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شمال آفریقا

Policy Analysis on شمال آفریقا

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Brief Analysis
Arab Spring, Democratic Summer, or Islamist Fall?
On May 4, 2011, Gilles Kepel and Martin Kramer addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Dr. Kepel is the chair of Middle East and Mediterranean studies at the Insitut d'Etudes Politiques de Paris (Sciences Po) and author of Beyond Terror and Martyrdom: The Future of the Middle East
۱۰ مهٔ ۲۰۱۱
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  • Gilles Kepel
  • Martin Kramer
Brief Analysis
Libya: The Battle for the West
The regime of Muammar Qadhafi is engaging in multiple fights across Libya, but the focal point is now in the west. The battle itself has two main fronts: the city and port of Misratah and the Nafusa Mountains to the south and west of Tripoli. The regime is fighting hard
۵ مهٔ ۲۰۱۱
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
The Grinding War in Libya Favors Qadhafi
Despite appearances, the current state of the Libyan civil war is not a stalemate. Muammar Qadhafi's forces have adapted somewhat to NATO's control of the air and have continued offensive operations. And although rebel forces in the east are slowly improving their organizational, communications, and combat capabilities, they are far
۲۱ آوریل ۲۰۱۱
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  • Jeffrey White
In-Depth Reports
Egypt's Enduring Challenges:
Shaping the Post-Mubarak Environment
Although the Papyrus Revolution was a remarkable accomplishment for the Egyptian people, the ongoing transition has spurred trepidation as well as hope in the United States. Past transfers of power in Cairo have led to dramatic policy shifts, giving Washington little reason to believe that the latest leadership change will
۱۳ آوریل ۲۰۱۱
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Transition: One Step Forward, Two Steps Back
Ten days after millions of Egyptians voted in the first post-Mubarak election to approve nine constitutional amendments, the country's Supreme Military Council (SMC) has announced it will soon issue its own "constitutional declaration," effectively superseding the existing constitution. This raises the question as to why Egyptians were asked to vote
۲۹ مارس ۲۰۱۱
Brief Analysis
Odyssey Dawn Squeezes Qadhafi
Operation Odyssey Dawn is having telling effects on the military situation in Libya. Air operations by NATO and the coalition of countries opposing the Libyan government are degrading regime capabilities substantially and bolstering the rebels' ability to conduct both defensive and offensive operations. For the Qadhafi regime's part, its capacity
۲۸ مارس ۲۰۱۱
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Goals for the London Conference on Libya
Beyond further coordination of humanitarian efforts, the United States and its allies should seek to accomplish several important political goals at the London conference on Libya.
۲۸ مارس ۲۰۱۱
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Beyond a No-Fly Zone: How to Protect Civilians in Libya
Much has been achieved in the first few days of Operation Odyssey Dawn: in the east, the regime's advance on the opposition capital of Benghazi has been decisively checked, and conditions have been set for policing of a no-fly zone across Libya's coastal belt. But the zone is merely a
۲۳ مارس ۲۰۱۱
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Operation Odyssey Dawn and the Course of the Libyan War
The ongoing allied intervention in Libya, dubbed Operation Odyssey Dawn, represents a major change in the military situation, but perhaps not a decisive one. It has definitely been a blow to the regime and a boost for the rebels. Nevertheless, UN Security Council Resolution 1973 and its implementation to date
۲۲ مارس ۲۰۱۱
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Libyan Revolution Faces Defeat without External Military Intervention
For several days now, Muammar Qadhafi's forces have notched military successes against Libya's armed opposition, making an outright victory increasingly likely. The revolution is not yet finished, but its prospects are declining rapidly in the face of superior regime capabilities and its own lack of military resources. The regime seems
۱۷ مارس ۲۰۱۱
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
The Arab Revolutions: An Israeli Perspective
Israel has been watching the ongoing upheaval in the Arab world with steadily growing concern. While they hope to see a happy, democratic end to the popular eruptions of protest and discontent against dictatorial regimes, Israelis are bracing themselves for a series of less optimistic outcomes. A different Middle East
۱۵ مارس ۲۰۱۱
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  • Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Options for Military Intervention in Libya
Libya's internal conflict is entering its fourth week and shows no signs of coming to a rapid close. The fighting has reached a rough balance, with both sides possessing some strengths but neither able to achieve a decisive military advantage that could end the war. Depending on its scale and
۸ مارس ۲۰۱۱
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  • Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Obama Must Act on Libya No-Fly Zone
The Obama administration should move quickly to impose a no-fly zone and support Libyans seeking to drive the Qadhafi regime from power.
۸ مارس ۲۰۱۱
Brief Analysis
Reviewing Egypt's Gains from Its Peace Treaty with Israel
The Egyptian revolution has caused much speculation on the future of the country's peace treaty and bilateral ties with Israel. Throughout the uprising, demonstrators overwhelmingly focused on political freedom without a sectarian or ideological agenda, fueling assessments that the impact on the treaty will be minimal. And in an authoritative
۷ مارس ۲۰۱۱
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  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
The Consequences of Inaction in Libya
To deal with the possibility that Qaddafi and his loyalists will use all the force at their disposal before giving in, with an escalation of violence in Libya, the United States and EU should seek UN Security Council authorization for the imposition of a no-fly zone in Libya.
۴ مارس ۲۰۱۱
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
The Strategic Geography of the Libyan Civil War
In PolicyWatch #1768, Jeffrey White highlighted the possibility for a prolonged struggle in Libya's civil war due to the lack of offensive capability demonstrated by both sides. The following article explores the reasons why strategic geography in Libya reinforces the potential for stalemate and underlines the need for international intervention
۳ مارس ۲۰۱۱
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Fighting in Libya: The Military Balance
The uprising in Libya has evolved into a significant military struggle. The Qadhafi regime and, to a lesser extent, its opponents are employing substantial levels of violence, including the use of heavy weapons. Thousands have been killed and wounded. At the moment, the military balance lies somewhat in favor of
۲ مارس ۲۰۱۱
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Slippery Slope: Libya and the Lessons of Previous No-Fly Zones
In PolicyWatch #1763, Jason Hanover and Jeffrey White outlined the range of military options that the United States could employ to protect the Libyan population from the Qadhafi regime's military forces. The following article specifies the challenges posed by the enforcement of no-fly zones and related no-drive zones, drawing on
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۱
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Help Tunisia First
The United States should make at least $50 million available immediately for democratic institution building in Tunisia. The country's size and considerable assets mean that a modest investment could bring huge returns for the Tunisian people and U.S.-Tunisia relations.
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۱
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  • J. Scott Carpenter
Brief Analysis
Protecting Egypt's Evolving Democracy
As Egypt's revolution reaches the one-month mark, the first of the people's major demands has been met with the departure of Hosni Mubarak. But this development has left the country's leadership in the hands of the Supreme Military Council (SMC), a body apparently headed by Mubarak's minister of defense, Muhammad
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۱
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  • David Pollock

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