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ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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Articles & Testimony
Short-Term Stablisation in Iraq Could Have Long-Term Costs
The Coalition security policy in Iraq has evolved in important ways since the major public diplomacy setback of the Abu Ghraib prison abuse scandal and the dual security challenges in the Fallujah-Ramadi area and the Shiite south during April and May. The actions taken by the Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA)
۱ ژوئن ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Delay, Deter and Contain, Roll-Back:
Toward a Strategy for Dealing with Iran's Nuclear Ambitions
Recent revelations regarding Iran's nuclear program have reinforced suspicions that Iran is pursuing a nuclear weapons option, and may be a few short years away from acquiring "the bomb." While senior Iranian officials have repeatedly stated that Iran is not seeking nuclear weapons and that the possession and use of
۱ مارس ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
The Paradox of Anti-Americanism in Iran
While anti-Americanism has deep resonance in the Arab world, the situation is quite different in Iran, where the United States has in recent years become profoundly popular....
۱ مارس ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The 25th Anniversary of Iran's Islamic Revolution:
Looking Back and Ahead
SHAUL BAKHASH The autocratic features of the Islamic Republic of Iran have demonstrated remarkable durability over the past twenty-five years. The defining characteristic of the Iranian political system is the concentration of authority in the person of the Supreme Religious Leader, who has vast powers under the constitution. In some
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Brief Analysis
Iran between Elections and the IAEA
To no one's surprise, the Iranian parliamentary elections resulted in a conservative sweep; the hardliners had rigged the rules so as to prevent a serious contest. As the hardliners consolidate their control, they may be interested in improving relations with the United States, though a major initiative would likely appear
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Iran's Threat to Coalition Forces in Iraq
On January 13, 2004, Eli Lake of the New York Sun reported that two senior members of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) had defected to coalition forces in Iraq. This defection constitutes a good opportunity to reflect on several issues, including Iran's efforts to infiltrate the Iraqi Shi'i community
۱۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Raymond Tanter
Articles & Testimony
Responding to Iran's Nuclear Challenge
Delay is Victory
The late 2003 IAEA deal at its best addresses only a small part of the Iranian nuclear proliferation threat; at its worst, the deal could become a significant obstacle to responding to the Iranian nuclear threat. The test will come over time -- which is convenient for the Bush administration
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
The Prospects for Nuclear 'Roll Back' in Iran
Although it may not be feasible now or in the near future, the U.S. should not exclude the possibility at some future date of nuclear roll back in Iran -- particularly in light of Libya -- s recent surprise decision to scrap its nuclear, chemical, and ballistic missile programs. Since
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
The Challenges of U.S. Preventive Military Action
Excerpted from Checking Iran's Nuclear Ambitions, ed. Patrick Clawson and Henry Sokolski (Carlisle, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, 2004), pp. 113–128. For some U.S. policymakers and military planners, Israel's 1981 raid on Iraq's Osiraq nuclear reactor may serve as an object lesson regarding the potential benefits of preventive military action against
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Trading Terrorists:
Al-Qaeda in Iran for Mujahedin in Iraq?
On December 9, 2003, the Iraqi Governing Council announced that it would expel the Iranian opposition group Mujahedin-e Khalq (MEK) from Iraq. Reacting to this decision, Paul Bremer, administrator of the Coalition Provisional Authority, recently told Iraqi television that MEK members should be settled in other countries with the help
۳۰ دسامبر ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Raymond Tanter
  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Nuclear Spinning:
The Iran-Pakistan Link
Forget, for the moment, Saddam's weapons of mass destruction -- or lack thereof. Consider instead the other WMD conundrum: Iran. Events in Pakistan, where two nuclear scientists were arrested last week, suggest the whole issue is about to blow. (Figuratively, that is.) Last month, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
'Fight on All Fronts':
Hizballah, the War on Terror, and the War in Iraq
An odd blending of religion and politics, Hizballah was born as a movement amid the terrorism of the 1980s. By 2000, it had matured into a strategic, vital player in the Middle East, capable of influencing the region's course for peace or war. Organizationally, Hizballah has evolved from a loose
۱ دسامبر ۲۰۰۳
Articles & Testimony
Impact of World Bank Loans to Iran
Testimony before the House Committee on Financial Services, Subcommittee on Domestic and International Monetary Policy, Trade, and Technology Two important considerations in judging U.S. reaction to World Bank lending to Iran are: how important is World Bank lending be to Iran, and how would lending to Iran fit with World
۲۹ اکتبر ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Iranian-European Nuclear Deal:
An Achievement with a Potential Poison Pill
The October 21 deal between Iran and the European trio of Britain, France, and Germany has the potential to significantly reduce the risk of Iran producing a nuclear weapon from highly enriched uranium (HEU)—assuming the accord is implemented strictly and on a tight timetable. Yet, HEU is only one of
۲۲ اکتبر ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
In-Depth Reports
The Iranian Nuclear Threat and U.S. Policy (Part I)
I have been asked to address Iran's nuclear program from a technical point of view. One of the roles the Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS) has played is to push for more effective nuclear inspections worldwide. That often means more intrusive ones, and Iran has attracted a lot
۱۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۳
In-Depth Reports
The Iranian Nuclear Threat and U.S. Policy (Part IV)
To begin, I would like to make three points. First, it has become clear in recent months that Iran has a clandestine nuclear program, parts of which were recently revealed and parts of which may remain hidden. Second, Iran may be just two to four years from getting the bomb
۱۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
The Iranian Nuclear Threat and U.S. Policy (Part III)
There were traditionally two Israeli schools of thought on Iranian proliferation. One viewed Iran as a major problem because of the nature of the regime that took power in the 1979 revolution, the line that the regime took in Lebanon opposing any negotiations with Israel, and its heavy involvement in
۱۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۳
In-Depth Reports
The Iranian Nuclear Threat and U.S. Policy (Part II)
Discussing U.S.-Iranian relations in the aftermath of the Iraq war and in light of recent international pressure to rein in Iran's nuclear ambitions is not an easy task. There are contending players and policy options that both countries may pursue -- depending on their respective political dynamics at home. The
۱۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۳
Articles & Testimony
Evaluating the Options Regarding the Iranian Nuclear Threat
Testimony before the U.S.-Israel Joint Parliamentary Committee The United States has for years judged Iran to be the world's foremost state-sponsor of terrorism. While the most direct way to sever the link between Tehran and its main terror arm -- Hizbollah -- is via Damascus, Washington is vigilant about Iran's
۱۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Gaining Support for Action on Iran's Nuclear Program
The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), whose report about Iran leaked out yesterday, will soon have to decide whether to declare Iran noncompliant with its obligations under the Treaty on the Nonproliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). What the world does about Iran's nuclear program will largely determine the future of
۲۷ اوت ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Patrick Clawson

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