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ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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In-Depth Reports
The Last Marja:
Sistani and the End of Traditional Religious Authority in Shiism
Iraqi Shiite cleric Ali Hussein al-Sistani has achieved tremendous popularity in recent years, becoming the greatest marja, or independent religious authority, in the Shiite world. But how does his influence compare to that of Iran's Supreme Leader, who can draw upon the considerable resources of the Iranian state? In this
۱۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۶
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Act Now to Deter and Contain Iran
For the last year, Iran has been successfully gaming the international diplomatic process, stalling while its nuclear program moves inexorably forward. We need to make time work for us, not against us. The best way to do that is to take bold and immediate steps to deter and contain Iran
۲۸ اوت ۲۰۰۶
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  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Militia Mayhem
Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah is a man who likes flags. At the start of the war, he appeared on his organization’s al-Manar television station with a Hezbollah flag behind him. Then that was replaced by a Lebanese flag. Lately, he has placed both flags at his side. There’s been one
۱۴ اوت ۲۰۰۶
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  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Roll Back
Conspiracy is like oxygen in the Middle East. Everyone breathes it. And it’s a mode of thought suited to understanding Hezbollah’s attacks on Israel. The attacks, after all, represented a sudden shift in the group’s thinking. In the six years following Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon, the Shia militants didn’t cross
۳۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
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  • Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
Dangerous Ambitions:
The Challenges of Iran and Hamas
In the Greater Middle East, the United States is currently engaged in three wars: in Iraq, in Afghanistan, and against al-Qaeda and its affiliate organizations. As serious as those conflicts are, they do not constitute the sum of challenges facing America in the region. Indeed, two additional challenges -- from
۳۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
Articles & Testimony
Casus Belli
For years, we were told that the “root cause” of the Middle East’s problems was the Israeli occupation of Arab lands—the Sinai Peninsula, the Gaza Strip, the West Bank, the Golan Heights, and southern Lebanon. Peace would come to the Middle East, according to this view, only when Israel finally
۳۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
Brief Analysis
The Potential for Escalation in the Hizballah-Israel Conflict
The critical question of whether or not the current conflict in Lebanon will escalate to a broader regional war is being answered in two overly simple ways. One such analysis is that this is a “meltdown” with escalating violence and mounting pressures for further escalation. A second, equally simplistic view
۲۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
◆
  • Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
The Rogues Strike Back
Iran thumbs its nose at Western diplomats and continues nuclear enrichment. Hamas’s chief, speaking from Damascus, boasts about kidnapping an Israeli soldier. Hezbollah launches a cross-border raid, prompting Israeli retaliation in Beirut and a return volley of rockets on northern Israel. Just another bleak week in the hopeless Middle East
۲۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Hand in Lebanon
The current crisis in Lebanon has galvanized world attention because it is generally understood that this is not a local conflict, but rather one that represents Iran’s bid to raise the stakes in the Middle East. The fact that several countries are planning to convene next week in Rome to
۲۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
◆
  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Hizballah's Global Terror Option
In a July 17 article in Kayhan, a newspaper sponsored by Iran’s supreme leader, editor Hossein Shariatmadari wrote, “The Muslim nations should not let the engagement [with Israel] remain in its limited regional boundaries. The Zionists are scatted in many parts of the world and their identification is not that
۲۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
◆
  • Barak Ben-Zur
  • Christopher Hamilton
Brief Analysis
Iranian Public Opinion on the Nuclear Program
On July 17, 2006, Brig. Gen. Michael Herzog and Patrick Clawson addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. General Herzog, an active officer in the Israel Defense Forces (IDF), is a visiting military fellow at The Washington Institute. General Herzog recently published Iranian Public Opinion on the Nuclear Program: A
۲۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
◆
  • Michael Herzog
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Ahmadinezhad's Popularity One Year On
Westerners believe Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad to be popular in Iran, in no small part because of his strong support for Iran’s nuclear program. However, there is much evidence to the contrary. There is limited information available with which to form a judgment about the popularity of any politician or
۲۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Shadow Government in Lebanon
Having come into existence by virtue of Iranian military and financial patronage, Hizballah has used massive Iranian support to transform itself from a purely military group into an armed political party that has had an enduring impact on Lebanese political life and served as an outpost of Islamic fundamentalism in
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Hizballah Opens a Second Front
The capture yesterday of two Israeli soldiers (eight more were killed) in a crossborder raid by the Lebanese group Hizballah, as Israeli forces in Gaza continued to search for an Israeli soldier kidnapped last week by Hamas and to clear Qassam rocket launch sites, marked the opening of a second
۱۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
Iranian Public Opinion on the Nuclear Program:
A Potential Asset for the International Community
While the international community debates options for halting a defiant Iran's nuclear program, most observers assume that the Iranian people support the regime's nuclear efforts, and that any dissent centers on tactics rather than substance. By this view, nuclear progress is an expression of the country's national pride and its
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۰۶
◆
  • Michael Herzog
Articles & Testimony
An Open Letter to Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
On May 13, 2006, Mohsen Sazegara wrote an open letter to Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in response to Ahmadinejad’s letter to President Bush earlier that month. Mohsen Sazegara is a visiting associate professor at Yale University’s Center for International and Area Studies, having previously served as a visiting fellow at
۲۳ ژوئن ۲۰۰۶
◆
  • Mohsen Sazegara
Articles & Testimony
Deterring and Containing Iran:
A Near-Inevitable Task
On June 8, 2006, Patrick Clawson testified before the House Armed Services Committee’s hearing on U.S. policy options toward Iran. The following is the prepared text of his remarks. The United States will almost certainly have to deter and contain Iran for the foreseeable future -- almost like the Cold
۸ ژوئن ۲۰۰۶
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Facing Iran's Challenge:
Safeguarding Oil Exports from the Persian Gulf
In a June 4 speech marking the anniversary of the death of his predecessor, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei issued a warning to the United States in the crisis of over Iran’s nuclear program. “If the Americans make a wrong move toward Iran, the shipment of
۷ ژوئن ۲۰۰۶
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iranian Azeris:
A Giant Minority
Brewing discontent among Iran's Azeri population has potential implications for U.S. and Western policy toward Tehran.
۶ ژوئن ۲۰۰۶
◆
  • Ali M. Koknar
Brief Analysis
Iran:
International Pressure and Internal Conflict
As the five permanent members of the UN Security Council and Germany consult today about what measures to take to influence Iran’s decisions about its nuclear program, it is worth evaluating what impact outside pressure would have on President Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad’s administration and its ability to overcome internal political and
۲۴ مهٔ ۲۰۰۶
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji

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