خلیج و سیاست حوزه انرژی

Policy Analysis on خلیج و سیاست حوزه انرژی

Secretary of State Antony Blinken shakes hands with Bahraini crown prince and prime minister Salman bin Hamad al-Khalifa - source: Department of State

One Year of the U.S.-Bahrain C-SIPA: Signs of Progress, Regional Potential

The progress the two partners have made through C-SIPA offers a fresh model for future U.S. cooperation with other Middle East countries in the security, economic, and technology sectors.

۲۱ اوت ۲۰۲۴

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Elizabeth Dent

Brief Analysis

Saudi Arabia Increases Its Cooperation with World’s Nuclear Watchdog

The small but significant step could facilitate U.S. technology transfers to the kingdom, said to be a key element in any potential Israeli-Saudi normalization deal—but proliferation concerns persist.

۸ اوت ۲۰۲۴

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Simon Henderson

Houthi missile hits Chios Lion tanker, Red Sea, July 2024.

Maps & Graphics

Houthi Attacks on Russia-Linked Tankers

Available data suggests the Yemeni group has been going after vessels carrying Russian cargo, particularly if an operator's ships have visited Israeli ports.

۲۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴

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Noam Raydan
Farzin Nadimi

◆ Maritime Spotlight

A screenshot from MarineTraffic shows the past tracks of the livestock carrier Shorthorn Express (IMO 9167318), which as of July 2, 2024, was sailing toward the British Isles.

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Are the Houthis Attacking Ships in the Mediterranean?

Direct strikes from the Yemeni group are unlikely at the moment, but a more aggressive Hezbollah could alter the threat picture.

۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴

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Noam Raydan
Farzin Nadimi

◆ Maritime Spotlight

The U.S. Navy aircraft carriers Harry S. Truman and Dwight D. Eisenhower on joint operations in the CENTCOM region - source: Department of Defense

Brief Analysis

Carrier Gap Increases the Red Sea’s Vulnerability to Houthi Attacks

To fill the capabilities gap between carrier groups and prepare for potential Houthi escalation in the next few weeks, the United States and its partners need to implement stopgap measures and, ideally, surge more military assets into the region temporarily.

۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴

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Elizabeth Dent

An explosion hits the civilian cargo vessel MV Tutor in the Red Sea - source: Houthi Media Center

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Houthi Ship Attacks Pose a Longer-Term Challenge to Regional Security and Trade Plans

The immediate effects of the Houthi antishipping campaign are measurably serious, but the United States, Saudi Arabia, and other partners also need to prepare for the emboldened group to exert its newfound leverage in other ways beyond the Gaza war.

۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴

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Noam Raydan

Brief Analysis

Energy Watchdog Predicts Big Oil Surplus by 2030

Implied lower prices would weaken economic forecasts for major Middle East oil producers.

۱۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

A Kuwaiti Reset?

The new emir’s suspension of parliament, followed by the appointment of a prime minister and crown prince, suggests a different direction for the oil-rich Gulf state.

۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴

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Simon Henderson
David Schenker

Marshall Islands–flagged bulk carrier Laax (IMO 9512355), which was attacked in the southern Red Sea on May 28, 2024. photo obtained via the X/Twitter account of French forces stationed in the UAE and deployed in the Indian Ocean, https://x.com/FFEAU_ALINDIEN/status/1795837694960189920.

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Behind Houthi Attacks on Ships Operated by Greece-Based Companies

Links to Israel-linked companies, especially in light of the Rafah invasion, are again the culprit.

۳۱ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴

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Noam Raydan
Farzin Nadimi

◆ Maritime Spotlight

U.S. and Saudi air force officers greet one another during a joint exercise - source: Department of Defense

Brief Analysis

Security Cooperation in a Changed Region: How to Advance the U.S.-GCC Defense Working Groups

From aligning weapons acquisition strategies and improving intelligence sharing to getting the diplomatic framing right, U.S. officials can do more to advance regional air defense and maritime security through this week’s working groups and beyond.

۲۱ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴

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Dana Stroul

◆ Risks and Opportunities in the Post-April 13 Middle East

A Houthi propaganda image published by the group's al-Masirah TV network.

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Assessing the Latest Houthi Maritime Threats

Even increased aggressive activity in the Indian Ocean will be unlikely to seriously disrupt maritime traffic and global trade—but vessels calling on Israeli ports will need to take extra precautions.

۱۶ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴

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Noam Raydan
Farzin Nadimi

◆ Maritime Spotlight

Flags of Gulf Cooperation Council countries and Turkey on display in Riyadh

Articles & Testimony

The Arab Approach to Mediation—Reshaping Diplomacy in a Multipolar World

Given their unique cultural concepts and major economic and political clout, the Gulf states are poised to play an even more significant role in future peace and security initiatives.

Spring 2024

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Nickolay Mladenov

Articles & Testimony

Assessing the Houthi War Effort Since October 2023

An in-depth look at the movement’s current capabilities, military situation inside Yemen, and strategic intentions amid the Gaza war and beyond.

April 2024

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Michael Knights

The car carrier Hyperion Ray (IMO 9690559) was struck near Fujairah, UAE, in April 2021. The ship was owned by Israel-based Ray Shipping Ltd when it was attacked. Photo credit: Rick Voice via MarineTraffic.com.

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Pay Attention to Ship Seizures, Not Threats to Close Strait of Hormuz

Low-key actions like seizures can increase regional and global concerns and increase Iran's leverage.

۲۹ آوریل ۲۰۲۴

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Noam Raydan
Farzin Nadimi

◆ Maritime Spotlight

The container ship Jin Shun He (IMO 9144316) docked at the port of NEOM in Oxagon. Photo credit: Photo credit: @NEOMOxagon, posted on X (formerly Twitter), April 15, 2024, https://x.com/NEOMOxagon/status/1779799779230302424. .

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Amid Red Sea Crisis, Saudi Company Launches North Shipping Service

Riyadh’s aim to become a global logistics hub connecting three continents will face challenges if risks to southern Red Sea shipping persist at their current levels.

۲۰ آوریل ۲۰۲۴

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Noam Raydan
Farzin Nadimi

◆ Maritime Spotlight

A Houthi fighter aboard the seized cargo vessel Galaxy Leader - source: Houthi media via Reuters

Video

Brief Analysis

Countering the Houthi Threat to Shipping: Regional Implications and U.S. Policy

Three experts address the thorny strategic questions arising from attacks on global shipping by the Yemen-based group.

۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۴

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Simon Henderson
Michael Knights
Noam Raydan

Articles & Testimony

How Washington Emboldened the Houthis

Greater decisiveness would have shortened the conflict, lessened the toll on global maritime trade, and reassured U.S. partners in the region and beyond.

۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۴

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Noam Raydan
Grant Rumley

Brief Analysis

Saudi Arabia’s Shock Cut in Planned Oil Expansion

The decision could lead to further spending reductions in the kingdom.

۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۴

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Simon Henderson

Screenshot excerpt of a StoryMap covering maritime attacks in the Middle East.

Maps & Graphics

مقاله‌ها و دیدگاه‌ها

ردگیری حملات دریایی در خاورمیانه از سال 2019

این نقشه تعاملی روند بالاگرفتن جنگ دریایی حوثی‌های یمن بر ضد کشتیرانی بین‌المللی و نیروی دریایی ائتلاف دریایی را نشان می‌دهد.

۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۴

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نعوم ریدان
فرزین ندیمی

◆ Maritime Spotlight

مقاله‌ها و دیدگاه‌ها

استقرار اعضای سپاه پاسداران ایران در یمن

تهران پیشتر می‌توانست از آن دست "عملیات دست پنهان" را از آستین حوثی‌ها با هزینه‌ای بسیار کم انجام دهد، اما اگر ضدحمله‌های متحدان ادامه یابد، ممکن است هزینه‌های چنین عملیاتی افزایش یابد.

۲۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۴

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جی سالومون

Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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