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ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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Brief Analysis
Defection of a Terror Suspect:
Window into Iranian State Terrorism?
An Iranian asylum seeker in Turkey claims to be Ahmad Beladi-Behbahani, a high-ranking intelligence official in Iran. If true, this is quite a coup, because Behbahani is one of the most important figures in the Iranian terror apparatus, and his revelations could re-ignite debate about a U.S. response to Iran-backed
۵ ژوئن ۲۰۰۰
Articles & Testimony
Can the United States Influence the WMD Policies of Iraq and Iran?
Iraq and Iran are likely to pose some of the most difficult long-term proliferation challenges for the United States in the coming years. Both countries remain actively committed to developing weapons of mass destruction (WMD) in spite of obstacles created by export controls and sanctions, and even though they are
۱ ژوئن ۲۰۰۰
Brief Analysis
The Ebb and Flow of Reform in Iran
As the May 5 second-round Majlis (parliament) election approaches, questions remain as to whether the Islamic Republic's hardliners can be marginalized through the ballot box, whether reformists' voices can be muzzled, and whether change in Iran can both be rapid and nonviolent. In February, the reformist triumph in the first
۱ مهٔ ۲۰۰۰
Articles & Testimony
Pragmatic Theocracy:
A Contradiction in Terms?
For two decades now, the Islamic Republic of Iran has confounded the American foreign policy community, whose members have oscillated wildly between urgent appeals to normalize relations with Tehran and equally determined bids to contain its influence. In the latest swing of the pendelum, a chorus of voices--including those of
۱ مهٔ ۲۰۰۰
◆
  • Ray Takeyh
Brief Analysis
Iran's Hardliners Fight Back
Iran's hardliners, who suffered a resounding drubbing in February's first-round Majlis (parliament) elections, have been resurgent in defeat and now appear to have the momentum in their ongoing power struggle with reformist politicians and institutions. In their latest move, Iran's hardline-dominated judiciary ordered the immediate closure of twelve reformist newspapers
۲۴ آوریل ۲۰۰۰
Brief Analysis
Khatami's Next Test:
The Trial of Thirteen Jews
On April 13, thirteen Iranian Jews are scheduled to come to trial in Shiraz to face espionage charges that carry the death penalty. The trial, more than a year after the thirteen were originally detained, comes at a critical time for Iran--less than two months after Iranian president Muhammad Khatami's
۱۱ آوریل ۲۰۰۰
Brief Analysis
Advancing U.S. Interests and Better Relations with Iran
Secretary of State Madeleine Albright's March 17 speech to the Conference on American-Iranian Relations was a milestone in the slowly improving bilateral ties. Although a number of useful ideas were broached, on balance the speech missed a golden opportunity to make common cause with reformist supporters of Iranian president Muhammad
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۰۰
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Iran's Nuclear Weapons Program:
Status and Implications
Iran is pursuing a strategy of flexible acquisition, keeping multiple options open. It wants to take advantage of any opportunities to obtain required materials out of the former Soviet Union. At the same time, it aims to develop a nuclear infrastructure over the long term, pursuing the whole process of
۸ مارس ۲۰۰۰
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Let Iran Change on Its Own
The parliamentary elections in Iran produced a massive pro-reform vote. The obvious question is what can the United States expect and how should it respond. Paradoxically, the answers are, expect little change soon on the issues of most concern, and do little so as not to be counterproductive. Background. The
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۰
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Iran's Majlis Elections:
Prospects and Implications
On February 18, Iran will hold the first round of voting for a new Majlis (parliament). But the complex nature of Iranian parties with their different camps and factions, each with different tendencies, complicates any predictions about the election's outcome. It is by no means clear that the same trends
۱۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۰
Brief Analysis
A Background to Iran's Forthcoming Majlis Elections
Speaking about Iran at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, on January 30, U.S. secretary of state Madeleine Albright commented, "There is an attempt to probe a possibility of dialogue and we are waiting to see what happens in the Majlis [Parliament] election next month." What are the procedures
۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۰
Articles & Testimony
Sidebar:
Iran's Upheaval
The following is a sidebar to Dr. Satloff's article "The Next Turbulent Zone." Iran's great internal debate over its future, as evidenced in recent confrontations between demonstrating students and police, is likely to sharpen and deepen in the next five years. The two protagonists here are not, as often reported
۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۰
◆
  • Robert Satloff
The Middle East in Transition
۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۰
Brief Analysis
Europe's Critical Dialogue with Iran:
An Assessment
Iranian foreign minister Kamal Kharrazi arrived in London on Sunday to start a new initiative to break Iran further out of isolation. Europe has sought to engage Iran as the best way to promote Iranian moderation and reform. With Iran's parliamentary elections approaching next month, there will almost certainly be
۱۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۰
In-Depth Reports
Who Rules Iran:
The Structure of Power in the Islamic Republic
A landmark study that offers clear and understandable answers to fundamental questions about the most complex facets of the Iranian regime, probing the lines between hardliners and reformers, revolutionary and national interests, theocracy and electoral politics, and more.
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۰
◆
  • Wilfried Buchta
Brief Analysis
Iran and the Prospects for Syria-Israel Peace
Iran--Syria's closest ally since the fall of the Soviet Union--has perhaps the most to fear from the prospect of Syria-Israel peace. Indeed, Tehran seems to have been caught off guard by Syrian president Hafiz al-Asad's decision to reenter negotiations, and Tehran is accordingly viewing with great concern Syria's apparent readiness
۲۲ دسامبر ۱۹۹۹
Brief Analysis
The Power Struggle in Iran:
Is Peaceful Reform Possible?
On December 8, 1999, Wilfried Buchta—author of the forthcoming book Who Rules Iran?, to be published by The Washington Institute in conjunction with the Konrad Adenauer Foundation—addressed the Institute’s Special Policy Forum. The following is a rapporteur’s summary of his remarks. The Iranian revolution has endured years of internal turmoil
۱۶ دسامبر ۱۹۹۹
Brief Analysis
Khobar Towers and U.S.-Iranian Relations:
American Options and Interests
Although it did not receive much press coverage in the United States, State Department spokesman James P. Rubin's statement last week that military retaliation had not been excluded as a possible response to the Khobar Towers bombing made headlines in Tehran. Rubin's boilerplate response to a reporter's question--"when we judge
۱۹ اکتبر ۱۹۹۹
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Broadcasting to Iraq and Iran:
Reaching Out by Radio
Radio Free Iraq was established through legislation last October and operates in conjunction with Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty (RFE/RL) as a nongovernmental organization funded wholly by the U.S. government. The goal of Radio Free Iraq is to broadcast accurate and balanced information focusing on human rights, democratization, free expression, and
۱۵ اکتبر ۱۹۹۹
Brief Analysis
The Long Shadow of Khobar Towers:
Dilemmas for the U.S. and Iran
The 1996 Khobar Towers bombing, in which nineteen U.S. airmen were killed and hundreds injured, continues to cast a shadow over U.S.-Iran relations. The decision last week by the United States to turn over bombing suspect Hani al-Sayegh to Saudi Arabia for trial, and the revelation this week by State
۸ اکتبر ۱۹۹۹
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt

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