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شمال أفريقيا

Policy Analysis on شمال أفريقيا

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Brief Analysis
The Arab Revolutions: An Israeli Perspective
Israel has been watching the ongoing upheaval in the Arab world with steadily growing concern. While they hope to see a happy, democratic end to the popular eruptions of protest and discontent against dictatorial regimes, Israelis are bracing themselves for a series of less optimistic outcomes. A different Middle East
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  • Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Options for Military Intervention in Libya
Libya's internal conflict is entering its fourth week and shows no signs of coming to a rapid close. The fighting has reached a rough balance, with both sides possessing some strengths but neither able to achieve a decisive military advantage that could end the war. Depending on its scale and
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  • Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Obama Must Act on Libya No-Fly Zone
The Obama administration should move quickly to impose a no-fly zone and support Libyans seeking to drive the Qadhafi regime from power.
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Brief Analysis
Reviewing Egypt's Gains from Its Peace Treaty with Israel
The Egyptian revolution has caused much speculation on the future of the country's peace treaty and bilateral ties with Israel. Throughout the uprising, demonstrators overwhelmingly focused on political freedom without a sectarian or ideological agenda, fueling assessments that the impact on the treaty will be minimal. And in an authoritative
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  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
The Consequences of Inaction in Libya
To deal with the possibility that Qaddafi and his loyalists will use all the force at their disposal before giving in, with an escalation of violence in Libya, the United States and EU should seek UN Security Council authorization for the imposition of a no-fly zone in Libya.
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
The Strategic Geography of the Libyan Civil War
In PolicyWatch #1768, Jeffrey White highlighted the possibility for a prolonged struggle in Libya's civil war due to the lack of offensive capability demonstrated by both sides. The following article explores the reasons why strategic geography in Libya reinforces the potential for stalemate and underlines the need for international intervention
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Fighting in Libya: The Military Balance
The uprising in Libya has evolved into a significant military struggle. The Qadhafi regime and, to a lesser extent, its opponents are employing substantial levels of violence, including the use of heavy weapons. Thousands have been killed and wounded. At the moment, the military balance lies somewhat in favor of
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Slippery Slope: Libya and the Lessons of Previous No-Fly Zones
In PolicyWatch #1763, Jason Hanover and Jeffrey White outlined the range of military options that the United States could employ to protect the Libyan population from the Qadhafi regime's military forces. The following article specifies the challenges posed by the enforcement of no-fly zones and related no-drive zones, drawing on
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Help Tunisia First
The United States should make at least $50 million available immediately for democratic institution building in Tunisia. The country's size and considerable assets mean that a modest investment could bring huge returns for the Tunisian people and U.S.-Tunisia relations.
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  • J. Scott Carpenter
Brief Analysis
Protecting Egypt's Evolving Democracy
As Egypt's revolution reaches the one-month mark, the first of the people's major demands has been met with the departure of Hosni Mubarak. But this development has left the country's leadership in the hands of the Supreme Military Council (SMC), a body apparently headed by Mubarak's minister of defense, Muhammad
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  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
U.S.-NATO Intervention in Libya: Risks and Benefits
Muammar Qadhafi has vowed to fight to the bitter end, raising the prospect of a protracted and bloody conflict with opportunities for exploitation by radical Islamist elements. Although external military intervention could help prevent a very bad outcome, such action carries its own risks and potential complications. The United States
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  • Jason Hanover
  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Military in Power: Dynamics, Challenges, Prospects
Egypt is now effectively under military control and will likely remain so for some months. The Supreme Military Council (SMC) holds effective decisionmaking authority, although a civilian cabinet remains in place. The SMC has pledged to make a swift transition to a new civilian government, but to date it has
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
"The Last Bullet": Qadhafi and the Future of Libya
Following this weekend's widespread disturbances in Libya, Muammar Qadhafi could lose power within hours or days as his military units and security services crumble in the face of popular discontent. Alternatively, he could decide -- in the ominous words of his son Saif al-Islam -- to "fight to the last
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  • Simon Henderson
  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Energy Security Lessons of the Egypt Crisis
The political turmoil in Egypt has prompted renewed concerns about the security of oil and gas supplies from the Middle East. The country's proximity to two key chokepoints -- the Suez Canal and the Bab al-Mandab Strait between the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden -- is significant. Yet
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  • Simon Henderson
  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Ideas for U.S. Middle East Policy in the Wake of the Egypt Crisis
On February 9, 2011, Washington Institute executive director Robert Satloff testified before the House Foreign Affairs Committee at a hearing titled "Recent Developments in Egypt and Lebanon: Implications for U.S. Policy and Allies in the Broader Middle East." The following is an excerpt from his prepared remarks. Read the complete
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  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Recent Developments in Egypt and Lebanon:
Implications for U.S. Policy and Allies in the Broader Middle East
On February 9, 2011, Washington Institute executive director Robert Satloff testified before the House Foreign Affairs Committee. The following is an excerpt from his prepared remarks. "Events of the past two weeks have constituted an earthquake in terms of Arab political dynamics, the pursuit of security and peace in the
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  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Egypt: A Moment of Change and Challenge
On February 2, 2011, J. Scott Carpenter, Dina Guirguis, David Schenker, and Robert Satloff addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute. Mr. Carpenter is the Institute's Keston Family fellow and director of Project Fikra: Defeating Extremism through the Power of Ideas. Ms. Guirguis is a Keston Family
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  • J. Scott Carpenter
  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The Muslim Brotherhood: On the Record
"Islam is the solution" -- slogan of the Muslim Brotherhood The following sampling of comments by Muslim Brotherhood leadership in Egypt explains the group's position in the current crisis and its attitudes toward the United States, Israel, and the rest of the Arab world. On protests in Egypt: "Our first
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Brief Analysis
From Caution to Boldness: U.S. Policy toward Egypt
On February 2, 2011, Robert Satloff, J. Scott Carpenter, Dina Guirguis, and David Schenker addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute. The following is an edited version of Dr. Satloff's opening remarks and responses to questions; a summary of the other presentations was published separately as PolicyWatch
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  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Mohamed ElBaradei: On the Record
A crucial player in Egypt's evolving political crisis, Mohammed ElBaradei is a lawyer by profession and the former head of the Vienna-based International Atomic Energy Agency, from which he retired last year. He was awarded -- along with the IAEA -- the 2005 Nobel Peace Prize for his diplomatic role
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