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سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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Brief Analysis
What to Expect from the U.S.-Russia Meeting in Jerusalem
Ultimately, no deal is better than a bad deal, and Moscow’s track record in Syria suggests it is both unable and unwilling to keep Iran out.
۱۲ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Are Russia, Iran, and Hezbollah Trying to Reprise Syria in Venezuela?
U.S. rivals are diversifying their support for the Maduro government in familiar fashion, whether to parry the United States, exploit the crisis for profit, or both.
۲۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Jay Solomon
Maps & Graphics
The Shia Militia Mapping Project
Explore a comprehensive interactive map of Shia militias across the Middle East, charting their location, movements, ties to Iran, and involvements in conflicts in Iraq and Syria.
۲۰ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Phillip Smyth
Brief Analysis
If Syria Safe-Zone Talks Fail: How the SDF Might Respond to Turkish Intervention
The Kurdish-led force cannot hold the northeast on its own, and withdrawing coalition support would bolster Assad and Moscow’s interests.
۱۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • John Holland-McCowan
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
No More Turkish Veto on Idlib Offensive?
Ankara’s calculations about the rebel province appear to have shifted, though it still hopes to use the situation as leverage for constraining the YPG and preventing another refugee influx.
۱۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Moscow in the Middle East and North Africa
To counter Russia’s long game, Washington must show its willingness to compete by maintaining a credible regional presence, crafting a clearer message about its intentions, and moving beyond sanctions.
۹ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Don't Pull Back from the Middle East
Safeguarding America’s widely agreed interests in the Middle East requires a substantial presence, as does the region’s tendency to export insecurity.
۱۶ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Robert Satloff
تحلیل کوتاه
رابطه حزب‌الله و ایران: گروه نیابتی نه شریک سیاسی
با افزایش فشار آمریکا بر ایران، بسیاری در بیروت، واشنگتن و اروپا مطرح خواهند کرد که گروه حزب‌الله هنوز یک بازیگر مستقل است، اما شواهد گذشته و اخیر غیر از این را نشان می‌دهد.
۱۲ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • حنین غدار
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Assessing the Post–July 15 Turkish Military:
Operations Euphrates Shield and Olive Branch
After Turkey’s July 2016 failed military uprising, the leadership initiated purges and reforms aimed at ensuring the military’s future loyalty, but raising questions about the operational efficiency and effectiveness of the newly configured Turkish Armed Forces. Two subsequent cross-border operations into northern Syria provide valuable insight: Operation Euphrates Shield, lasting
۲۶ مارس ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Metin Gurcan
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah’s Procurement Channels: Leveraging Criminal Networks and Partnering with Iran
A February visit to Tehran by Syrian president Bashar al-Assad showcased just how close the Qods Force-Hezbollah alliance is when it comes to acquiring weapons.
۲۱ مارس ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Why Turkey’s Local Elections Matter
Many major jurisdictions are up for grabs, with potentially weighty foreign policy implications if Erdogan maintains his current coalition’s hardline nationalist trajectory.
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Murat Yetkin
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
U.S. Sanctions Are Hurting Hezbollah
To further tighten the noose, Washington should disrupt the group’s efforts to tap international aid, Lebanese ministry budgets, Syrian smuggling revenue, and other resources.
۶ مارس ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
A Turkish ‘Safe Zone’ in Syria: Prospects and Policy Implications
Establishing such a zone in the northeast would give Ankara and the United States a unique opportunity to work together, provided Washington can convince its European allies to participate as well.
۱ مارس ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Soner Cagaptay
Syrian flag over a ruined building destroyed by bombing
Brief Analysis
Assad Needs the United States and Its Allies for Reconstruction
Damascus and its partners can’t rebuild the country by themselves amid their growing budget crunch, so Washington has leverage on key transition issues even if Assad keeps stalling.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Jomana Qaddour
Brief Analysis
Repatriating Western Jihadists: The Impact of U.S. Syria Policy
Unless Washington changes its mixed message on foreign fighters and helps its European allies find practical solutions, it may soon face another mass outbreak of seasoned operatives from Syria.
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
A U.S. Army soldier on patrol in Iraq
Brief Analysis
Options for a Lighter U.S. Footprint in Syria
There are alternatives to the overt presence of U.S. controllers on the ground, and allies can help maintain the tempo of strikes in various ways.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • August Pfluger
  • Michael Knights
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
For Assad, Manbij Is the Key to East Syria
Reestablishing control in Manbij is the only way to build influence across the Euphrates, and now that U.S. troops are set to leave, both Russia and local Arab tribes may support this regime goal.
۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
تحلیل کوتاه
عقب راندن ایران از سوریه: فراتر از «نیروی نظامی»
تهران، به جز مداخله نظامی در سوریه، طیف وسیعی از تاکتیک‌های اقتصادی و اجتماعی را نیز برای گسترش نفوذ خود در سوریه دنبال کرده است. اما واشنگتن هنوز هم می‌تواند با کمک‌های هدفمند، تحریم‌های خلاقانه و تبلیغات راهبردی، ایران را در سوریه عقب براند.
۲۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • حنین غدار
  • دانا استرول
Russian soldiers in Syria
Articles & Testimony
Russia in the Middle East: Is There an Endgame?
The Kremlin often becomes more aggressive abroad to help shore up its legitimacy at home, so it may be more than happy to maintain a permanent state of low-level, managed conflict in the region.
۲۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Russian president Vladimir Putin
Articles & Testimony
Is Chechnya Putin’s Blueprint for Syria?
If recent history is any indicator, ceding further ground to Russia virtually guarantees that the conflict will keep simmering for years to come.
۱۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya

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