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Articles & Testimony
Turkey Is in Serious Trouble
The country has seen periods of turmoil before, but this time may be different.
۵ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Assessing the U.S. Aircraft Carrier Gap in the Gulf
An uninterrupted regional carrier presence would be preferable, given the host of threats, but these heavily used warships must undergo maintenance now to stay effective.
۵ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
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Cmdr. Ryan T. Tewell
Brief Analysis
Iran's Majlis Unlikely to Settle Internal Dispute on the Nuclear Deal
The release of a special-committee report to the Majlis will be seized on by hardliners, who will continue to voice their opposition even in the probable event implementation goes forward.
۲ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Mahmoud Abbas's Bombshell Fizzles
His alarmist declarations at the UN won't make a Palestinian state more likely, but now would be an ideal time to quietly probe key Arab and Israeli leaders on whether their converging regional fears can be used to address the Palestinian issue.
۲ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Iran's Iraqi Shiite Proxies Increase Their Deployment to Syria
Recent online activities show that various Iranian-backed Iraqi Shiite militias have greatly expanded their recruitment efforts in support of the Assad regime, including numerous reports of significant battlefield action.
۲ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
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Phillip Smyth
Articles & Testimony
Misanalysis Makes a Mess
U.S. policy in Syria is failing because the Obama administration is prioritizing the urgent (rolling back ISIS) over the truly important (preventing Iran and Russia from rearranging Middle East security to their benefit).
۲ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
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Robert Satloff
James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
Dismissal of Algerian Intelligence Chief: A New Phase in Algerian History?
General Toufik's departure could end the contest of wills between the intelligence and political leadership, but Algeria's democratic transition will likely remain on the back burner amid dire economic and security concerns.
۲ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
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Yacine Boudhane
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Viability of a Second Sykes-Picot
Given the reluctance of Western powers to intervene in today's Middle East crises, hopes and fears regarding a new grand resolution may be overblown.
۲ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
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Hassan Mneimneh
Articles & Testimony
The Future of Kurdistan
Whether Iraqi Kurdistan becomes a de facto or de jure nation, it will face the same challenge that all oil-dependent states face: the need to diversify its economy, create good jobs, and live within its means as a hedge against fluctuating oil prices.
۲ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
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Michael Knights
Video
Brief Analysis
Russia's Military Escalation in Syria
Following Vladimir Putin's address to the UN General Assembly, a panel of Institute experts detailed the scope of Moscow's military buildup in Syria and its likely objectives and implications.
۱ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
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Fabrice Balanche
Anna Borshchevskaya
Andrew J. Tabler
Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Chase Utley, Ruben Tejada, and the Long History of the Mets Avenging Injustices
Nearly 48 hours later, Mets fans are still reeling. Dodgers second baseman Chase Utley's filthy, far-to-the-right-of-the-bag slide into Mets shortstop Ruben Tejada during Saturday night's playoff game ended Tejada's postseason and could end his career, while the umpires' boobish mishandling of the ruling on the field cost the Mets the
۱ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
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Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Toward a Realistic Assessment of the Gulf States Taking in Syrians
Since 2011, the Arab Gulf monarchies have likely absorbed several hundred thousand Syrians under temporary circumstances.
۳۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۵
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Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Elections (Part 2): Salafis Use Education to Campaign
Amid growing public concern about their ideological associations with ISIS, Salafist political parties and their 'quietist' critics have been using students and educational institutions as a pulpit for questioning each other's legitimacy.
۳۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۵
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Jacob Olidort
Brief Analysis
Initial Russian Strikes in Syria Are Not Targeting ISIS
The first wave of Russian airstrikes seemed to focus on rebel areas that threaten the Assad regime's Alawite heartland, showing that Moscow is more focused on seizing the mantle in Syria's war than fighting terrorists.
۳۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۵
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Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Two First-Steps to Repair the U.S.-Israel Relationship
Renewed security upgrade talks would go a long way toward mending relations, and Netanyahu could further help matters by engaging members of Congress who may have been rankled by his previous U.S. visit.
۳۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۵
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Obama at the UN: Reality Dawning, But Diplomacy Without Teeth Remains His Response
Although the president's speech correctly diagnosed the latest grave challenges to the international order, he has yet to acknowledge that belligerent actors will not respond to U.S. diplomatic signals unless they are backed by U.S. military power.
۲۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۵
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James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
How Obama Played Into Putin's Hands at the UN
The Russian leader's UN speech repeated his longstanding narrative of moral equivalence, and the blatant hypocrisy of his foreign and domestic policy has gone largely unchallenged by the Obama administration.
۲۸ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۵
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Syria's Good Neighbors: How Jordan and Lebanon Sheltered Millions of Refugees
If the war and its resultant mass refugee flows continue, economic and social pressures could destabilize Jordan and Lebanon, steering more displaced Syrians toward Europe.
۲۸ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۵
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Replacing Hamas: Iran's New Proxy Militia in Gaza
With millions of dollars in Iranian funding, a marginal PIJ splinter faction is aiming to establish a powerful, Hezbollah-style proxy in Gaza.
۲۸ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Elections (Part 1): Al-Nour Goes on the Defensive
Recognizing the recent threats to its ideology, the Salafist Nour Party seems bent on maximizing its prospects in the upcoming elections by downplaying its doctrinal rigidity, holding onto its constituents, and expanding its popular support base.
۲۸ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
Jacob Olidort
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