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سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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Turkey’s Syria Offensive Puts Alliance with U.S. Near Breaking Point
Erdogan is relying on his personal relationship with President Trump to stave off congressional anger, but bilateral ties cannot function if civilian and military agencies lack faith in each other.
۹ اکتبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Trump’s Troop Withdrawal Gives Turkey Access to Syria—and ISIS Space to Rebuild
If the president insists on removing U.S. forces before conditions on the ground are sufficiently stable, he will clear the way for a terrorist resurgence.
۸ اکتبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Dana Stroul
In-Depth Reports
Shifting Landscape:
Russia's Military Role in the Middle East
In September 2015, Moscow made its first push outside former Soviet borders when it authorized airstrikes in Syria. More pertinently, the move—and Russia's broader intervention in Syria—constituted a step toward reshaping the whole regional balance of power, taking advantage of a diminishing U.S. footprint. According to the Russian defense minister
۲۵ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
In-Depth Reports
Syria Study Group 2019:
Final Report and Recommendations
A comprehensive, bipartisan look at how the U.S. government can still achieve important objectives on various fronts, from countering terrorist groups and Iran to addressing refugee and humanitarian issues.
۲۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Michael Singh
  • Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
Huras al-Din: The Overlooked al-Qaeda Group in Syria
Although it still relies on its stronger rival to operate, the ascendant affiliate has been cementing its presence in Idlib province, attracting other factions to its banner, and potentially setting itself up to lead a future insurgency.
۲۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
The ‘Rebuild Syria’ Exhibition: Iranian Influence and U.S. Sanctions
This year’s show provides a window into Tehran’s strategy for cementing its soft power, and may point to potential sanctions violations by companies from U.S. partner countries.
۱۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Oula A. Alrifai
Brief Analysis
Iraq’s Air Defense Conundrum: Options for U.S. Policy
Baghdad is under pressure to show it can protect its airspace, but procuring Russian or Iranian equipment might complicate U.S.-Iraq relations without addressing the triggers for Israeli strikes.
۱۲ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
The North Korean-Israeli Shadow War
Whenever nuclear weapons technology appears in the hands of Israel’s enemies, Pyongyang is usually involved.
۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Jay Solomon
Brief Analysis
The Campaign Between Wars: How Israel Rethought Its Strategy to Counter Iran’s Malign Regional Influence
The architects of a landmark shift in IDF doctrine explain why the change was necessary, and how it has helped delay full-scale war even while forcefully confronting Tehran’s hegemonic ambitions.
۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Gadi Eisenkot
  • Gabi Siboni
Brief Analysis
How Will Hezbollah Respond to Israel’s Drone Attack?
With the IDF seemingly expanding its missile hunt to Lebanon and Iraq, the actions of Iran’s proxies, their host governments, and U.S. officials will do much to determine if wider escalation is in the cards.
۲۸ اوت ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah’s Lebanese Allies Can Be Contained
The group’s local partners complied when U.S. officials warned them to back off a recent political smear campaign, but more should be done to expose and exploit their rifts.
۱۳ اوت ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
U.S. Safe Zone Deal Can Help Turkey Come to Terms with the PKK and YPG
Checking the YPG’s ascendance in Syria could bring the PKK back to the negotiating table, ultimately making Turkey more amenable to Kurdish enclaves across the border.
۷ اوت ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Growing Anti-Syrian Sentiment in Turkey
Refugees are being blamed for the country’s economic and social troubles, resulting in online hate speech, vigilante violence, and further pressure on the government to change the status quo in north Syria.
۵ اوت ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Maps & Graphics
گزارش‌های تفصیلی
ایران آن سوی مرز اسرائیل
مقابله نظامی اسرائیل با ایران در سوریه
در نگرش راهبردی اسرائیل، هیچ تهدیدی در سال‌های اخیر بزرگتر از بلندپروازی‌های ایران و توسعه توانمندی‌های نظامی آن در سوریه و لبنان در همسایگی این کشور نبوده است.
۲۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • مایکل هرتزوگ
Articles & Testimony
Why the U.S. Ejected Turkey from F-35 Fighter Jet Program, and Why the Turbulence Will Only Grow
The future of the bilateral relationship looks bleak after years of strategic divergence on crises in Iraq and Syria.
۲۲ ژوئیه ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Erbil Shooting: Implications for U.S.-Turkish Policy
If the PKK is confirmed as the perpetrator, Ankara will almost surely launch retaliation in Iraq or Syria, and Washington will have little choice but to stand aside.
۱۸ ژوئیه ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Thirteen Years Since the Hezbollah-Israel War
On the anniversary of the 2006 conflict, a former IDF chief of staff assesses current power dynamics, risks, and opportunities along Israel’s northern borders.
۸ ژوئیه ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Gadi Eisenkot
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Humanitarian Time Bomb in Idlib
As the latest regime offensive continues, hundreds of thousands of civilians are fleeing to overcrowded border camps, furthering Assad’s strategy of emptying as much of the Sunni Arab population as possible.
۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Video
Brief Analysis
Assad's Thinking: How Did Syria Get Here, and Where Does the Regime Want to Go Now?
Former American and French ambassadors discuss the regime's calculus and preview the upcoming U.S.-Russia summit in Jerusalem. Watch video or read a summary.
۲۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Michel Duclos
  • Robert Ford
تحلیل کوتاه
سیاست خاورمیانه‌ای چین: نرم حرف بزن و پول حسابی نشان بده
یک تحلیل‌گر اسرائیلی مشاهدات خود را از گفت‌وگوهای فشرده با مقامات ارشد نظامی، دیپلماتیک، و آکادمیک چین در این مطلب به اشتراک گذاشته است.
۱۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • ایهود یاری

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