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All Policy Analysis by Soner Cagaptay
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Brief Analysis
۲۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Four Things to Watch in Turkey's Elections
The formation of a large opposition block and other electoral dynamics are clouding Erdogan’s longer-term political future.
۲۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan Enters Turkish Elections with More Power but Less Support
The president will probably become even more authoritarian in the coming months, knowing that a majority of citizens would vote him out in a fair election.
۲۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
There Is Hope for Democracy in Turkey, Even If Erdogan Wins Again
Three ascending candidates are whittling away at Erdogan's base, posing a long-term challenge to his rule even if they can't unseat him in this election.
۲۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
۱۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Sanctions on Turkey: Reconciling Washington’s Diverging Views
Despite the deep-seated problems roiling the bilateral relationship, U.S. legislators need to understand the potentially dire geopolitical consequences of putting heavy pressure on a fellow NATO member.
۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Could Stop Turkey, Not Yet a Moscow Ally, From Caving to Russia
Washington can address Ankara's deep security concerns via Kurdish withdrawal from the Manbij pocket and ironclad guarantees against Russian aggression.
۲۵ مهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
۲۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How Nativism in Turkey Is Stifling Democracy
According to President Erdogan's worldview, the 40 million Turkish citizens who oppose him stand for alien and imported interests, signaling much discord ahead.
۱۱ مهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
۲۶ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How President Erdogan Is Turning Turkey into Putin's Russia
Erdogan’s repressive policies are steadily driving out the educated and business classes needed to achieve his goal of transforming the country into a great power.
۲۴ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How Erdogan Wins
Turkey will formally begin a new era in June, with the president becoming the ultimate head of state, government, police, army, and the ruling party.
۱۹ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
۱۹ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
۵ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkish-Russian-Iranian Summit: Limits to a Tripartite Entente
Although any attempts at coordinated action will be hampered by historical rivalries and modern disagreements, Moscow and Tehran can still use the Ankara meeting to harm U.S. interests in Syria.
۳ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Anna Borshchevskaya
Nader Uskowi
Brief Analysis
۴ مارس ۲۰۱۸
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
In Long-Secular Turkey, Sharia Is Gradually Taking Over
Erdogan will not declare Islamic law overnight, but his steady empowerment of the country's religious directorate is a disturbing omen.
۱۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Time for Tillerson to Repair U.S. Ties with Turkey
The secretary has a chance to turn the deteriorating relationship around if he can convince Ankara that the U.S.-YPG alliance is winding down.
۱۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Video
Brief Analysis
Turkey: A Partner in Crisis
As part of a special screening event, two experts joined the producers of a new PBS investigation to discuss Turkey's 2016 coup crisis and ongoing struggles with authoritarianism.
۱۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
David Heidelberger
MacDara King
Lisel Hintz
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How Europe Lost Turkey
The Turkish people are responsible for the health of their own democracy, but it's high time the EU accepted its share of political and economic blame for encouraging Erdogan's most illiberal instincts.
۱۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Soner Cagaptay
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