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شمال أفريقيا

Policy Analysis on شمال أفريقيا

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Brief Analysis
Libya's Post-Qadhafi Challenges
Libya's challenges are immense, but Washington can take steps to facilitate the transition while ensuring that U.S. interests are not sidelined by other actors.
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  • Andrew Engel
Brief Analysis
Tunisia's Islamists Likely to Win Plurality in the First "Arab Spring" Election
A moderate Islamist party governing in coalition with secularists will offer Tunisia a reasonable chance at real democracy.
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  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Egypt's New Elections Laws: Another Democratic Setback
Election laws that ensure a broadly representative parliament are vital to the legitimacy of Egypt's transition, but the newly announced system falls far short of this goal.
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  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Leading from Behind Still Isn't a Good Idea
Despite Qadhafi's fall, the Obama administration's initial reluctance to become involved in Libya sends a negative signal to Iran and others regarding Washington's stomach for confrontation.
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Military Tribunals: Illiberal and Destabilizing
By subjecting civilians to military tribunals, Egypt's military rulers risk confrontation with the public.
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Implications of the Negev Terrorist Incident
The terrorist attack in the Negev threatens to escalate into both a wider Israel-Gaza conflict and an Egyptian-Israeli diplomatic crisis.
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  • Jeffrey White
  • Ehud Yaari
In-Depth Reports
Between Protests and Power: Middle East Change and U.S. Interests
FEATURING Amr al-Azm, Thomas E. Donilon, Robert Kagan, Hisham Kassem, Martin Kramer, James LaRocco, Robin Wright, Amos Yadlin, Dalia Ziada THE PROCEEDINGS In early 2011, the Middle East began a process of convulsive political change unlike any the region had witnessed in memory. Fueled by a heady mix of rage
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Brief Analysis
Egypt's Revolution Brought to a Halt?
Washington must find the leverage needed to ensure that Egypt's military-supervised transition does not intentionally strengthen Islamists at the expense of revolutionary forces.
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Triangular Power Struggle
Egypt's political future is being decided by the military, the Muslim Brotherhood, and protest groups in the streets.
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Egyptian Liberals Compromise for the Sake of Dubious Unity
The more that liberals concede to Islamist demands, the more they will be marginalized in the struggle for Egypt's future.
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Brief Analysis
Youth Activists Chip Away at Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood
Rather than an ideological split, the formation of a new, small party by Muslim Brotherhood youth activists stems from discontent at their inability to advance quickly.
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Morocco's Constitutional Referendum: Context, Content, and Impact
Morocco's proposed constitutional changes, while seemingly modest, will forestall further unrest and potentially pave the way for greater reforms.
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Brief Analysis
Violent Repression of Protests: How Much Has Changed in Egypt?
On July 1 and 8, protestors plan to hold demonstrations in Cairo's Tahrir Square. If they experience the same violent repression seen at the June 28-29 protests, however, many will begin to question how much has actually changed since the days of former president Hosni Mubarak. New Violence in Tahrir
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Brief Analysis
Egypt's New Political Alliance Could Boost the Islamists
The June 22 announcement that a youth wing of the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood (MB) is splitting off to form its own secular party is emblematic of the unprecedented political activity in post-Mubarak Egypt. June 21 saw the second meeting of the National Democratic Alliance for Egypt, with fourteen smaller parties
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Toward the Endgame in Libya
The conflict in Libya is now dominated by deliberate offensive warfare conducted by the rebels and NATO, and both Muammar Qadhafi and his regime will likely be gone by the end of this phase. The confrontation has been, and will continue to be, a very dramatic event: a once-powerful and
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Arab Spring, Democratic Summer, or Islamist Fall?
On May 4, 2011, Gilles Kepel and Martin Kramer addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Dr. Kepel is the chair of Middle East and Mediterranean studies at the Insitut d'Etudes Politiques de Paris (Sciences Po) and author of Beyond Terror and Martyrdom: The Future of the Middle East
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  • Gilles Kepel
  • Martin Kramer
Brief Analysis
Libya: The Battle for the West
The regime of Muammar Qadhafi is engaging in multiple fights across Libya, but the focal point is now in the west. The battle itself has two main fronts: the city and port of Misratah and the Nafusa Mountains to the south and west of Tripoli. The regime is fighting hard
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
The Grinding War in Libya Favors Qadhafi
Despite appearances, the current state of the Libyan civil war is not a stalemate. Muammar Qadhafi's forces have adapted somewhat to NATO's control of the air and have continued offensive operations. And although rebel forces in the east are slowly improving their organizational, communications, and combat capabilities, they are far
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  • Jeffrey White
In-Depth Reports
Egypt's Enduring Challenges:
Shaping the Post-Mubarak Environment
Although the Papyrus Revolution was a remarkable accomplishment for the Egyptian people, the ongoing transition has spurred trepidation as well as hope in the United States. Past transfers of power in Cairo have led to dramatic policy shifts, giving Washington little reason to believe that the latest leadership change will
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Transition: One Step Forward, Two Steps Back
Ten days after millions of Egyptians voted in the first post-Mubarak election to approve nine constitutional amendments, the country's Supreme Military Council (SMC) has announced it will soon issue its own "constitutional declaration," effectively superseding the existing constitution. This raises the question as to why Egyptians were asked to vote
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