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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

عرب و اسلام سیاسی

Policy Analysis on عرب و اسلام سیاسی

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Articles & Testimony
Israel-GCC Ties Twenty-Five Years After the First Gulf War
Although broader public relations between Israel and the Gulf states have yet to take off, many of their economic, intelligence, and diplomatic ties are already at cruising altitude.
۱۴ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Most Important Nobel Winner You've Never Heard Of
The Nobel Committee rightfully recognized the strong civil society institutions that mediated Tunisia's difficult political transition at a time when other regional states were falling into chaos.
۱۳ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
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  • Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
Fall of the Brotherhood, Rise of the Salafis
Comparing the recent rhetoric, actions, and outreach styles of Muslim Brothers and Salafis provides insight into their current reversals of fortune.
۱۱ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Jacob Olidort
Jordanian flag
Articles & Testimony
Jordan's Public Dislikes Russia, Iran, Hezbollah, and ISIS -- but Wants to Stay Out of Syria
Recent polling results suggest that King Abdullah's low-profile policy toward Syria is well calculated to keep him out of trouble.
۹ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
The AKP's New Face: Assessing the September Board Vote Ahead of November's Elections
The new governing board has fewer young members, fewer women, and more old-guard members with close ties to President Erdogan, who is betting that this alignment will help the party regain its legislative majority next month.
۸ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Cem Yolbulan
  • Angelica Kilinc
Articles & Testimony
Russia Pursues a New Baghdad Pact
Putin's latest Middle Eastern moves are aimed not so much at expanding his front line of tensions with the West, but rather at making a deal by proving that he has acquired a lot of cards in the region.
۸ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
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  • Ehud Yaari
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Syria's Kurds Are Contemplating an Aleppo Alliance with Assad and Russia
The PYD will not hesitate to cooperate with Damascus and Moscow in the north if Turkey and the United States continue prohibiting the unification of Kurdish enclaves.
۷ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Putin and the Shiite 'Axis of Resistance'
The resurgence of the Shiite axis was made possible in part by the absence of a credible U.S. policy in Syria, and it will only be bolstered if Washington embraces Russia and Iran as regional security partners.
۷ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Best Bad Idea for America in Syria
As Russia, Iran, and Assad fight to carve out their future spheres of influence in Syria, Washington needs to help its Sunni allies establish their own spheres and retake eastern territory from ISIS and al-Qaeda.
۵ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Iran's Majlis Unlikely to Settle Internal Dispute on the Nuclear Deal
The release of a special-committee report to the Majlis will be seized on by hardliners, who will continue to voice their opposition even in the probable event implementation goes forward.
۲ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Iran's Iraqi Shiite Proxies Increase Their Deployment to Syria
Recent online activities show that various Iranian-backed Iraqi Shiite militias have greatly expanded their recruitment efforts in support of the Assad regime, including numerous reports of significant battlefield action.
۲ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Phillip Smyth
Articles & Testimony
Dismissal of Algerian Intelligence Chief: A New Phase in Algerian History?
General Toufik's departure could end the contest of wills between the intelligence and political leadership, but Algeria's democratic transition will likely remain on the back burner amid dire economic and security concerns.
۲ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Yacine Boudhane
Articles & Testimony
The Future of Kurdistan
Whether Iraqi Kurdistan becomes a de facto or de jure nation, it will face the same challenge that all oil-dependent states face: the need to diversify its economy, create good jobs, and live within its means as a hedge against fluctuating oil prices.
۲ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Toward a Realistic Assessment of the Gulf States Taking in Syrians
Since 2011, the Arab Gulf monarchies have likely absorbed several hundred thousand Syrians under temporary circumstances.
۳۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Elections (Part 2): Salafis Use Education to Campaign
Amid growing public concern about their ideological associations with ISIS, Salafist political parties and their 'quietist' critics have been using students and educational institutions as a pulpit for questioning each other's legitimacy.
۳۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Jacob Olidort
Articles & Testimony
Syria's Good Neighbors: How Jordan and Lebanon Sheltered Millions of Refugees
If the war and its resultant mass refugee flows continue, economic and social pressures could destabilize Jordan and Lebanon, steering more displaced Syrians toward Europe.
۲۸ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Elections (Part 1): Al-Nour Goes on the Defensive
Recognizing the recent threats to its ideology, the Salafist Nour Party seems bent on maximizing its prospects in the upcoming elections by downplaying its doctrinal rigidity, holding onto its constituents, and expanding its popular support base.
۲۸ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Jacob Olidort
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Snap Elections May Not Change Much
Barring a last-minute surprise, President Erdogan's efforts to return his AKP to single-party rule could be hindered by a faltering economy and declining domestic security.
۲۸ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Asli Aydintasbas
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Kirkuk May Be Key to National Reconciliation in Iraq
One of the country's most strategic provinces is up for grabs, but Baghdad and the KRG are too politically and economically broken to reach out and help.
۲۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Michael Knights
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Latakia Is Assad's Achilles Heel
In light of its large Sunni population, the coastal city and its environs are not secure for the Syrian regime, possibly explaining why Russian forces are concentrating there.
۲۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche

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David Schenker
دیوید شنکر
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