نظامی و امنیتی

Policy Analysis on نظامی و امنیتی

An Egyptian guard inspects bomb damage near the Gaza border in Sinai

Sinai's Emergence as a Strategic Threat to Israel

If international awareness does not spur immediate Egyptian action to address the growing security vacuum and increased terrorist incidents on the border with Israel, the Sinai powder keg may soon explode.

۲۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲

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Michael Herzog

Brief Analysis

Terror from Sinai: Global Jihadist Groups on Israel's Doorstep

Statements and a video released on an al-Qaeda website are disturbing evidence of the growing lawlessness in Egypt’s Sinai Peninsula.

۲۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲

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Aaron Y. Zelin

In-Depth Reports

From Crisis to Cooperation:

Turkey's Relations with Washington and NATO

As recently as 2011, most discussions of the U.S-Turkey relationship necessarily focused on discord, disappointment, and growing concern. With memories of the Gaza flotilla incident and Turkish dissent on Iran sanctions still fresh, the horizon was clouded and turbulent. The intervening months have brought a dramatic turnaround, however. In this

۱۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲

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Rich Outzen

Video

Brief Analysis

Israeli Security in a Changing Regional Environment

Watch the 2012 Zeev Schiff Memorial Lecture on Middle East Security with one of Israel's most experienced military leaders.

۱۸ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲

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Yoav Galant

◆ Zeev Schiff Memorial Lectures

Articles & Testimony

Calling Iran's Bluff: It's Time to Offer Tehran a Civilian Nuclear Program

The ultimate goal of the ongoing nuclear negotiations with Iran, the next round of which commences in Moscow on June 18, has always been the same: Determining whether Iran is willing to accept that its nuclear program must be credibly limited in a way that precludes it from being able

۱۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲

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Dennis Ross

Brief Analysis

Foreign Fighters Trickle into the Syrian Rebellion

Foreign Islamists are beginning to play a role in the fight against Assad's forces, albeit a small one.

۱۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲

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Aaron Y. Zelin

In-Depth Reports

Russia's Relations with Iran:

Dialogue without Commitments

Under current conditions, it would be naive to expect Russia to severely curtail its relations with Tehran or officially support the West's stance on the nuclear question. Given Iran's importance as a regional player, Moscow simply cannot afford confrontation with its southern neighbor. At the same time, Russia's pragmatic, cost-benefit

۱۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲

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Nikolay Kozhanov

Articles & Testimony

Why a Syrian Civil War Would Be a Disaster For U.S. National Security

Speaking Thursday before the U.N. General Assembly, just one day after the latest massacre of civilians by government-affiliated forces, Kofi Annan warned that the crisis in Syria was on a disastrous course. “If things do not change, the future is likely to be one of brutal repression, massacres, sectarian violence

۸ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲

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Robert Satloff

Brief Analysis

U.S. Options for Syria: Action vs. Inaction

The Obama administration should take actions to overcome the obstacles to, and mitigate the risks of, bolder international action in Syria.

۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲

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Michael Singh

Brief Analysis

Preserving UN Peacekeeping in the Levant

Violence in Syria and Lebanon coincides with diminished international commitment to UN forces monitoring the borders with Israel.

۶ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲

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David Schenker

Brief Analysis

The MFO Under Fire in Sinai

Deteriorating security in the Sinai Peninsula threatens not only the peacekeepers based there, but also the Egyptian-Israeli peace treaty.

۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲

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David Schenker

In-Depth Reports

Beyond Worst-Case Analysis:

Iran's Likely Responses to an Israeli Preventive Strike

Although an Israeli preventive strike on Iran's nuclear program would be a high-risk endeavor carrying a potential for escalation in the Levant or the Persian Gulf, it would not be the apocalyptic event that some foresee. In this Policy Note, two Washington Institute military experts assess the likelihood of various

۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲

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Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Knights

Articles & Testimony

The Turkey-Syria Military Balance

After the number of Syrian refugees entering Turkey reached 25,000 in April, public statements by senior Turkish officials began raising the possibility of military action. Specifically, Ankara has hinted at the possibility of establishing a buffer zone or safe haven inside Syria to defend the civilian population and contain the

۳۱ مه ۲۰۱۲

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Soner Cagaptay
Coskun Unal

Brief Analysis

Assad's Response to the Annan Plan: Violence as Usual

In light of the Houla tragedy and other indicators of growing violence, the UN observer mission in Syria will likely be withdrawn, spurring the regime to escalate its offensive operations even further.

۲۹ مه ۲۰۱۲

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Jeffrey White

Articles & Testimony

Command and Control

This week, the world's major powers resumed negotiations with Iran over its nuclear program. Should they fail, the specter of a possible Israeli strike looms large, seeming to grow more likely as Tehran's nuclear program advances. In recent weeks, however, the conventional wisdom has shifted to favor the view that

۲۳ مه ۲۰۱۲

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David Makovsky
Olivia Holt-Ivry

In-Depth Reports

Finding a Balance:

U.S. Security Interests and the Arab Awakening

The Arab Awakening—in which local youths accomplished through weeks of nonviolent action what al-Qaeda had failed to do through years of terrorism and bloodshed—has created significant opportunities to counter radical Islamist propaganda and leverage financial tools against violently repressive regimes. Yet it has also strained the intelligence community's resources, forcing

۲۳ مه ۲۰۱۲

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Matthew Levitt

Brief Analysis

Too Early to Expect a Breakthrough on Iran

While the upcoming talks in Baghdad are unlikely to lead to a breakthrough, Washington should use them to determine whether a deal is ultimately possible.

۲۲ مه ۲۰۱۲

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Dennis Ross

Brief Analysis

Syria's Crisis Reaches Beirut

The latest clashes in Beirut show that as long as the Syrian conflict persists, Lebanon's internal security will be increasingly at risk.

۲۱ مه ۲۰۱۲

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Andrew Engel

Articles & Testimony

Winter or Spring: Islamists, the Military, and Post-Revolution Politics in Egypt

The following is an excerpt from an article that appeared in Middle East Insights (vol. 3, no. 3). To read the full article, download the PDF. The so-called "Arab Spring" has forever changed the face of the Middle East, and it's not finished. While the revolts that toppled longtime autocrats

۱۱ مه ۲۰۱۲

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David Schenker

Video

In-Depth Reports

Iran Policy Options: Prevention, Containment, and the Nuclear Challenge

Experts tied to the administrations of Presidents Barack Obama and George W. Bush agreed that preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons should be American foreign policy and that an Israeli military strike against the country’s nuclear facilities is inadvisable this year. Speaking to The Washington Institute’s Weinberg Founders Conference, Colin

۵ مه ۲۰۱۲

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Colin Kahl
Jamie Fly

Supported by the

Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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مایکل آیزنستات هموند دیوید کان و داگلاس کان و مدیر برنامه مطالعات امنیتی و نظامی انستیو واشنگتن است.

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Elizabeth Dent

Elizabeth Dent is the Nathan and Esther K. Wagner Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.

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