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کشورهای حاشیه‌خلیج فارس

Policy Analysis on کشورهای حاشیه‌خلیج فارس

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An explosion hits the civilian cargo vessel MV Tutor in the Red Sea - source: Houthi Media Center
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Houthi Ship Attacks Pose a Longer-Term Challenge to Regional Security and Trade Plans
The immediate effects of the Houthi antishipping campaign are measurably serious, but the United States, Saudi Arabia, and other partners also need to prepare for the emboldened group to exert its newfound leverage in other ways beyond the Gaza war.
۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Noam Raydan
NATO member flags fly at half-staff in solidarity with victims of the November 2015 Paris terror attacks - source: NATO
Brief Analysis
The NATO Summit Is Another Chance to Counter Russia in the “South”
The alliance has already been shifting toward greater engagement with the Middle East and Africa, but various maritime and infrastructure threats require more urgent attention, as does the broader problem of countering Moscow’s narrative.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Houthi claims
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Groups and Yemen's Houthis Claim More Joint Attacks on Israel
The Iraqi "resistance" and their Iran-backed fellow travelers in Yemen have added a new example of jointly branded attacks to their growing list of collaborative claims.
۱۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Energy Watchdog Predicts Big Oil Surplus by 2030
Implied lower prices would weaken economic forecasts for major Middle East oil producers.
۱۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Kuwait City at sunset.
Brief Analysis
A Kuwaiti Reset?
The new emir’s suspension of parliament, followed by the appointment of a prime minister and crown prince, suggests a different direction for the oil-rich Gulf state.
۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Simon Henderson
  • David Schenker
Marshall Islands–flagged bulk carrier Laax (IMO 9512355), which was attacked in the southern Red Sea on May 28, 2024. photo obtained via the X/Twitter account of French forces stationed in the UAE and deployed in the Indian Ocean, https://x.com/FFEAU_ALINDIEN/status/1795837694960189920.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Behind Houthi Attacks on Ships Operated by Greece-Based Companies
Links to Israel-linked companies, especially in light of the Rafah invasion, are again the culprit.
۳۱ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Noam Raydan
  • Farzin Nadimi
◆ Maritime Spotlight
Video
Brief Analysis
Pursuing a Stable Peace in Yemen that Preserves U.S. Interests
The U.S. ambassador to Yemen joins an expert conflict practitioner to discuss Washington’s policy options for resolving the civil war.
۳۱ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Nadwa Al-Dawsari
  • Steven Fagin
U.S. and Saudi air force officers greet one another during a joint exercise - source: Department of Defense
Brief Analysis
Security Cooperation in a Changed Region: How to Advance the U.S.-GCC Defense Working Groups
From aligning weapons acquisition strategies and improving intelligence sharing to getting the diplomatic framing right, U.S. officials can do more to advance regional air defense and maritime security through this week’s working groups and beyond.
۲۱ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Dana Stroul
◆ Risks and Opportunities in the Post-April 13 Middle East
A Houthi propaganda image published by the group's al-Masirah TV network.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Latest Houthi Maritime Threats
Even increased aggressive activity in the Indian Ocean will be unlikely to seriously disrupt maritime traffic and global trade—but vessels calling on Israeli ports will need to take extra precautions.
۱۶ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Noam Raydan
  • Farzin Nadimi
◆ Maritime Spotlight
Brief Analysis
A Year of Arab Engagement with Assad Has Failed
The “carrots” approach only emboldened the regime to increase its smuggling of Captagon and weapons, but Caesar sanctions remain a potent stick.
۱۵ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Flags of Gulf Cooperation Council countries and Turkey on display in Riyadh
Articles & Testimony
The Arab Approach to Mediation—Reshaping Diplomacy in a Multipolar World
Given their unique cultural concepts and major economic and political clout, the Gulf states are poised to play an even more significant role in future peace and security initiatives.
Spring 2024
◆
  • Nickolay Mladenov
تحلیل کوتاه
حاشیه هسته‌ای دیپلماسی پاکستان با ایران و عربستان
بازدیدهای سطح بالای دیپلماتیک اخیر نشان‌دهنده‌ی استیصال اقتصادی در کنار فرصت‌طلبی راهبردی –و چه بسا هسته‌ای– است.
۹ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • سایمون هندرسون
Take-off of claimed Saraya al-Ashtar April 27, 2024 drone attack on Israel
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Is Kataib Hezbollah Behind Saraya al-Ashtar's Claimed Attack on Israel?
The connection between exiled Bahraini terrorists and Iraq's Kataib Hezbollah is demonstrably strong and probably explains the strange incident.
۴ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Amir al-Kaabi
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Why Israel Should Declare a Unilateral Cease-Fire in Gaza
Doing so could turn the tables on Hamas and Iran while simultaneously advancing normalization with Saudi Arabia and other regional governments.
۱ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • David Makovsky
◆ Risks and Opportunities in the Post-April 13 Middle East
Yemen's Houthis in formation.
Articles & Testimony
Assessing the Houthi War Effort Since October 2023
An in-depth look at the movement’s current capabilities, military situation inside Yemen, and strategic intentions amid the Gaza war and beyond.
April 2024
◆
  • Michael Knights
The car carrier Hyperion Ray (IMO 9690559) was struck near Fujairah, UAE, in April 2021. The ship was owned by Israel-based Ray Shipping Ltd when it was attacked. Photo credit: Rick Voice via MarineTraffic.com.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Pay Attention to Ship Seizures, Not Threats to Close Strait of Hormuz
Low-key actions like seizures can increase regional and global concerns and increase Iran's leverage.
۲۹ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Noam Raydan
  • Farzin Nadimi
◆ Maritime Spotlight
The container ship Jin Shun He (IMO 9144316) docked at the port of NEOM in Oxagon. Photo credit: Photo credit: @NEOMOxagon, posted on X (formerly Twitter), April 15, 2024, https://x.com/NEOMOxagon/status/1779799779230302424. .
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Amid Red Sea Crisis, Saudi Company Launches North Shipping Service
Riyadh’s aim to become a global logistics hub connecting three continents will face challenges if risks to southern Red Sea shipping persist at their current levels.
۲۰ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Noam Raydan
  • Farzin Nadimi
◆ Maritime Spotlight
A Sudanese protester against military rule
Brief Analysis
Curbing Outside Intervention in the Sudan War
Diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict are being challenged by U.S. partners and adversaries alike, including key Middle East players.
۴ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Jonathan Campbell-James
Photo of Chinese and Emirati leaders walking.
Brief Analysis
G42 and the China-UAE-U.S. Triangle
By sharing very specific concerns directly with the United Arab Emirates, the White House and Congress were rewarded with tangible action on a key company’s ties to Beijing—though more such engagement is needed to keep regional partners aware of U.S. risk tolerance.
۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Andrew G. Clemmensen
  • Rebecca Redlich
  • Grant Rumley
Photo showing fighters from the Somali terrorist group al-Shabab.
Brief Analysis
Emirati Military Support Is Making a Difference in Somalia
Preserving the UAE's role and synchronizing it with Turkey and Qatar's efforts could be a force multiplier for the Somali government’s offensive against al-Shabab.
۱۸ مارس ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Ido Levy

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