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عراق

Policy Analysis on عراق

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Brief Analysis
Shi'i Opposition in Iraq:
An Emerging Challenge
Riots last week in Baghdad and Basra raised questions about Shi'i opposition to the Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA). While the Shi'i community has been relatively quiet compared to the Sunni population, elements of the Shi'i have adopted a consistent position against the CPA, occupation forces, and the appointed Governing Council
۲۱ اوت ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Iraq's Ruptured Pipeline to Peace
The attacks against the United Nations headquarters yesterday and against Iraq's oil pipeline to Turkey last weekend illustrate how political and economic security are closely entwined. Ba'athist diehards know that the continuing hardships stemming from economic collapse is what will raise the political temperature among ordinary Iraqis. The lack of
۲۰ اوت ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
U.S.-Turkish Military Cooperation in Iraq:
The Next Step
A surprising summit meeting yesterday in Ankara involving members of the Justice and Development Party (AKP) government, the Turkish General Staff, the Turkish Foreign Ministry, and the Turkish National Intelligence Organization produced an agreement "in principle" to send Turkish "peacekeeping soldiers" to Iraq. From one perspective, if Turkish troops were
۱۳ اوت ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Budgetary Predictions Cast Doubt on Rapid Iraqi Reconstruction
If Iraq is to rebuild its infrastructure and restore its economy at the pace forecast by the Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA), it will need to bridge a major near-term financing gap by increasing capital inflows from outside the country and simultaneously improving its ability to absorb aid and investment. Oil
۱۲ اوت ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Iraqi Sunni Resistance
Since President George W. Bush declared an end to "major combat operations" in Iraq on May 1, coalition forces have repositioned themselves to deal with the emerging resistance in Iraq. Although many attacks on the coalition have taken place in Baghdad, 90 percent are occurring in the so-called "Sunni triangle,"
۱۱ اوت ۲۰۰۳
Brief Analysis
U.S.-Turkish Military Cooperation in Iraq?
The Next Step
A surprising summit meeting yesterday in Ankara involving members of the Justice and Development Party (AKP) government, the Turkish General Staff, the Turkish Foreign Ministry, and the Turkish National Intelligence Organization produced an agreement "in principle" to send Turkish "peacekeeping soldiers" to Iraq. From one perspective, if Turkish troops were
۷ اوت ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
In-Depth Reports
Dancing with Saddam:
The Strategic Tango of Jordanian-Iraqi Relations
Jordan has long served as a pivot between moderate pro-Western and radical anti-American states in the Middle East. In the wake of "regime change" in Iraq, the economic, social, and political effects on Jordan will be pervasive. David Schenker, an expert in Middle Eastern politics, explores the complex nature of
۱ اوت ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
What Window of Opportunity?
During the build-up to the 2003 Iraq War, President George W. Bush delivered a watershed speech at a prominent Washington DC-based think tank. In late February at the American Enterprise Institute, Bush suggested that after dealing with Saddam Hussein, Israel "will be expected to support the creation of a viable
۱۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۳
Brief Analysis
Can Americans, Turks, and Kurds Get Along in Northern Iraq?
A Vision
Recently, the bitterness between Ankara and Washington over Turkey's failure to extend full support to the Iraq campaign culminated in a much-feared quagmire. On July 4, U.S. Army forces detained eleven Turkish special operations troops in Sulaymaniyah, northern Iraq, possibly based on Iraqi Kurdish intelligence that they were planning to
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The New Iraqi Army:
Problems and Prospects
According to a June 23, 2003, coalition administration announcement, recruitment for the new Iraqi army is to begin shortly. This is a potentially momentous step with major long-term implications for the future of the state. It will not be easy to create a new army to support a democratic Iraq
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
A Window of Opportunity for Israel?
"The tragic conflict between Israelis and Palestinians continues to elude resolution. But I believe that there exists a window of opportunity similar to the one that existed in the aftermath of the Gulf War in 1991." —James Baker III, former U.S. secretary of state[1] President George W. Bush hinted during
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۳
Brief Analysis
Patterns of Sunni Resistance in Iraq
Almost from the beginning of the occupation of Iraq, coalition forces have faced "resistance" -- armed action against coalition forces, equipment, or facilities. Resistance is to be distinguished from violence by Iraqis against other Iraqis and from "opposition" -- that is, anticoalition statements, demonstrations, or the organization of political activity
۱۱ ژوئن ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Iraq and Iran:
Crosswinds?
A. WILLIAM SAMII Although there are various players with different agendas in Iran's foreign policy bureaucracy, all those with real power agree on the unattractiveness of the situation in Iraq. Hence, Tehran has become increasingly involved in postwar Iraq. In addition to providing humanitarian assistance to Iraqis, Iran has been
۳۰ مهٔ ۲۰۰۳
Articles & Testimony
A Terrorist U.S. Ally?
One of the stranger news items coming out of Iraq these days concerns an Iranian opposition group called the Mujahedeen-e Khalq (MEK). It's a U.S. government-designated terrorist organization that coalition forces first bombed from the air, then signed a cease-fire agreement with -- and finally disarmed and protected. Say that
۲۰ مهٔ ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The Role of Broadcast Media in Influence Operations in Iraq
Successfully shaping Iraqi public perceptions is vitally important, particularly since other well-known means of influencing the public -- creating stability and reestablishing water, power, and other public welfare services -- are taking longer than expected. Yet, the coalition has arguably been slower to shape the Iraqi media environment than either
۱۹ مهٔ ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
An Arab Liberal Looks at the Post-Saddam Middle East
The fall of Saddam Husayn's regime is a seminal moment in the Middle East. President George W. Bush has called for democratization in the region, and the predicted results vary widely, ranging from Arab radicalization to Islamist militancy to rapid political and economic liberalization. Although liberalism is a minority voice
۱۳ مهٔ ۲۰۰۳
Brief Analysis
Impact of Success in Iraq on Gulf States
The end of Saddam Husayn's regime offers several key benefits with regard to U.S. interests. World oil supplies will increase as Iraq -- which has not been a major oil exporter since the beginning of the 1980-1988 war with Iran -- raises its oil production capacity to its full potential
۲۴ آوریل ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Emergence of Resistance in Iraq
Whatever the long-term prospects for a stable and democratic Iraq, the potential exists for the development of resistance to that goal. This potential is rooted in both historical factors (e.g., Iraq's political culture; Iraqi distrust of the United States; enduring images of colonialism) and immediate circumstances (e.g., the collapse of
۲۳ آوریل ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
U.S. Policy and Iraqi Oil:
The Challenges Ahead
This Thursday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) -- the oil producers' cartel of which Iraq is a founding member -- meets in Vienna to discuss production cuts intended to maintain the current, relatively high price of oil. The United States is not expected to send a representative
۲۲ آوریل ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
Defining the Postwar Priorities in the Middle East
Peter David: Robert Satloff said he wanted a British ally to be present at this meeting. So in one sense, I owe my presence here to the work of the Seventh Armored Brigade, the British unit that captured Basra. The way the brigade captured Basra was quite unusual. They approached
۱۴ آوریل ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
  • David Makovsky

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