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شمال أفريقيا

Policy Analysis on شمال أفريقيا

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Brief Analysis
The Coming Secession Crisis in Sudan:
Will There Be War?
On December 17, 2010, Andrew Natsios and Richard Williamson addressed a special Policy Forum at The Washington Institute discussing the ramifications of the upcoming Sudanese referendum. Mr. Natsios, a former U.S. special envoy to Sudan, is currently on the faculty of Georgetown University's Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service
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Brief Analysis
Egypt at the Polls:
Consequences for Cairo and Washington
On November 22, 2010, Dina Guirguis, David Schenker, and Leslie Campbell addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute to discuss the context surrounding Egypt's parliamentary elections. Held a week after the forum, the elections were reportedly marred by irregularities. Ms. Guirguis is a Keston Family research fellow
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Egypt Should Learn from Jordan at the Polls
On November 9, Jordan conducted its first-ever parliamentary elections monitored by domestic and international observers. I was one of the observers and was impressed by the transparency of the process. Indeed, notwithstanding some isolated incidents of violence, the elections themselves set a regional gold-standard for free and fair balloting. When
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Political Change in Egypt:
A Role for the United States?
This is the third of a three-part series on Egypt's political future. PolicyWatch #1717 discusses the country's upcoming parliamentary elections, while Policy Watch #1718 addresses Egypt's use of constitutional and executive power. Recognizing that the Egyptian regime has set the stage for an undemocratic father-son transition, nearly one million Egyptians
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Brief Analysis
Parliamentary Elections in Egypt and Next Year's Presidential Vote
This is the first of a three-part series on Egypt's political future. Read part two and part three. Egypt's parliamentary elections, to be held on November 28, are a dress rehearsal for a much larger event: the 2011 presidential elections. Cairo is currently rife with rumors and National Democratic Party
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Brief Analysis
Stability or Rigidity?
Egypt's Use of Constitutional and Executive Power
This is the second of a three-part series on Egypt's political future. Read part one and part three. The Egyptian regime has used constitutional amendments to consolidate its power vis-a-vis the "loyal opposition" and to fend off independent bids for the presidency. The amendments have also closed off all legal
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Articles & Testimony
Sick Man on the Nile
This week, Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak brought his son Gamal to Washington to attend the kick-off of renewed Israeli-Palestinian peace talks. Back in Cairo, the unprecedented family visit will no doubt reinforce the widespread belief that Mubarak is planning a hereditary succession in the Arab republic. It will also confirm
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  • David Schenker
In-Depth Reports
Reforming the Rogue:
Lessons from the U.S.-Libya Rapprochement
In August 2009, Scottish authorities released Abdel Basset al-Megrahi -- the Libyan terrorist responsible for the deaths of 270 passengers in the 1988 Pan Am Flight 103 bombing over Lockerbie, Scotland. Libya's acceptance of responsibility for the Lockerbie bombing and agreement to pay compensation to the families of victims had
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  • Dana Moss
Articles & Testimony
Racing against Time:
Reform in North Africa and Transatlantic Strategies
In this analysis from the German Marshall Fund's Mediterranean Paper Series 2010, Scott Carpenter explores recent economic and political developments in Morocco, Algeria, Libya, and Tunisia, and the mechanisms by which the transatlantic community has sought to channel social, political, and economic change in them -- for both good and
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Brief Analysis
President Obama's Cairo Speech:
A First-Year Scorecard
Although likely eclipsed in the media by recent Israeli naval action against blockade runners, the first anniversary of President Obama's much-quoted address in Cairo occurs on June 4. In his remarks, described as a "new beginning," he identified seven issues at the heart of tensions between the United States and
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  • J. Scott Carpenter
Brief Analysis
Changing the Paradigm of U.S. Assistance to Egypt:
Alternatives to the 'Endowment' Idea
Recently leaked documents detail an exchange between Washington and Cairo regarding the future of U.S. economic assistance to Egypt. The documents indicate that the Obama administration has welcomed Cairo's idea of ending traditional assistance in favor of creating a new endowment, "The Egyptian-American Friendship Foundation." This idea has a long
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  • J. Scott Carpenter
Brief Analysis
Al-Qaeda's Safe Havens
On February 25, 2010, Seth Jones, Andre Le Sage, and Thomas Krajeski addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute regarding al-Qaeda safe havens in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Yemen, and Somalia. Dr. Jones is a political scientist at the RAND Corporation and an adjunct professor in Georgetown University's Security
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Brief Analysis
Reforming the Rogue:
Lessons from the U.S.-Libyan Rapprochement
On December 3, 2009, Dana Moss and Ronald Bruce St. John addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute to assess whether Tripoli's economic and political resurgence has been matched by domestic and foreign policy transformation. Dana Moss, Next Generation fellow at The Washington Institute, is the author
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  • Dana Moss
Brief Analysis
Qadhafi at the UN:
How to Be Washington's Friend
This week, in a striking symbol of improved U.S.-Libyan relations and Tripoli's reengagement with the international community, Libyan leader Muammar Qadhafi is set to address the UN General Assembly. Previously, Qadhafi refused to visit the UN headquarters because it was located within the borders of "an enemy of humanity." Although
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  • Dana Moss
Articles & Testimony
His Own Worst Enemy
Today, Libyan leader Muammar al-Qaddafi arrives in New York to attend the U.N. General Assembly. Although he hasn't touched down yet, the colonel is already fraying nerves. In the spring, with the Obama administration in the White House, the old tensions between Washington and Tripoli had started to ease. At
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  • David Schenker
U.S.-Libya Relations
Washington Institute Next Generation fellow Dana Moss discussed Washington's relations with Tripoli in an online interview with Council on Foreign Relations editor Stephanie Hanson. Listen to the interview on CFR.org.
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  • Dana Moss
Brief Analysis
Qadhafi's Time in the Limelight:
Impact on U.S. Interests
Numerous celebrations in Libya this week will mark the fortieth anniversary of the September 1 revolution spearheaded by Muammar Qadhafi. For the Great Leader, these events are an opportunity to demonstrate the achievements of the Jamahiriyya and to further legitimize his rule. At the same time, the release and triumphant
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  • Dana Moss
Brief Analysis
Moroccan Elections Unlikely to Upset Status Quo
Although the world has been focused on the sensational politics in Lebanon and Iran, Morocco this week will hold its first municipal election since 2003. Higher voter turnout than in the 2007 legislative election is expected, and if it materializes, it will be attributable more to patronage than to democratic
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  • Dana Moss
Articles & Testimony
The West Should Focus on North Africa
For North Africa, 2009 is a year of elections. Regrettably, these elections -- this week's presidential elections in Algeria, Tunisia's presidential and legislative elections in October, and Morocco's local council elections in June -- attest not to the vibrancy of democracy in the region, but rather to its lingering authoritarianism
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  • Dana Moss
Brief Analysis
Elections in Algeria:
Bouteflika Wins, Legitimacy Loses
On April 9, Algerians go to the polls to elect a head of state. A constitutional amendment engineered by two-term President Abdulaziz Bouteflika in November 2008 allows the septuagenarian to vie for a third term. Running with no credible opponents -- and unopposed by the military and security services (DRS)
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  • Dana Moss

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