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ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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U.S.-Iran Relations:
A Danger to Gulf Stability
Remarks delivered at the second annual conference of the Gulf Research Center in Dubai. As the organizers of this conference have indicated in their description about this session, the most important issue Iran poses for the Gulf and the central issue in U.S.-Iran relations is Iran’s nuclear program. So that
۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Influencing Iran's Nuclear Activities through Major Power Cooperation
This is the second in a two-part series on diplomacy surrounding the Iranian nuclear program. Read Part I. The Iran nuclear issue will be on the international agenda in the coming months. The often-postponed visit to Tehran by the head of Russia's Atomic Energy Agency (Minatom) Alexander Rumyantsev to sign
۳۰ دسامبر ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Hizballah, Iran, and the Prospects for a New Israeli-Palestinian Peace Process
The death of Yasser Arafat and the approach of Palestinian elections on January 9 have rekindled hopes for the peace process. However, if history is a guide, Hizballah and Iran—which worked tirelessly to undermine the Oslo Process—will try to sabotage such efforts. (Indeed, Israeli intelligence reports cited in the Israeli
۲۲ دسامبر ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
Carrots for Iran?
Lessons from Libya
This is the first part of a two-part series on diplomacy surrounding the Iranian nuclear program and looks at U.S.-European relations. Read Part II. As European and Iranian officials began negotiations December 14 on whether to make permanent Iran's temporary suspension of uranium enrichment, eight former Western foreign ministers issued
۱۶ دسامبر ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Clarifying and Strengthening the Iran-European Nuclear Accord
On November 25, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors will meet to consider Iran's nuclear program, in light of the November 14 Paris Accords between Iran and Britain, France, and Germany (the E3). If the Paris Accords are going to work as a stepping-stone toward ending Iran's
۲۲ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
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  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
How to Rein In Iran without Bombing It
Iran brags that it has the most crucial technologies for a nuclear bomb. It is known to be deploying long-range missiles that would be militarily useless unless equipped with a nuclear warhead. And it has insisted that it will continue to enrich uranium in defiance of a request by the
۱۵ اکتبر ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The IAEA and Iran:
The Perils of Inaction
Deep divisions among the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), currently meeting in Vienna, continue to hamper U.S. efforts on two key fronts: pressing Iran to suspend work on its nuclear program, and referring allegations of Iranian violations of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty to the UN
۱۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Incident in the Shatt al-Arab Waterway:
Iran's Border Sensitivities
After several days of diplomatic tension between London and Tehran, eight British military personnel who had been captured by Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) were released and flown out of Iran on June 24. The men, who served with the coalition forces in Iraq, had been in three boats
۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Implications of a Nuclear Iran
Testimony before the House Committee on International Relations, Subcommittee on the Middle East and Central Asia The emergence of a nuclear Iran could alter the balance of power in the Middle East, leading to a heightened risk of conflict, and possibly nuclear war. This raises several questions: How close is
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Short-Term Stablisation in Iraq Could Have Long-Term Costs
The Coalition security policy in Iraq has evolved in important ways since the major public diplomacy setback of the Abu Ghraib prison abuse scandal and the dual security challenges in the Fallujah-Ramadi area and the Shiite south during April and May. The actions taken by the Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA)
۱ ژوئن ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Delay, Deter and Contain, Roll-Back:
Toward a Strategy for Dealing with Iran's Nuclear Ambitions
Recent revelations regarding Iran's nuclear program have reinforced suspicions that Iran is pursuing a nuclear weapons option, and may be a few short years away from acquiring "the bomb." While senior Iranian officials have repeatedly stated that Iran is not seeking nuclear weapons and that the possession and use of
۱ مارس ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
The Paradox of Anti-Americanism in Iran
While anti-Americanism has deep resonance in the Arab world, the situation is quite different in Iran, where the United States has in recent years become profoundly popular....
۱ مارس ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The 25th Anniversary of Iran's Islamic Revolution:
Looking Back and Ahead
SHAUL BAKHASH The autocratic features of the Islamic Republic of Iran have demonstrated remarkable durability over the past twenty-five years. The defining characteristic of the Iranian political system is the concentration of authority in the person of the Supreme Religious Leader, who has vast powers under the constitution. In some
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Brief Analysis
Iran between Elections and the IAEA
To no one's surprise, the Iranian parliamentary elections resulted in a conservative sweep; the hardliners had rigged the rules so as to prevent a serious contest. As the hardliners consolidate their control, they may be interested in improving relations with the United States, though a major initiative would likely appear
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Iran's Threat to Coalition Forces in Iraq
On January 13, 2004, Eli Lake of the New York Sun reported that two senior members of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) had defected to coalition forces in Iraq. This defection constitutes a good opportunity to reflect on several issues, including Iran's efforts to infiltrate the Iraqi Shi'i community
۱۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Raymond Tanter
Articles & Testimony
Responding to Iran's Nuclear Challenge
Delay is Victory
The late 2003 IAEA deal at its best addresses only a small part of the Iranian nuclear proliferation threat; at its worst, the deal could become a significant obstacle to responding to the Iranian nuclear threat. The test will come over time -- which is convenient for the Bush administration
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
The Prospects for Nuclear 'Roll Back' in Iran
Although it may not be feasible now or in the near future, the U.S. should not exclude the possibility at some future date of nuclear roll back in Iran -- particularly in light of Libya -- s recent surprise decision to scrap its nuclear, chemical, and ballistic missile programs. Since
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
The Challenges of U.S. Preventive Military Action
Excerpted from Checking Iran's Nuclear Ambitions, ed. Patrick Clawson and Henry Sokolski (Carlisle, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, 2004), pp. 113–128. For some U.S. policymakers and military planners, Israel's 1981 raid on Iraq's Osiraq nuclear reactor may serve as an object lesson regarding the potential benefits of preventive military action against
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Trading Terrorists:
Al-Qaeda in Iran for Mujahedin in Iraq?
On December 9, 2003, the Iraqi Governing Council announced that it would expel the Iranian opposition group Mujahedin-e Khalq (MEK) from Iraq. Reacting to this decision, Paul Bremer, administrator of the Coalition Provisional Authority, recently told Iraqi television that MEK members should be settled in other countries with the help
۳۰ دسامبر ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Raymond Tanter
  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Nuclear Spinning:
The Iran-Pakistan Link
Forget, for the moment, Saddam's weapons of mass destruction -- or lack thereof. Consider instead the other WMD conundrum: Iran. Events in Pakistan, where two nuclear scientists were arrested last week, suggest the whole issue is about to blow. (Figuratively, that is.) Last month, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Simon Henderson

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