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Brief Analysis
Israel Announces New Units for Settlers and Palestinians
Whether or not Palestinian units are actually built in Area C, the announcement will be a net loss if Israeli construction outside the security barrier becomes the new norm post-election.
۱۶ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Will Turkey and China Become Friends?
Despite their limited economic relations and ongoing differences over the Uyghur issue, the two countries could grow closer if Western partners fail to provide the financial boost Turkey needs so badly.
۱۴ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Militias Are Threatening Public Safety in Iraq
Exploding ammo dumps are only one of many problems posed by out-of-control militias, making it more urgent than ever to warehouse heavy weapons, halt mass detentions, and protect Iraqis and Iraq’s investors alike.
۱۴ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Michael Knights
Alex Almeida
Articles & Testimony
MbS and MbZ: Could Yemen Crisis End the Saudi-UAE Partnership?
The relationship is being tested, and the knock-on effects could roil the region from the sands of Libya to the Strait of Hormuz.
۱۳ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The United States Shouldn’t Replicate Slip-ups in Sudan
The international community was caught off-guard by the almost miraculous, peaceful, youth-driven revolution in Sudan, which successfully triggered the overthrow of a brutal dictator. A country so-often overlooked by the rest of the world suddenly dominated news outlets, took over social media, and grabbed the attention of governments around the
۱۳ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Nasreldin Wali
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah’s Lebanese Allies Can Be Contained
The group’s local partners complied when U.S. officials warned them to back off a recent political smear campaign, but more should be done to expose and exploit their rifts.
۱۳ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Hanin Ghaddar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Half of Palestinians Still Want All of Palestine—But Most Would Compromise for Less
Palestinian public opinion clearly distinguishes between perceived rights and realities. Results from a new poll conducted June 27-July 15 show very mixed views on long-term peace issues among Palestinians in the West Bank, Gaza, and East Jerusalem. The “two-state solution” has lost majority support. Yet if that option were available
۱۳ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Time to Change Course on the UN’s Lebanon Policy
Serious change is required to avoid decisions that accommodate Hezbollah’s ends, ways, and means, and a vital first step is to look at current policy mechanics with a clear eye.
۱۳ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
The Men Responsible for the AMIA Bombing Are Known—and Still at Large
Twenty-five years later, some of the perpetrators hold senior positions within the Iranian and Hezbollah leadership, where they continue to oversee international terrorist plots.
۱۲ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s Rising Wave of Social Protests
This year’s Istanbul election and last year’s move to a presidential system have unified and galvanized the opposition, raising questions about Erdogan’s next move.
۱۲ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Expanding Militia Army in Iraq: The New Special Groups
Tehran-backed militias must be monitored more closely on a host of destabilizing activities, though policymakers should be careful not to lump them in with the many PMF factions that don't support Iran.
۹ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Jordan Can Deal with Jordanian ISIS Fighters Still in Syria
Interest in the issue of terrorist repatriation has returned to the forefront of media coverage in recent weeks, especially after Iraq tried and sentenced to death eleven French nationals who had joined ISIS, causing an eruption of angry official and popular reactions in France. The legal challenges of repatriation and
۹ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Saud Al-Sharafat
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Oil’s Impact on Tensions in Southern Yemen
In mid-July 2019, a group of leaders and dignitaries in Hadramout, Southern Yemen held a consultative meeting to discuss the security situation, public services, and oil production in the Hadramout region. Hadramout is the largest governorate in terms of area and holds 80 percent of Yemen’s oil reserves, making it
۹ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Muneer Binwaber
Brief Analysis
U.S. Safe Zone Deal Can Help Turkey Come to Terms with the PKK and YPG
Checking the YPG’s ascendance in Syria could bring the PKK back to the negotiating table, ultimately making Turkey more amenable to Kurdish enclaves across the border.
۷ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Netanyahu’s Tougher Election Math and the Specter of Succession
A key rival could affect Netanyahu’s ability to form a coalition or even retain control over his party, but his track record of winning elections and playing wild cards cannot be discounted.
۶ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Defying Stereotypes, New Poll Shows Gazans More Moderate than West Bankers
The latest survey conducted by the Palestine Center for Public Opinion, June 27-July 15, 2019, indisputably confirms this highly counter-intuitive finding from other recent polls: on many issues related to Israel, the two million Palestinians in Gaza actually voice significantly more moderate opinions than do the roughly equal Palestinian population
۵ اوت ۲۰۱۹
◆
David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Growing Anti-Syrian Sentiment in Turkey
Refugees are being blamed for the country’s economic and social troubles, resulting in online hate speech, vigilante violence, and further pressure on the government to change the status quo in north Syria.
۵ اوت ۲۰۱۹
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Inside Hezbollah’s American Sleeper Cells: Waiting for Iran’s Signal to Strike U.S. and Israeli Targets
If hostilities break out with the United States, Tehran may try to minimize risk to its most important assets in the Middle East by drawing on black ops units further abroad instead.
۴ اوت ۲۰۱۹
◆
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Houthis Kill Top UAE-Backed Separatist Yemeni Commander
Coming just weeks after Abu Dhabi's drawdown from the anti-Houthi fight, the provocative attack could be a pivotal moment for Yemen’s future.
۱ اوت ۲۰۱۹
◆
Elana DeLozier
تحلیل کوتاه
مشکل بحرین با شهروندان شیعه خود
تظاهرات تازه و اعدامها و نزاعهای دیپلماتیک جدید در بحرین تهدیدی است برای تلاشهای دولت این کشور که در میانه بحران ایران برای بهبود وجهه غربگرای خود میکوشد.
۳۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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سایمون هندرسون
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