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اسرائیل

Policy Analysis on اسرائیل

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In-Depth Reports
Beyond Worst-Case Analysis:
Iran's Likely Responses to an Israeli Preventive Strike
Although an Israeli preventive strike on Iran's nuclear program would be a high-risk endeavor carrying a potential for escalation in the Levant or the Persian Gulf, it would not be the apocalyptic event that some foresee. In this Policy Note, two Washington Institute military experts assess the likelihood of various
۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Command and Control
This week, the world's major powers resumed negotiations with Iran over its nuclear program. Should they fail, the specter of a possible Israeli strike looms large, seeming to grow more likely as Tehran's nuclear program advances. In recent weeks, however, the conventional wisdom has shifted to favor the view that
۲۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • David Makovsky
  • Olivia Holt-Ivry
Brief Analysis
Presidential Elections Will Not End Egyptian Instability
Washington has little ability to influence the outcome of this week's election, in which most leading candidates appear disinclined to maintain strong relations with the United States. But it can encourage the Egyptian military to minimize the likelihood of another uprising.
۲۲ مهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Eric Trager
Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh gestures to supporters
Brief Analysis
Secret Hamas Elections Point to Internal Struggle
The ongoing Hamas elections will strengthen the military wing, weaken Khaled Mashal, make reconciliation with the PA more difficult, preserve close collaboration with Iran, and, perhaps, forge closer ties with Egypt.
۱۶ مهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Changes in Israeli Policy after the Netanyahu-Mofaz Deal
Israel's new national unity government strengthens both Binyamin Netanyahu and Shaul Mofaz, but it will ultimately be judged by whether it makes progress on its foreign and domestic policy agenda.
۹ مهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • David Makovsky
Video
In-Depth Reports
Remarks by Denis McDonough, Deputy National Security Advisor
Deputy National Security Advisor Denis McDonough believes that the relationship between President Barack Obama and Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu is “workmanlike” and enables the two leaders to immediately address the important issues on their agendas. Speaking to the Washington Institute for Near East Policy’s Weinberg Founders Conference, McDonough stated that
۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Denis McDonough
Video
In-Depth Reports
U.S.-Israel Relations in a Changing Middle East
Ambassador Robert Blackwill, Ambassador Dennis Ross and Maj. Gen. Amos Yadlin (IDF, ret.) said that Israel remains an important strategic asset for the United States. “The U.S. and Israel share key vital interests in a fast-changing region with multiple dangers and threats to both,” Ross said during a plenary session
۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • Amos Yadlin
Brief Analysis
Implications of Egypt's Gas Cut-Off with Israel
Cairo's otherwise disappointing decision to freeze Israel's gas supplies gives Washington an opportunity to separate its Egypt and Eastern Mediterranean energy policies.
۲۳ آوریل ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Simon Henderson
  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Back from the Threshold: The Last Chance for Diplomacy to Stop Iran
In this timely and detailed paper, Brig. Gen. Michael Herzog (IDF, Ret.) proposes ways to maximise the chances of success in P5+1 talks to move the Iranians back from their nuclear threshold capacity. Key Points Strong evidence suggests that Iran's nuclear programme is intended to actually construct nuclear weapons, not
۱۷ آوریل ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Michael Herzog
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Can Meet Israel Halfway on Iran
There is no daylight between the United States and Israel on the objective and the preferred means for dealing with Iranian nuclear ambitions. Much has been written about possible differences, but the recent meeting between President Obama and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu highlighted key points of convergence: Both agree that
۲ آوریل ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Dateline Middle East: Trip Reports from around the Region
On March 27, 2012, Robert Satloff, Andrew J. Tabler, and Simon Henderson addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Dr. Satloff, the Institute's executive director and Howard P. Berkowitz chair in U.S. Middle East policy, had just returned from Israel and Jordan. Mr. Tabler, the Institute's Next Generation fellow
۲۹ مارس ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Robert Satloff
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Time to Stop Incitement to Murder -- Again
In responding to a spike in Israeli-Palestinian incitement, Washington should encourage constructive suggestions and focus on the worst cases.
۲۱ مارس ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Washington and Israel on Iran: Unresolved Differences
Notwithstanding their differing perspectives on the subject, the less daylight seen between Washington and Israel regarding Iran, the better.
۱۶ مارس ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
To Retaliate or Not: Hizballah's Calculus Following a Strike on Iran
Hizballah's response to military action against Iran could be shaped by rational cost-benefit analysis, a perceived spiritual obligation to defend its Shiite patron in Tehran, or both.
۱۴ مارس ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Avoiding a Bad Nuclear Deal with Iran
As the confrontation with Iran enters a new, more dangerous phase, Washington must avoid the temptation of redefining its red lines in a manner that endangers national security.
۷ مارس ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Michael Singh
In-Depth Reports
The End of the 'Peace Process'?
Barring unexpected developments, even optimistic observers see the current Israeli-Palestinian deadlock persisting at least until after this year's U.S. elections. The key actors are too focused on other challenges, too skeptical of each other's intentions, and too limited by multiple constraints to engage in the kind of decisionmaking a peace
۶ مارس ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Tal Becker
Brief Analysis
President Obama on Iran: Assessing Key Passages in the AIPAC Speech
Although the president's AIPAC speech offered reassurances that he is committed to the full logic of a "prevention" strategy in dealing with the Iranian nuclear challenge, including potential military action, it also implied a clear preference for Israel to hold back and let the noose of international sanctions tighten.
۵ مارس ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
The Agony of Hamas
The movement is facing its most serious rift ever, severely divided on its future course and the identity of its post-Syria sponsors.
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
Friendship Under Fire
The Iranian nuclear threat will challenge Obama and Netanyahu's sometimes-rocky relationship like never before.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Gas Partnership: Netanyahu Visits Cyprus
Netanyahu's trip to Cyprus, the first by an Israeli prime minister, reflects increasing cooperation between the two countries over natural gas resources but will likely heighten tensions with Turkey.
۱۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Simon Henderson

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