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شمال آفریقا

Policy Analysis on شمال آفریقا

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An Egyptian guard inspects bomb damage near the Gaza border in Sinai
Brief Analysis
Sinai's Emergence as a Strategic Threat to Israel
If international awareness does not spur immediate Egyptian action to address the growing security vacuum and increased terrorist incidents on the border with Israel, the Sinai powder keg may soon explode.
۲۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Michael Herzog
Articles & Testimony
The Rumors of Another Egyptian Revolution Are Greatly Exaggerated
On Wednesday night, thousands of demonstrators descended onto Tahrir Square to demand an end to military rule. It was the twentieth straight night of these protests, and the Muslim Brotherhood marked the occasion by calling on its hundreds of thousands of members nationwide to join an open-ended Tahrir Square sit-in
۲۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Terror from Sinai: Global Jihadist Groups on Israel's Doorstep
Statements and a video released on an al-Qaeda website are disturbing evidence of the growing lawlessness in Egypt’s Sinai Peninsula.
۲۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
The Revolution in Egypt: Turning Point?
Sixteen months on, the transition in Egypt is not over; indeed, it is just beginning. On the eve of the Muslim Brotherhood's presidential victory, former senior Defense Department official David Schenker testified on how Washington should use its limited leverage in Cairo in the near term, offering a detailed status
۲۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The Next Egyptian President: Likely Scenarios
Policymakers must prepare for the likelihood that Egyptian instability will continue for some time, rendering Cairo unable to continue its historic role as a major U.S. strategic partner.
۱۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
In Their Own Words: Egyptian Presidential Candidates Morsi and Shafiq
The second round of Egypt's presidential election, slated to take place this weekend, pits Muslim Brotherhood candidate Muhammad Morsi against Ahmed Shafiq, the former air force commander who served as Hosni Mubarak's last prime minister. Although it is impossible to predict how either candidate will govern if elected, their statements
۱۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Shocking Legal Judgments
New unrest in prospect after high-court rulings appear to back military council.
۱۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • David Schenker
  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
What's at Stake with Egypt Vote?
Nothing captured the imagery of change in the Middle East more than last year's demonstrations in Tahrir Square that brought down Hosni Mubarak, Egypt's president for 30 years. The sense of hope and possibility that seemed so alive in Tahrir Square made everyone in the Middle East believe there truly
۱۳ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Beware of Egyptian Political Shocks
Technically, Egypt's political transition is on schedule. The first round of the presidential election was held May 23-24, the second round is set to occur June 16-17, a winner will be announced by June 21, and the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF), which has ruled the country since
۸ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Why Neither of Egypt's Presidential Choices Represents Democracy
The results of the first round of voting in Egypt's presidential elections has yielded a choice in the second round between two starkly different men -- former Mubarak-era prime minister and air force general Ahmed Shafik, and Muslim Brotherhood official Mohammad Morsi. For Washington, less important than which man wins
۶ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
The MFO Under Fire in Sinai
Deteriorating security in the Sinai Peninsula threatens not only the peacekeepers based there, but also the Egyptian-Israeli peace treaty.
۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
U.S. Policy and Egypt's Presidential Runoff: Projecting Clarity, Not Disinterest
To bolster the integrity of Egypt's democratic process and preserve America's own national interests, Washington should make clear how the outcome of the presidential runoff could affect U.S.-Egyptian relations.
۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
The American Media Gets an Egyptian Presidential Candidate All Wrong
Egyptian presidential candidate Abdel Monem Abouel Fotouh was a leading force in the militant Islamist student movements of the 1970s; one of the Muslim Brotherhood’s point men for aiding the mujahideen in Afghanistan during the 1980s; and a member of the Muslim Brotherhood’s Guidance Office for twenty-two years. It should
۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Libya's Elections Need More U.S. Support
Despite trepidation over Libya's upcoming elections, they offer the best way to solve the country's legitimacy crisis, and Washington should tailor its assistance accordingly.
۲۴ آوریل ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Andrew Engel
Articles & Testimony
Arab AKPs in the Making?
Can Turkey's experience in the past decade under the Justice and Development Party (AKP) government -- blending democracy, close ties with the West, a "Muslim" foreign policy, capitalism and Islamism -- be copied by Arabs, as many claim? Probably not -- except for Tunisia. Although rooted in Turkey's Islamist movement
۲۳ آوریل ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • David Pollock
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood Pursues a Political Monopoly
On Saturday, the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood (MB) announced the nomination of Deputy Supreme Guide Khairat al-Shater for president, cementing a critical shift in its political strategy. Although the group initially tried to manage Egypt's post-Mubarak transition by cooperating with the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF) and secularist parties
۴ آوریل ۲۰۱۲
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  • Eric Trager
Protesters hold signs and flags in Libya - source: Reuters
In-Depth Reports
In War's Wake:
The Struggle for Post-Qadhafi Libya
In this new study, Jason Pack and Barak Barfi explain why the United States must take a proactive stance in ensuring that Libyan authorities win the peace, not just the war.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Jason Pack
  • Barak Barfi
Brief Analysis
Libya's Floundering Transition
Washington should help improve conditions on the ground in Libya before the upcoming parliamentary elections, supporting civil society organizations that include rebels and prodding the interim government toward greater transparency.
۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Andrew Engel
Articles & Testimony
Reflections on the Revolution in Egypt
Testimony before the House Committee on Foreign Relations, Subcommittee on the Middle East and South Asia. One year after mass protests toppled Hosni Mubarak, Egypt is heading in an illiberal, anti-Western direction. The ruling military council has employed deadly force against protestors, subjected thousands of civilians to military trials, raided
۱۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Arab Spring or Islamist Winter?
The Arab uprisings—the intifadas against tyranny—were and are a remarkable accomplishment for the peoples of the Middle East. But they were only the end of the beginning.
۳۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • David Schenker

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