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Articles & Testimony
Tehran’s Homeland Option: Terror Pathways for Iran to Strike in the United States
Given their long history of terrorist plots in the West, Iranian agents and proxies could pursue multiple options for hitting back at America after the June war.
August 2025
◆
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
To Halt the Jihadist Advance in Somalia, Work with Turkey and the UAE
Overhauled Turkish and Emirati training programs for the Somali army and renewed funding for the African Union mission could provide the boost that Mogadishu needs, and Washington should push for both.
۲۰ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
Ido Levy
Brief Analysis
Maintaining Momentum in Syria’s Energy Sector
New oil, gas, and infrastructure initiatives have continued rolling in since the Trump administration’s removal of sanctions, but they may amount to little in the long term unless more is done to build Syria’s own capacity, tamp down on political tensions, and address bureaucratic confusion.
۱۹ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
Audrey Kost
Andrew J. Tabler
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah Leader Meets With Coordination Framework, Refuses Government Authority to Censure
KH's secretary-general signaled that his terrorist organization would not face negative consequences for killing an Iraqi policeman. Thus far, he's right.
۱۸ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
Ameer al-Kaabi
◆
Militia Spotlight
Video
Brief Analysis
The Future of UNIFIL and Hezbollah Disarmament
Former Israeli and Lebanese military officials discuss whether the UN force can play any effective role in the urgent tasks of expanding Beirut’s sovereignty and disarming Hezbollah.
۱۸ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
Khalil Helou
Sarit Zehavi
Assaf Orion
Video
Brief Analysis
Arms Sales and the Middle East: Another Arena for Great Power Competition?
Security experts discuss Russia and China’s varying approaches to expanding their weapons exports and broader influence in the region and beyond.
۱۵ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
Samuel Bendett
Ionela Ciolan
Laura Cressey
Jake Rinaldi
Articles & Testimony
Make Hamas Face a Choice
Netanyahu’s call to take over Gaza City and separate civilians from Hamas seems like a nonstarter in practical terms, but Israel could play on the group’s fear of being put back in charge of a shattered territory.
August 2025
◆
Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
Freedom of Religion in Turkey: Foreign Policy Implications
The director of the Institute’s Turkish Research Program testifies on why Ankara remains vitally important to U.S. policy in the Middle East and the great power arena despite its major domestic shifts in mosque-state relations under President Erdogan.
۱۴ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Twisted Logic Behind Recognition of Palestinian Statehood
France, Britain, and Canada have been paving (separate) roads to nowhere with their recent statehood push, underscoring the profound gap between declaring a historic policy objective and defining a strategy to actually achieve it—ironically, the same gap Israel has fallen into since October 7.
۱۴ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Congressional Funding Increase Not Enough to Strengthen State Department
American assistance to the Middle East apparently won’t be cut back as drastically as the Trump administration hoped, but questions abound regarding the diluted department’s capacity to actually use the restored funds effectively.
۱۳ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
Ben Fishman
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Saudi Public Opinion in a Changing Middle East:
Great Powers, the Gaza War, Pathways for the Kingdom
China and Russia get higher marks than the United States, and Israel normalization is on hold—but respondents view Hamas negatively, want Arab involvement in the peace process, and increasingly support moderate interpretations of Islam.
۱۳ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
Catherine Cleveland
Brief Analysis
How “Day After” Governance of Gaza Can Draw from Existing Plans
NGOs and foreign officials have already outlined many of the most crucial transitional governance and security issues that will arise during and after Israel’s eventual withdrawal—and all of them will require some degree of oversight and leadership from the Trump administration.
۱۲ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
Recognising a Symbolic Palestinian State Will Only Help Israel’s Far Right Block a Real One
Instead of empty gestures, Western leaders could have pressed for a detailed postwar plan for securing Gaza, removing Hamas from power, reforming the PA, and laying real foundations for future statehood.
۱۱ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
Dennis Ross
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iran Has Taken More U.S. Citizens Hostage. It’s Time to Shred the Regime’s Playbook.
Both before and after the twelve-day war, the Islamic Republic has taken U.S. citizens hostage, necessitating a multifaceted U.S.-led strategy that ends the practice for good.
۸ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
Holly Dagres
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Implications of the Recent Violence in Suwayda
The violence in Suwayda has exposed the limits of Ahmed al-Sharaa’s control of Syria. But the assumption that the Druze community there is a monolith does not bear out: Damascus and Jerusalem are vying for influence amid the various leaders competing for power in the southwestern Syrian governorate.
۶ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
Erik Yavorsky
Articles & Testimony
In Tunisia, U.S. Tariffs Will Be Felt Across Many Fronts
For producers, the main concern is not lost revenue or market share but instead damage to relationships they have worked hard to cultivate.
۵ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
Sabina Henneberg
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Threatened Militia Escalation Related to the PMF Draft Laws
Iran-backed terrorist militias are upping their threats against the United States and Iraqi minorities in the event the PMF is not made into a permanent institution.
۵ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
Ameer al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Israel-UAE Defense Cooperation Grows Under the Abraham Accords
Negotiations between Elbit Systems and EDGE Group over the Hermes 900 UAV system exemplify how the accords are ushering in a new era of defense-industrial cooperation.
۵ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
Elizabeth Dent
Brief Analysis
If Iraq Passes the New PMF Law, the U.S. Response Should Be Severe
Permanently enshrining Iran-backed terrorist groups inside the Iraqi state would be a massive blow to U.S. interests, so Washington’s reaction should be clear, proportionately harsh, and coordinated with other regional partners who have likewise been victimized by these groups.
۴ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Promises of Billions Confirm Saudi Political Support for Syria
The high-level Saudi delegation to a Damascus investment conference indicates Riyadh is betting on President Sharaa.
۴ اوت ۲۰۲۵
◆
Simon Henderson
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