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فرایند صلح

Policy Analysis on فرایند صلح

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Brief Analysis
Hizballah's Vision of the Lebanon-Israel Border
On February 28, Hizballah fired 57mm antiaircraft missiles at Israeli planes flying over the Shebaa Farms area. According to Hizballah information officer Hassan Azzedin, "the current line of Israeli withdrawal ('blue line') is not consistent with the international boundary and not recognized by the Lebanese government. That's why we're pursuing
۴ مارس ۲۰۰۲
◆
  • Avi Jorisch
Brief Analysis
Hamas:
Toward a Lebanese-Style War of Attrition?
Lebanon may well have come to the West Bank and Gaza. Over the past year and a half, Hamas has adopted traditional Hizballah guerilla tactics such as roadside bombings, short-range rocket and mortar launchings, using squads of terrorists from a variety of groups, and videotaping attacks and potential suicide bombers
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۲
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Iran and the Palestinian War against Israel:
Implications of the <em>Karine-A</em> Affair
The seizure by Israel of a ship carrying 50 tons of sophisticated weaponry bound for the Palestinian Authority from Iran in early January should send a wake-up call to American policymakers. The threat of terror and war in the Middle East has never been higher. The United States defeated the
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۲
Articles & Testimony
If Not Peace, Set the Stage for Possibility
Critics may be right in dismissing the possibility that Yasser Arafat and Ariel Sharon can conclude a final peace agreement with one another. Each, however, has a unique opportunity and responsibility to break taboos and set principles that will facilitate peacemaking by his successor. There is ample evidence to believe
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۲
◆
  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Sharon and Buffer Zones
Recriminations between Israelis and Palestinians on whether Israel sufficiently eased restrictions yesterday on the movement of Palestinian Authority Chairman Yasir Arafat within Ramallah (in return for the arrest of three Palestinians involved in the killing of an Israeli cabinet minister) have overshadowed Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's declaration on Thursday to
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۲
◆
  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
New Arenas for Iranian-Sponsored Terrorism:
The Arab-Israeli Heartland
Director of Central Intelligence George Tenet testified before the Senate Select Intelligence Committee on February 6 that Iran continues to be "the foremost state sponsor of terrorism." Citing its attempt to transfer offensive arms to the Palestinian Authority (PA) aboard the Karine-A smuggling ship, Tenet said that there has been
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۲
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Assessing Crown Prince Abdullah's 'Normalization' Plan
On February 17, Crown Prince Abdullah bin Abdul Aziz of Saudi Arabia was quoted by New York Times columnist Thomas L. Friedman as saying that he had drafted a speech ready for delivery before next month's Arab summit, offering the "idea" of "full normalization of relations" with Israel in exchange
۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۲
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
One Last Chance
A number of Israelis and Palestinians have come to me in the past few weeks seeking a way out of the ever more depressing situation in which they find themselves trapped. Each day's headlines seem to get worse. Yesterday, Israelis retaliated for the killing of six of their soldiers at
۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۲
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Deterioration along the Israel-Lebanon Border
In the past month there have been no less than six incidents in which Hizballah's antiaircraft batteries opened fire against Israeli civilian and military aircraft flying in Israel's northern airspace. This in addition to its repeated and unprovoked attacks on Israeli outposts in the Mount Dov region, next to the
۱۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۲
Brief Analysis
Palestinian-Israeli Dynamics and the Future of Palestine
No matter what the outcome of the present crisis, the relationship between the Palestinians and Israelis will continue to be determined by various long-term trends and dynamic forces. Palestinian Political and Social Development The parameters and structure of Palestinian society and polity have not yet been clearly defined or recognized
۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۲
Brief Analysis
Arafat's Vision of Peace:
A Textual Analysis
On February 3, the New York Times published an op-ed by Palestinian leader Yasir Arafat titled "The Palestinian Vision of Peace." The timing of this op-ed is not coincidental. It appeared after several weeks of worsening U.S.-Palestinian ties, during which President George W. Bush registered his deep "disappointment" with the
۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۲
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
The Missing Link to Mideast Peace:
Arab Pressure
How to deal with Yasser Arafat is a serious issue, one that Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon and President Bush once again discussed in their meeting at the White House on Thursday. Sharon has publicly declared that he wants the U.S. to boycott Arafat because of the Palestinian leader's failure
۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۲
◆
  • David Makovsky
America and the Middle East:
Expanding Threat, Broadening Response
۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۲
Brief Analysis
The <em>Karine-A</em> Affair:
A Strategic Watershed in the Middle East?
The Palestinian defense budget spending—relative to national income—is higher than that of any Arab country or Iran. This calculation is based on official data that exclude an important part of a state's defense budget—namely, procurement of weapons. The Oslo agreements prohibit the Palestinian Authority (PA) from procuring arms, yet they
۳۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۲
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Should Get Ready to Break Ties with Arafat
Yasser Arafat sits in Ramallah a virtual prisoner. The master of the half measure is now paying the price for failing to make a strategic choice for peace. A year ago he could not say yes to the Clinton ideas -- ideas that would have given the Palestinians an independent
۳۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۲
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
<em>Karine-A:</em>
The Strategic Implications of Iranian-Palestinian Collusion
Revelations of Iranian-Palestinian collusion to smuggle fifty tons of weapons into the hands of Yasir Arafat's Palestinian Authority (PA) through the offices of Hizballah have profound strategic implications for the Middle East. For the Bush administration, responding appropriately to the Karine-A episode may have unpleasant repercussions for relations with key
۱۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۲
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Seizure of Gaza-Bound Arms (Part II):
Military Implications
Alongside the diplomatic efforts to reach a ceasefire with Israel, the Palestinian Authority (PA) has been involved—since the beginning of the second intifada—in the indigenous production of weapons and ammunition and in repeated attempts to smuggle arms on a massive scale into the territories under its control. To thwart these
۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۲
Brief Analysis
The Seizure of Gaza-Bound Arms (Part I):
Political Implications
Israeli naval commandos seized the Gaza-bound freighter Karine-A in the Red Sea last Thursday, exposing a cargo hold containing fifty tons of munitions. The seizure took place in international waters some 300 miles off of Israel's southern coast, between Sudan and Saudi Arabia. The ship's captain, Omar Akkawi, later participated
۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۲
◆
  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Hamas Ceasefire:
Historical Background, Future Foretold?
The arrival of U.S. envoy General Anthony Zinni in Jerusalem today comes during a relative lull in the terrorism and violence that has characterized the Israeli-Palestinian scene since the eruption of the al-Aqsa intifada in September 2000. This lull is at least partly due to the December 21 decision of
۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۲
◆
  • Seth Wikas
Brief Analysis
Assessing Arafat's Performance in the Fight against Terror
On December 16, Palestinian television broadcast a pre-recorded speech in Arabic by Palestinian Authority (PA) Chairman Yasir Arafat calling for "a complete cessation of any operation or actions, especially suicide attacks." Since he said many of the right words, it is important to clarify what would constitute a "100 percent
۲۱ دسامبر ۲۰۰۱
◆
  • Matthew Levitt

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Through moments of hope and challenge in the Middle East diplomacy, The Washington Institute's Koret Project on Arab-Israel Relations is committed to providing America's policymakers with timely analysis on issues of critical concern to Israel and its Arab neighbors.

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