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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Challenge of Sovereignty: The PMF and Iranian Entrenchment in Iraq
As tensions continue to escalate between the United States and Iran, Iraq finds itself struggling to maintain a balancing act. In an attempt to curb Iranian influence and respond to U.S. pressure, Prime Minister Adel Abdul-Mahdi has moved to integrate the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF), or Hash al Shaabi, into
۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
Haitham Numan
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Increasingly Right Stuff: Religious Parties in Israel’s Upcoming Election
Amidst all the turmoil of Israel’s unprecedented second national election within six months, due on September 17, one key yet often overlooked factor stands out: the decisively right-wing role of the small religious parties. Despite the high birth rate of the Orthodox and ultra-Orthodox groups, they still get only about
۵ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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David Pollock
Tamar Hermann
Brief Analysis
The Campaign Between Wars: How Israel Rethought Its Strategy to Counter Iran’s Malign Regional Influence
The architects of a landmark shift in IDF doctrine explain why the change was necessary, and how it has helped delay full-scale war even while forcefully confronting Tehran’s hegemonic ambitions.
۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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Gadi Eisenkot
Gabi Siboni
Articles & Testimony
What Israel Still Needs to Learn from Ariel Sharon
Whoever wins the next election may need to make a courageous political decision about separating from the Palestinians before that option disappears forever.
۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Yemen’s Fragile Military Balance
The latest string of roller-coaster military developments underlines the need for continued U.S. efforts to guide Saudi, Emirati, and Yemeni officials away from dangerous choices.
۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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Alex Almeida
Michael Knights
In-Depth Reports
Be Strong and of Good Courage
How Israel’s Most Important Leaders Shaped Its Destiny
Modern Israel's founding fathers provided some of the boldest and most principled leadership of any nation. Now Israel needs their example more than ever.
۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Is Iran Negotiating Its Way to Negotiations?
While Tehran’s internal debate about engagement with Washington intensifies, its words and actions already seem to be shaping—even unintentionally—the terms of any future talks.
۳۰ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Omer Carmi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
AQAP in South Yemen: Past and Present
Coverage of al-Qaeda in Yemen has always disproportionately focused on the threat that al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) poses to the West, while ignoring the plight of the local population in areas under its control. However, southern Yemen’s complicated history led to the development and strengthening of AQAP, and
۳۰ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Summer Ahmed
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Despite Blockade, Opportunities are Increasing for Qatar to Develop Broader Regional Ties
Now a two year standoff, the Gulf Crisis between the “Quartet States”—Saudi Arabia, the Emirates, Bahrain, and Egypt—and Qatar have continued to shape Gulf foreign policy. In the wake of the declaration of a wide-scale boycott against Doha, the Quartet States have since attempted to impose land and sea “hoops”
۳۰ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Jalal Selmi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Young Arabs’ Boycott of the Israeli Elections: A"Double Protest"—against the Government and the Arab Leadership
The choice of about half of Israel’s Arab citizens not to exercise the right to vote in Israel’s last parliamentary election in April dramatically affected election results, while also reflecting some powerful basic trends in Israel’s Arab society. While the voting rate—49 percent—was higher than expected due to concerns over
۳۰ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Michael Milshtein
Morsi Abu Mokh
Articles & Testimony
The Flaw in Trump’s Maximum Pressure Campaign Toward Iran
Tehran won’t change its behavior without the prospect of real economic relief, coupled with the threat of meaningful consequences for bringing the region to the brink of war.
۲۹ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Dennis Ross
Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
How Will Hezbollah Respond to Israel’s Drone Attack?
With the IDF seemingly expanding its missile hunt to Lebanon and Iraq, the actions of Iran’s proxies, their host governments, and U.S. officials will do much to determine if wider escalation is in the cards.
۲۸ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Iran Develops Air Defense Capability for Possible Regional Role
A newly announced system could further the regime’s longstanding desire to create an A2AD umbrella in the Gulf and forward-deploy antiaircraft missiles in other countries.
۲۷ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Arab States Give China a Pass on Uyghur Crackdown
Leaders in the Middle East have calculated that defending the Muslim minority is not worth the risk of losing Chinese economic, political, and military assistance.
۲۶ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Haisam Hassanein
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Most Palestinians Approve of Jordan—Plus Other Survey Surprises
A detailed public opinion poll from last month shows that most West Bank and Gaza Palestinians approve of Jordan’s King Abdullah, look to his country for help, and want it to play a major role in their future–though just a small minority favor a future confederation with Jordan. On other
۲۶ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
The U.S.-Iranian Scuffle Over a Ship Is a Sideshow to Events in the Gulf
Thus far, Britain’s willingness to stand firm in the Persian Gulf has been more consequential than Washington’s legal challenge in the Mediterranean Sea.
۲۲ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Israel Should Resist Trump's Efforts to Politicize Support
Neither Donald Trump nor Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib should be allowed to undermine bipartisan support for America’s closest ally in the Middle East.
۲۲ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Dennis Ross
Stuart Eizenstat
Brief Analysis
Egypt Takes Another Step Toward China
Port projects and other outreach may help President Sisi check off some of his policy goals, but giving China such a foothold could threaten a number of U.S. interests in the region.
۱۹ اوت ۲۰۱۹
◆
Haisam Hassanein
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Female Representation in Israeli Politics
While divisive, former Israeli Minister of Justice Ayelet Shaked is a force to be reckoned with. Since 2012, when she joined the religious, right-wing Jewish Home party as its first secular member, Shaked has positioned herself as a champion for conservative causes and developed a reputation for tenacity, hawkishness, and
۱۹ اوت ۲۰۱۹
◆
Tamuz Avivi
Articles & Testimony
Lessons from the UAE War in Yemen
The Emiratis may be able to guide events with a lighter footprint, but the more likely outcome of their departure is a complete collapse of government authority in the south.
۱۸ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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Michael Knights
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