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Articles & Testimony

Iran's Influence in Iraq:

Game, Set, but Not Match to Tehran

"Today, Iraq is to Iran as Lebanon was to Syria," intoned an Iraqi politician during a recent off-the-record briefing in Washington. The sentiment is commonly expressed by Iraqis, the US's Arab allies and by many American diplomats and soldiers: that the United States removed Iran's most inveterate opponent -- Saddam

۱۸ اکتبر ۲۰۱۰

Ahmadinezhad's Lebanon Visit and the Fate of the Hariri Tribunal

Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad's trip to Beirut this week will likely produce a flurry of rhetorical challenges against Israel and perhaps even a visit to the Israel-Lebanon border. But one purpose of the trip may be aimed at influencing the fate of the Special Tribunal for Lebanon (STL), charged with

۱۲ اکتبر ۲۰۱۰

Andrew J. Tabler

Israel vs. Hizballah and Its Allies

On September 17, 2010, Jeffrey White and Andrew Exum addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute to mark the release of Mr. White's new Institute report If War Comes: Israel vs. Hizballah and Its Allies, an assessment of potential future conflict between Israel and Hizballah and its

۲۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۰

Jeffrey White
Andrew Exum

Articles & Testimony

What Arabs Really Think About Iran

It is no secret that Arab public opinion toward U.S. President Barack Obama has soured since his June 2009 speech in Cairo, Egypt. According to a slew of recent opinion polls, Arabs have been deeply disappointed with Obama's accommodations to Israel. Analysts have suggested that this discontent has caused Arabs

۱۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۰

David Pollock

Combating Export Violations to Iran: The Role of ICE Homeland Security Investigations

How is the Department of Homeland Security's investigative and enforcement arm implementing export controls on Iran?

۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۰

John T. Morton

◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series

In-Depth Reports

How to Assess Progress in U.S. Iran Policy

Washington currently lacks broad consensus on how to deal with the persistent and dangerous strategic challenge posed by the Iranian regime. Supporters of current Obama administration policy emphasize progress made toward forging international consensus, delaying Iran's nuclear goals, and taking away the regime's "enemy narrative" about U.S. intentions. Others are

۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۰

Patrick Clawson

Articles & Testimony

China and the North Korea-Iran Nuclear Axis

With war drums being beaten in both the Korean Peninsula and the Middle East, a sign of a North Korea and Iran emboldened by the inability of the international community to stop their nuclear programs, eyes now fall on the credibility of the U.S. security umbrella over its allies Israel

۳۱ اوت ۲۰۱۰

Christina Lin

Iran's Shadow over Unrest in Bahrain

For nearly two weeks, the Persian Gulf island state of Bahrain has experienced near-daily disturbances following government arrests of opposition activists from the majority Shiite community. The timing of the arrests seemed geared toward preempting trouble in advance of the scheduled October 23 parliamentary and municipal elections, which minority Sunni

۲۷ اوت ۲۰۱۰

Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

The Caspian Sea:

China's Silk Road Strategy Converges with Damascus

Given the rising instability of Middle East energy supplies, the Caspian basin has emerged in prominence as an alternative resource for the world's growing energy consumers. As a result, the region is becoming enmeshed in a web of overlapping political, military, trade, and energy interests of countries extending from Asia

۲۰ اوت ۲۰۱۰

Christina Lin

Articles & Testimony

The U.S. and Israel:

Same View of Threat, Different View on Force

Patrick Clawson participated in an online forum sponsored by TheAtlantic.com discussing Atlantic magazine's September cover story by Jeffrey Goldberg outlining the prospects and implications of an Israeli strike against Iran. Read contributions by all forum participants here. Over the last year, statements about the Iranian nuclear issue from Israel's leadership

۲۰ اوت ۲۰۱۰

Going Critical:

Iran's Bushehr Nuclear Reactor Starts Up

At a ceremony near the southern Iranian coastal city of Bushehr this Saturday, Russia will begin the process of loading fuel rods into Iran's first civilian nuclear reactor. Theoretically distinct from the rest of the regime's disturbing nuclear program, the Bushehr plant nevertheless remains a major international concern. The low-enriched

۱۸ اوت ۲۰۱۰

Simon Henderson
Stefanie Peterson

Articles & Testimony

How Much Brinksmanship Will Israel Tolerate?

Patrick Clawson participated in an online forum sponsored by TheAtlantic.com discussing Atlantic magazine's September cover story by Jeffrey Goldberg outlining the prospects and implications of an Israeli strike against Iran. Read contributions by all forum participants here. Robin [Wright] is right (forgive the pun), and Jeff[rey Goldberg] is not, about

۱۶ اوت ۲۰۱۰

Major U.S.-Saudi Arms Deal to Bolster Riyadh against Iran

When Congress returns from its summer recess after Labor Day, the Department of Defense will provide informal notification of the U.S. intention to sell up to $60 billion in military equipment to Saudi Arabia. The likely deal is part of a U.S. commitment predating the Obama administration to strengthen regional

۱۳ اوت ۲۰۱۰

Michael Knights

Articles & Testimony

It's Time to Get Tough on Iran

The media has recently been rife with speculation about the possibility of a U.S. or Israeli preventive strike on Iran's nuclear infrastructure -- from former CIA Director Michael Hayden's observation last month that the drift toward military action against Iran appears "inexorable" to Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

۱۲ اوت ۲۰۱۰

David B. Crist
Michael Eisenstadt

Internal Divisions among Iranian Hardliners Come to the Fore

During an August 9 visit to Syria, Ali Akbar Velayati, influential advisor to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, stated that Iran is ready to negotiate with the United States regarding its nuclear program. Yesterday, however, Foreign Ministry spokesman Ramin Mehmanparast announced that Iran has no plans for bilateral negotiation with Washington

۱۲ اوت ۲۰۱۰

Mehdi Khalaji

The East Asian Loophole in Iran Sanctions:

Encouraging Compliance by Our Allies and China

Starting in August, U.S. officials are visiting East Asia, Latin America, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) to garner support for tightening Iran sanctions under UN Security Council Resolution 1929. Robert Einhorn, the U.S. State Department's special advisor for nonproliferation and arms control, and Daniel Glaser, deputy assistant secretary of

۱۲ اوت ۲۰۱۰

Christina Lin

Ahmadinezhad's Bomb Rhetoric:

Opportunities for U.S. Policy

On July 31, according to Iran's semiofficial Mehr News Agency, presidential chief of staff Esfandiar Rahim Mashai claimed that the West had raised no objections to President Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad's open proclamation that the Islamic Republic could build a nuclear bomb. How should this surprising claim be interpreted? And what implications

۴ اوت ۲۰۱۰

Patrick Clawson

Articles & Testimony

Iranian Re-Revolution:

How the Green Movement Is Repeating Iranian History

On June 10, when the Iranian opposition movement cancelled its planned commemoration of the anniversary of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's disputed reelection, commentators assumed that the Green Movement was finally finished. For months, it had been criticized as lacking strong leadership and for being unable to seriously challenge Iran's entrenched regime. But

۲۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۰

Articles & Testimony

U.S. Revamps Its 'Muddle East' Policy

The foreign policy team of US President Barack Obama is undertaking a reassessment of its policy all over the Middle East, including Israel. No one has made or will make a public declaration about such a change, but a reassessment is nonetheless under way, and we can already detect the

۲۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۰

Articles & Testimony

The Iranian Clergy's Silence

Repeated incidents demonstrate that Iran's clerical establishment has been unwilling to defend reform-minded clerics against the regime's attacks. Mehdi Khalaji posits that the Shiite clergy's silence does not stem from indifference but, instead, points to a fundamental tension between Iran's clerical establishment and its theocratic government whose roots date back

۱۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۰

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