه هوایی زیرزمینی جدید
این تاسیسات ظاهرا برای انجام ماموریتهای رهگیری و مقابله دریایی غافلگیرکننده در منطقه خلیج فارس ساخته شده است و عمدتا برای هدف گرفتن داراییهای ناوگان پنجم آمریکا ــهرچند شاید توانایی آشیانه دادن به ناوگان احتمالی آینده ایران متشکل از جتهای روسی را نداشته باشد.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
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