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شمال آفریقا

Policy Analysis on شمال آفریقا

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Articles & Testimony
The Arab Uprisings, One Year On
The Middle East begins 2012 much as it began 1949, 1968, and 1980: confident only that uncertainty is the new norm.
۱۵ دسامبر ۲۰۱۱
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Impact of Sanctioning Iran's Central Bank
The debate over whether to sanction the Central Bank of Iran must consider the effectiveness of such action and the consequences for the world economy.
۲۹ نوامبر ۲۰۱۱
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Ennahda’s Tight Rope Act on Religion
The following is an excerpt from an article that appeared in the 2012 Foreign Policy compilation Islamists in a Changing Middle East. To read the rest of the article, download the PDF. In addition, the full multiauthor compilation is available from the Foreign Policy website. On November 13, 2011, the
۱۸ نوامبر ۲۰۱۱
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Assessing Ennahda, Tunisia's Winning Islamist Party
Washington's embrace of Ennahda, Tunisia's leading Islamist movement, should be predicated on the party's actions matching its promises to foster an open, democratic society.
۱۸ نوامبر ۲۰۱۱
Brief Analysis
Tensions Grow between Egypt's Military Leaders and the Muslim Brotherhood
Although Washington has no interest in an Islamist-dominated Egyptian parliament, a brittle and indefinite military regime that lacks legitimacy is not a formula for stability either.
۸ نوامبر ۲۰۱۱
◆
  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Libya's Post-Qadhafi Challenges
Libya's challenges are immense, but Washington can take steps to facilitate the transition while ensuring that U.S. interests are not sidelined by other actors.
۲ نوامبر ۲۰۱۱
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  • Andrew Engel
Brief Analysis
Tunisia's Islamists Likely to Win Plurality in the First "Arab Spring" Election
A moderate Islamist party governing in coalition with secularists will offer Tunisia a reasonable chance at real democracy.
۱۹ اکتبر ۲۰۱۱
◆
  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Egypt's New Elections Laws: Another Democratic Setback
Election laws that ensure a broadly representative parliament are vital to the legitimacy of Egypt's transition, but the newly announced system falls far short of this goal.
۲۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۱
◆
  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Leading from Behind Still Isn't a Good Idea
Despite Qadhafi's fall, the Obama administration's initial reluctance to become involved in Libya sends a negative signal to Iran and others regarding Washington's stomach for confrontation.
۳۱ اوت ۲۰۱۱
◆
  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Military Tribunals: Illiberal and Destabilizing
By subjecting civilians to military tribunals, Egypt's military rulers risk confrontation with the public.
۳۰ اوت ۲۰۱۱
◆
  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Implications of the Negev Terrorist Incident
The terrorist attack in the Negev threatens to escalate into both a wider Israel-Gaza conflict and an Egyptian-Israeli diplomatic crisis.
۱۹ اوت ۲۰۱۱
◆
  • Jeffrey White
  • Ehud Yaari
In-Depth Reports
Between Protests and Power: Middle East Change and U.S. Interests
FEATURING Amr al-Azm, Thomas E. Donilon, Robert Kagan, Hisham Kassem, Martin Kramer, James LaRocco, Robin Wright, Amos Yadlin, Dalia Ziada THE PROCEEDINGS In early 2011, the Middle East began a process of convulsive political change unlike any the region had witnessed in memory. Fueled by a heady mix of rage
۱۶ اوت ۲۰۱۱
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Revolution Brought to a Halt?
Washington must find the leverage needed to ensure that Egypt's military-supervised transition does not intentionally strengthen Islamists at the expense of revolutionary forces.
۴ اوت ۲۰۱۱
◆
  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Triangular Power Struggle
Egypt's political future is being decided by the military, the Muslim Brotherhood, and protest groups in the streets.
۲۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۱
◆
  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Egyptian Liberals Compromise for the Sake of Dubious Unity
The more that liberals concede to Islamist demands, the more they will be marginalized in the struggle for Egypt's future.
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۱
Brief Analysis
Youth Activists Chip Away at Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood
Rather than an ideological split, the formation of a new, small party by Muslim Brotherhood youth activists stems from discontent at their inability to advance quickly.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۱
◆
  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Morocco's Constitutional Referendum: Context, Content, and Impact
Morocco's proposed constitutional changes, while seemingly modest, will forestall further unrest and potentially pave the way for greater reforms.
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۱
Brief Analysis
Violent Repression of Protests: How Much Has Changed in Egypt?
On July 1 and 8, protestors plan to hold demonstrations in Cairo's Tahrir Square. If they experience the same violent repression seen at the June 28-29 protests, however, many will begin to question how much has actually changed since the days of former president Hosni Mubarak. New Violence in Tahrir
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۱
Brief Analysis
Egypt's New Political Alliance Could Boost the Islamists
The June 22 announcement that a youth wing of the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood (MB) is splitting off to form its own secular party is emblematic of the unprecedented political activity in post-Mubarak Egypt. June 21 saw the second meeting of the National Democratic Alliance for Egypt, with fourteen smaller parties
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۱
◆
  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Toward the Endgame in Libya
The conflict in Libya is now dominated by deliberate offensive warfare conducted by the rebels and NATO, and both Muammar Qadhafi and his regime will likely be gone by the end of this phase. The confrontation has been, and will continue to be, a very dramatic event: a once-powerful and
۱۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۱
◆
  • Jeffrey White

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