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سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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تحلیل کوتاه
هدف احتمالی عمليات ادلب در مرحله اول: شورشیان تحت حمايت ترکیه
اگر اسد و متحدان‌اش راهبرد قبلی‌شان را ادامه دهند، حمله اولیه به ادلب ممکن است محدود باشد، هرچند باز هم باعث سرازیر شدن سیل عظیمی از پناهندگان خواهد شد و منجر به شکافی جدی میان ترکیه و روسیه می‌شود.
۱۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • فابريس بالانش
Trump in a Meeting with Putin
Articles & Testimony
On Syria, the U.S. Can Drive a Hard Bargain with Russia
Putin gives nothing away without a price. To protect America’s interests, neither should Trump.
۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Survey of Terrorist Groups and Their Means of Financing
A former Treasury official discusses how governments, banks, and other entities need to adapt constantly just to keep up with the evolving financial tactics used by terrorists and their supporters.
۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
Taking It Slow at Jordan’s Nasib Border Crossing with Syria
Besides raising security concerns, rushing to reopen the crossing would yield far fewer economic benefits than implementing recommended IMF reforms.
۳۰ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Syrian Refugees in Turkey
The continued difficulty of integrating so many displaced people could make Ankara more amenable to a political solution that ends the war and allows large numbers of them to return home.
۲۲ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Maya Yalkin
Articles & Testimony
The Great Middle Eastern War of 2019
Far from simply replaying the 2006 Lebanon war, the next conflict on Israel’s northern frontier will likely involve many more actors on multiple fronts, raising unprecedented challenges for escalation management.
۲۰ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Nadav Ben Hour
  • Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
Neither Remaining Nor Expanding: The Decline of the Islamic State
The eighth volume in the Institute's Counterterrorism Lecture Series features expert briefings by officials, business leaders, and CT practitioners from 2016 and 2017.
۲۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah's Corruption Crisis Runs Deep
The group's involvement in human trafficking and other criminal activities is far more extensive than Nasrallah cares to admit, going beyond anything his anti-corruption committee is likely to address.
۲۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Putin’s Golan Comments: Implications for Israeli Security
Moscow has seemingly reaffirmed Israel’s right to keep Iranian forces away from the Golan frontier, but it is unclear whether Assad’s southern offensive will actually help or hinder that goal in the long term.
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Syria Could Be on Trump-Putin Agenda, But Options for a Deal Are Slim
In addition to his poor record on keeping promises, Putin has no ability or desire to genuinely restrain Iran, leaving little room for substantive dealmaking.
۱۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Trump in a Meeting with Putin
Video
Getting Syria Right at the Trump-Putin Summit
Keeping U.S. troops in place is critical to our national security, but American interests don't require the large-scale, long-term ground force that many fear.
۱۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • James Jeffrey
  • Barbara A. Leaf
  • Dennis Ross
President Donald Trump speaks about Syria
In-Depth Reports
Toward a New U.S. Policy in Syria
Ground Zero for Countering Iran and Deterring an Islamic State Revival
Today, Syria is the sole battlefield in the world where American, Russian, Turkish, Iranian, and Israeli military forces all operate, along with a kaleidoscope of proxy actors foreign and domestic. As the preeminent arena of strategic competition in the Middle East and a wellspring of potential Islamic State resurgence, Syria
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Katherine Bauer
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • James Jeffrey
  • Barbara A. Leaf
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Dennis Ross
  • Robert Satloff
Trump in a Meeting with Putin
Articles & Testimony
We Already Gave Syria to Putin, So What’s Left for Trump to Say?
Given Moscow's repeatedly broken promises, the president should make clear that the United States will stay in Syria to continue fighting the Islamic State—and to back Israel against Iran if necessary.
۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Accepting Regime Forces in South Syria Will Only Further Iran’s Goals
Whether openly or in disguise, Hezbollah and other Iranian proxies are deploying to the south in large numbers, greatly increasing the potential for cross-border escalation.
۲۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Phillip Smyth
In-Depth Reports
A Tale of Six Tribes: Securing the Middle Euphrates River Valley
THE ISLAMIC STATE is now largely defeated militarily, with the U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces taking the eastern bank of the Euphrates River and a mosaic of largely Iran- and Russia-supported Assad-regime forces taking areas west of the river. As anti-IS operations wind down and the Trump administration considers its options
۲۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Video
Brief Analysis
North Korea in the Middle East: A Dangerous Military Supply Line
Pyongyang has long threatened U.S. regional allies and interests with military support for terrorists, militias, and hostile regimes. Can a potential bilateral deal sever these supply lines?
۱۲ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Anthony Ruggiero
  • Kongdan Oh
  • Jay Solomon
Brief Analysis
Iran Will Spare Hezbollah in Its Conflict with Israel, for Now
Hezbollah is an organic part of the IRGC-QF, so its purported desire to distance itself from Iran would only mean its end.
۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Nader Uskowi
Brief Analysis
Will U.S.-Turkish Progress on Manbij Lead to Wider Cooperation in Syria?
The feuding NATO allies have apparently agreed on a concrete roadmap for rolling back the Kurds, but broader strategic cooperation would require them to overcome tall political obstacles.
۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Maps & Graphics
تحلیل کوتاه
وزارت خزانه‌داری فشار بر شرکت‌های هواپیمایی ایران را افزایش می‌دهد
دید‌بان سیاست‌گذاری ۲۹۷۶
شمار زیادی هواپیما به صورت انفرادی و نیز شرکت‌های صوری به فهرست تحریم‌های وزارت خزانه‌داری ایالات متحده افزوده شده است‌، اما افزایش هر چه بیشتر نام‌های این لیست است که می‌تواند به تقویت تلاش‌های آمریکا برای فشار بر ایران و انسداد پل هوایی سپاه پاسداران به سوریه منتج شود.
۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • فرزین ندیمی
Russian president Vladimir Putin
Articles & Testimony
Current Turmoil in Middle East Producing One Winner: Putin
Even though Moscow seems less invested in Iran's presence in Syria, Putin's political opportunism should still draw concern from Israel and the United States.
۲۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya

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