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Brief Analysis
The Multilaterals:
Status and Prospects
On February 1, the multilateral track of the Middle East peace process is scheduled to resume in Moscow with the first meeting of the Steering Committee since May 1995. In the wake of Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak's election last summer, there was widespread expectation that the multilateral talks would
۲۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۰
Brief Analysis
Syria's Critique of the U.S. Draft Treaty:
A Textual Analysis
Syria-Israel negotiations are on hold, but Israelis and Syrians have found a way to negotiate through third parties--the media. Two weeks ago, Israel leaked the U.S. draft text of a proposed peace treaty, complete with a timeline for implementation, in the Israeli daily Ha'aretz. Over the last ten days, a
۲۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۰
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Crucial Tests Await New Saudi Oil Council
This week the major oil companies are expected to announce big increases in profits, a reflection of the current high oil prices which last week soared to their highest level since the 1991 Gulf War. But apart from benefiting shareholders and helping fill the depleted financial coffers of Middle Eastern
۲۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۰
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The U.S. Draft Treaty for Syria-Israel Peace:
A Textual Analysis
After more than a week of negotiations in Shepherdstown, W.Va., the "working draft" of the Syria-Israel peace treaty reported in yesterday's Ha'aretz notes only one area of seemingly irreconcilable difference between the two parties--over the scope of the demilitarized zone separating the two sides. As currently worded, the text neither
۱۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۰
◆
Robert Satloff
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Russia Returns to the Middle East Scene?
A good indicator of Russia's role in the Middle East is that Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak had no plans to return to Israel to be present for Boris Yeltsin's visit there even before Yeltsin stepped down as Russian president. The Israeli leader preferred to remain in the United States
۱۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۰
Brief Analysis
Europe's Critical Dialogue with Iran:
An Assessment
Iranian foreign minister Kamal Kharrazi arrived in London on Sunday to start a new initiative to break Iran further out of isolation. Europe has sought to engage Iran as the best way to promote Iranian moderation and reform. With Iran's parliamentary elections approaching next month, there will almost certainly be
۱۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۰
Brief Analysis
A Syria-Israel Summit:
Prospects for Peace
RAGHIDA DERGHAM Peace for Syria is not a tactical move. Pursuing a breakthrough is now declared Syrian policy, and Damascus does not back down from its declared policy. Today, Syria is giving the logic of negotiation precedence over the logic of resistance in its quest to liberate the Golan Heights
۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۰
Brief Analysis
The South Lebanon Army and Syria-Israel Talks
While Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak and Syrian Foreign Minister Faruq al-Shara are talking peace at Shepherdstown, the fighting in south Lebanon still goes on. Last time the two leaders met in Washington in December, the party was almost spoiled after a stray shell fired by South Lebanese Army (SLA)
۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۰
Brief Analysis
Removing Syria from the List of State Sponsors of Terrorism:
Between Peace and Counterterrorism
With Syrian-Israeli peace talks underway in Shepherdstown, W.Va., media attention has focused on the shape of a possible peace agreement and the potential for U.S. financial assistance to the parties. Virtually no attention, however, has been paid to the principal legal obstacle in the way of U.S. aid to one
۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۰
◆
David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Make Syria Pay a Price for Peace
The millennial year opened on a high note for U.S. diplomacy, with Syria-Israel peace talks convening yesterday in Shepherdstown, W.Va. Unlike the other two participants, however, Washington has so far not indicated what it wants from these negotiations or what it is willing to pay to get it. Although Washington
۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۰
◆
Robert Satloff
In-Depth Reports
Who Rules Iran:
The Structure of Power in the Islamic Republic
A landmark study that offers clear and understandable answers to fundamental questions about the most complex facets of the Iranian regime, probing the lines between hardliners and reformers, revolutionary and national interests, theocracy and electoral politics, and more.
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۰
◆
Wilfried Buchta
In-Depth Reports
Holier Than Thou:
Saudi Arabia's Islamic Opposition
Although Saudi Arabia is popularly perceived as the most religious of Arab countries, the question of who in the kingdom determines its dominant Islamic discourse has been the subject of controversy since the state's founding. The formation of Saudi Arabia in the early twentieth century involved the unique harnessing of
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۰
Articles & Testimony
The Next Turbulent Zone
After a half-decade in which the Balkans, Central Africa, and East Asia were the hottest spots on the globe, the Middle East--including North Africa--is likely to assert itself over the next five years as a zone of turbulence. Some of the turmoil will be fueled by the irredentism left over
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۰
◆
Robert Satloff
In-Depth Reports
The Oil Kingdom at 100:
Petroleum Policymaking in Saudi Arabia
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۰
In-Depth Reports
Palestinian Democracy and Governance:
An Appraisal of the Legislative Council
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۰
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Israeli-Lebanese Negotiations:
The Palestinian Refugee Issue
Syrian foreign minister Faruq al-Shara's recent announcement that Damascus and Beirut will sign peace treaties with Israel together is not surprising, considering Syria's hegemony in Lebanon. But while Israel, Syria, and the United States have expressed guarded optimism about the latest resumption of peace talks, Lebanon has been more reserved
۲۸ دسامبر ۱۹۹۹
Brief Analysis
The Struggle for Power within Sudan's Top Leadership
On December 22, Sudanese president Umar Hasan Ahmad al-Bashir met Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak in Cairo on Bashir's first visit there in six years. The day before, he met the leaders of four other Sudanese neighbors (Libya, Eritrea, Uganda, and the Democratic Republic of Congo) in Tripoli, Libya. These visits
۲۳ دسامبر ۱۹۹۹
Brief Analysis
Iran and the Prospects for Syria-Israel Peace
Iran--Syria's closest ally since the fall of the Soviet Union--has perhaps the most to fear from the prospect of Syria-Israel peace. Indeed, Tehran seems to have been caught off guard by Syrian president Hafiz al-Asad's decision to reenter negotiations, and Tehran is accordingly viewing with great concern Syria's apparent readiness
۲۲ دسامبر ۱۹۹۹
Brief Analysis
Is Qadhafi Changing His Spots?
In the past ten days, Libyan leader Mu‘ammar Qadhafi has made progress in his efforts to achieve international respectability. After fifteen years, a British ambassador, Richard Dalton, arrived in Tripoli pledging to help Libya return to the “mainstream of the international community.” And Colonel Qadhafi’s status as mediator of thorny
۲۱ دسامبر ۱۹۹۹
◆
Ray Takeyh
Brief Analysis
Syrian-Israeli Negotiations and Turkey
When Syrians, Americans, and Israelis sat down in Washington this week, they may as well have kept an empty chair for a fourth key player in this equation--Turkey. Turkish water, in particular, will likely be needed to facilitate a Syrian-Israeli deal, but history suggests that Ankara will not provide that
۱۷ دسامبر ۱۹۹۹
◆
Alan Makovsky
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