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شمال أفريقيا

Policy Analysis on شمال أفريقيا

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Brief Analysis
Is Qadhafi Changing His Spots?
In the past ten days, Libyan leader Mu‘ammar Qadhafi has made progress in his efforts to achieve international respectability. After fifteen years, a British ambassador, Richard Dalton, arrived in Tripoli pledging to help Libya return to the “mainstream of the international community.” And Colonel Qadhafi’s status as mediator of thorny
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  • Ray Takeyh
Brief Analysis
Qadhafi's Calculated Diplomacy:
Circumventing Lockerbie
Since the handover of the suspects in the 1988 bombing of PanAm flight 103 over Lockerbie, Scotland, Col. Mu'ammar Qadhafi has embarked on a series of diplomatic initiatives suggesting a fundamental reorientation of Libya's foreign policy. The once-uncompromising ideologue has embraced the mantle of a statesman who appears to adhere
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  • Ray Takeyh
Brief Analysis
Morocco after Hassan II:
Domestic Challenges and Regional Implications
The late King Hassan II leaves behind an important legacy in Morocco and the Middle East. He was a courageous peacemaker; a voice of reconciliation between Muslims, Jews, and Christians; and a vital link between Shii and Sunni Muslims. After Hassan's death, it is now up to his son and
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Brief Analysis
From Hassan to Mohammed:
A New Era for Morocco
Given its strategic location at the entrance to the Mediterranean basin, Morocco has for decades been seen as an important bulwark for Western interests, first against Soviet and radical Arab influences (especially the National Liberation Front--FLN--in Algeria) and then against Islamist radicalism, which tore Algeria apart. Morocco appeared as an
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Libya and Africa
Testimony before the House Committee on International Relations, Subcommittee on Africa "I have no time to lose talking with Arabs.... I now talk about Pan-Africanism and African unity." With this declaration, Mu'ammar Qadhafi apparently proclaimed a new era in Libya's foreign policy. In recent weeks, the colonel has buttressed this
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  • Ray Takeyh
Brief Analysis
After Lockerbie:
Qadhafi's Diplomatic Resurrection
American and Libyan diplomats are slated to meet tomorrow at the United Nations in what will be the first face-to-face discussions in more than a decade. The purpose of the meeting is to discuss whether sanctions against Libya, which are currently suspended, should be permanently lifted. However this issue is
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  • Ray Takeyh
Brief Analysis
Algeria:
Facing Presidential Elections
With the 1999 elections, Algeria is the only Arab country to have had two presidential elections that included more than one candidate. The seven candidates running in the 1999 presidential elections represent a wide range of views, minus the two most extreme, that is, the Armed Islamic Group (GIA) and
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Brief Analysis
An End to the Lockerbie Morass?
The Libyan Angle
Libya today handed over two suspects in the 1988 bombing of Pan Am Flight 103. Having worked out a deal that insulates the regime from any further blame, Tripoli finally accepted the offer of a trial to be held at a neutral site under Scottish rules. Less obvious, given Libya's
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  • Ray Takeyh
Brief Analysis
Qaddafi, Lockerbie, and Prospects for Libya
Libya's economic decomposition has led to the rise of an Islamic opposition. The Islamists are increasingly allying with the Libyan armed forces, forming a pragmatic union that is likely to define Libya's political future in the post-Qaddafi period. Background. In the pre-Qaddafi period, Islam played a central role in Libya's
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  • Ray Takeyh
  • Gideon Rose
Brief Analysis
Sudan May Emerge As Irritant to U.S.-Egyptian Ties
As President Clinton toured Africa earlier this month, seven U.S. government officials met with Sudanese rebel leaders in Asmara. The meeting followed months of signs that the U.S. government is stepping up efforts to weaken if not overthrow the Sudanese government. At the same time, ties between the governments of
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  • Jon B. Alterman
Brief Analysis
Algeria:
Between Democracy and Terrorism
Contrary to most media reportage, the constitutional crisis in Algeria in 1991-1992 was not the engine that ignited terrorism. Acts of terrorism by groups and individuals claiming to speak in the name of Islam began in the mid-1980s, when the Algerian government began exploring ways to implement economic reforms and
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Brief Analysis
Algeria after Elections:
What Next?
The results of the Algerian election suggest that about 80 percent of the Algerian people (at least those who voted) favor separating "mosque" and "state." This outcome is significant because it indicates that Algerians are successfully resisting "Islamic totalitarianism." Many Algerians have said that the vote wasn't as clean as
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In-Depth Reports
An Islamic Republic of Algeria?
Implications for the Middle East and the West
The More than three years after Algeria's military-backed government annulled the results of the first round of parliamentary elections, the country remains locked in a bloody civil war with insurgents seeking to establish a sharia-based Islamic regime. While by no means assured, an Islamist takeover could occur in one of
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Brief Analysis
Tunisian Foreign Minister Habib ben Yahia
On October 6, 1994, Tunisian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Habib Ben Yahia, addressed The Washington Institute's Policy Forum on Tunisia's role in the Arab-Israeli peace process and the regional implications of developments in Algeria. The following is a rapporteur's summary of his off the record remarks. Tunisia's Role in the
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Brief Analysis
Algerian Politics:
Outlook and Regional Implications
On September 14, 1994, Amb. Mary Ann Casey, who just finished a tour as U.S. ambassador to Algeria, and Dr. Gideon Gera, the Meyerhoff Fellow at The Washington Institute, addressed The Institute's Policy Forum on the prospects and implications of a potential Islamic takeover in Algeria. The following is a
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In-Depth Reports
Radical Middle East States and U.S. Policy
The challenge posed to the United States by the radical regimes in the Middle East -- Libya, Iraq, Iran, and Syria -- is one of the most important foreign policy issues facing Washington today. These regimes, although weakened by the demise of the USSR, have by no means been disabled
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  • Barry Rubin
Brief Analysis
Libya and the Gulf Crisis:
The Strangest Bedfellow
As yesterday's vote in the Security Council again demonstrates, the cohesion of the anti-Iraq coalition is far stronger than most observers had originally predicted. Even Libyan dictator Muammar Qadhafi, the most maverick, anti-Western Arab leader, has been cooperating with the coalition, respecting the UN sanctions against Iraq and calling for
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  • Barry Rubin

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