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شمال أفريقيا

Policy Analysis on شمال أفريقيا

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Brief Analysis
Fighting in Libya: The Military Balance
The uprising in Libya has evolved into a significant military struggle. The Qadhafi regime and, to a lesser extent, its opponents are employing substantial levels of violence, including the use of heavy weapons. Thousands have been killed and wounded. At the moment, the military balance lies somewhat in favor of
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Slippery Slope: Libya and the Lessons of Previous No-Fly Zones
In PolicyWatch #1763, Jason Hanover and Jeffrey White outlined the range of military options that the United States could employ to protect the Libyan population from the Qadhafi regime's military forces. The following article specifies the challenges posed by the enforcement of no-fly zones and related no-drive zones, drawing on
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Help Tunisia First
The United States should make at least $50 million available immediately for democratic institution building in Tunisia. The country's size and considerable assets mean that a modest investment could bring huge returns for the Tunisian people and U.S.-Tunisia relations.
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  • J. Scott Carpenter
Brief Analysis
Protecting Egypt's Evolving Democracy
As Egypt's revolution reaches the one-month mark, the first of the people's major demands has been met with the departure of Hosni Mubarak. But this development has left the country's leadership in the hands of the Supreme Military Council (SMC), a body apparently headed by Mubarak's minister of defense, Muhammad
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  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
U.S.-NATO Intervention in Libya: Risks and Benefits
Muammar Qadhafi has vowed to fight to the bitter end, raising the prospect of a protracted and bloody conflict with opportunities for exploitation by radical Islamist elements. Although external military intervention could help prevent a very bad outcome, such action carries its own risks and potential complications. The United States
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  • Jason Hanover
  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Military in Power: Dynamics, Challenges, Prospects
Egypt is now effectively under military control and will likely remain so for some months. The Supreme Military Council (SMC) holds effective decisionmaking authority, although a civilian cabinet remains in place. The SMC has pledged to make a swift transition to a new civilian government, but to date it has
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
"The Last Bullet": Qadhafi and the Future of Libya
Following this weekend's widespread disturbances in Libya, Muammar Qadhafi could lose power within hours or days as his military units and security services crumble in the face of popular discontent. Alternatively, he could decide -- in the ominous words of his son Saif al-Islam -- to "fight to the last
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  • Simon Henderson
  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Energy Security Lessons of the Egypt Crisis
The political turmoil in Egypt has prompted renewed concerns about the security of oil and gas supplies from the Middle East. The country's proximity to two key chokepoints -- the Suez Canal and the Bab al-Mandab Strait between the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden -- is significant. Yet
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  • Simon Henderson
  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Ideas for U.S. Middle East Policy in the Wake of the Egypt Crisis
On February 9, 2011, Washington Institute executive director Robert Satloff testified before the House Foreign Affairs Committee at a hearing titled "Recent Developments in Egypt and Lebanon: Implications for U.S. Policy and Allies in the Broader Middle East." The following is an excerpt from his prepared remarks. Read the complete
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  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Recent Developments in Egypt and Lebanon:
Implications for U.S. Policy and Allies in the Broader Middle East
On February 9, 2011, Washington Institute executive director Robert Satloff testified before the House Foreign Affairs Committee. The following is an excerpt from his prepared remarks. "Events of the past two weeks have constituted an earthquake in terms of Arab political dynamics, the pursuit of security and peace in the
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  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Egypt: A Moment of Change and Challenge
On February 2, 2011, J. Scott Carpenter, Dina Guirguis, David Schenker, and Robert Satloff addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute. Mr. Carpenter is the Institute's Keston Family fellow and director of Project Fikra: Defeating Extremism through the Power of Ideas. Ms. Guirguis is a Keston Family
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  • J. Scott Carpenter
  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The Muslim Brotherhood: On the Record
"Islam is the solution" -- slogan of the Muslim Brotherhood The following sampling of comments by Muslim Brotherhood leadership in Egypt explains the group's position in the current crisis and its attitudes toward the United States, Israel, and the rest of the Arab world. On protests in Egypt: "Our first
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Brief Analysis
From Caution to Boldness: U.S. Policy toward Egypt
On February 2, 2011, Robert Satloff, J. Scott Carpenter, Dina Guirguis, and David Schenker addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute. The following is an edited version of Dr. Satloff's opening remarks and responses to questions; a summary of the other presentations was published separately as PolicyWatch
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  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Mohamed ElBaradei: On the Record
A crucial player in Egypt's evolving political crisis, Mohammed ElBaradei is a lawyer by profession and the former head of the Vienna-based International Atomic Energy Agency, from which he retired last year. He was awarded -- along with the IAEA -- the 2005 Nobel Peace Prize for his diplomatic role
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Brief Analysis
U.S. Interests in Egypt: A Proposed Statement of U.S. Policy
In charting policy that addresses the swiftly moving events in Egypt, it is vital for U.S. leaders to maintain a focus on core U.S. interests. In this regard, President Obama and his national security team should consider a public posture that reflects the following statement: American interests are best served
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  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
How Washington Can Help Tunisia and Other Arab Revolutions
Robert Satloff makes specific recommendations for actions the U.S. government can take to support reform in Tunisia.
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  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Security Forces: A Key Factor in the Crisis
The current wave of protests in Egypt has pitted thousands of demonstrators against the police and Central Security Forces (CSF). The performance of these forces is key to the outcome of the crisis. If they can contain the demonstrations without excessive violence, the protests will likely burn themselves out over
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Will Egypt's "Day of Rage" Become a Revolution?
Inspired by events in Tunisia, tens of thousands of Egyptians took to the streets on January 25 in major cities from Alexandria to Cairo, the largest demonstrations to hit the country since the bread riots of the 1970s. The government, which did not initially confront demonstrators in Cairo's Tahrir Square
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  • J. Scott Carpenter
  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Christian Minorities Under Attack: Iraq and Egypt
On January 20, 2011, Dina Guirguis, a Keston Family research fellow with The Washington Institute's Project Fikra: Defeating Extremism through the Power of Ideas, testified before the House Foreign Affairs Committee. The following is an excerpt from her prepared remarks. "2010 is over.... I had the most wonderful days of
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Brief Analysis
Changing a Stagnant Political Order? End of Ben Ali Era in Tunisia
Today, President Zine al-Abadine Ben Ali of Tunisia stepped down after days of worsening riots and, coincidentally, one day after Secretary of State Hillary Clinton bluntly criticized Middle Eastern leaders during a speech in Qatar, where she accused them of tolerating "corrupt institutions and a stagnant political order." In Tunis
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  • J. Scott Carpenter
  • David Schenker

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