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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

عرب و اسلام سیاسی

Policy Analysis on عرب و اسلام سیاسی

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Brief Analysis
Friday's Islamist 'Uprising' in Egypt Could Be Bloody
Although past uprisings have been quickly snuffed out, the latest calls for mass protests have been more strategically savvy and explicitly violent than usual.
۲۶ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Tunisians Elect a President
Regardless of who enters Carthage Palace in January, a free and fair election will represent an achievement worthy of international recognition.
۲۱ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
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  • Sarah Feuer
An Egyptian guard inspects bomb damage near the Gaza border in Sinai
Articles & Testimony
Obama Administration Should Be Helping Egypt, Not Punishing It
Helping Cairo defeat jihadis -- at minimum by delivering long-postponed weapons systems -- would be more productive than punishing it for its repressive approach in Sinai.
۱۹ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • David Schenker
  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Welcome to a Post-Post-Cold War World
If the United States and its allies fail to manage the Syria and Iraq crises, victorious "anti-order" actors such as Russia, Iran, and ISIS could usher in an unstable era similar to the late 1930s.
۱۷ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • James Jeffrey
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Qatar Makes Peace With Its Gulf Neighbors
A late-night agreement in Riyadh appears to have resolved the diplomatic spat between Qatar and its GCC partners, opening up the possibility of more diplomatic coordination and greater unity.
۱۷ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State's Archipelago of Provinces
The group's now-formalized annexation model could have direct political and security consequences in several countries, creating a more complex threat environment for the U.S.-led coalition.
۱۴ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Morocco Deepens Anti-IS Gulf Ties, but Neglects Returning Jihadi Threat
Even as Rabat sends delegations abroad to garner support for its security programs, the question remains: Why is Morocco one of the largest sources of IS fighters in the Arab world?
۱۳ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Vish Sakthivel
Video
Brief Analysis
The New 'Tri-Border' Region: Emerging Threats Along the Israel-Lebanon-Syria Frontier
A detailed discussion of the various factors fueling or constraining chaos on Syria's borders, including Arab tribal politics, Israeli security calculations, Iranian-Hezbollah military strategy, and a seemingly hesitant U.S.-led air campaign.
۱۲ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
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  • Boaz Ganor
  • Hussain Abdul-Hussain
Articles & Testimony
Iraq's Future: It's the Oil, Stupid
At this crucial time in Iraq's history, only one factor is holding the country together: the wealth created by the south's oil exports, and how these funds will be distributed in the 2015 budget.
۱۰ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
The 1968 Siege of Sana: A Houthi Historical Parallel
Locals tend to perceive today's conflict less as a struggle between external forces than as a continuation of long-running tensions between Zaydi tribal elite and the modern Yemeni state.
۱۰ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
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  • Asher Orkaby
In-Depth Reports
Libya as a Failed State:
Causes, Consequences, Options
Is post-Qadhafi Libya destined to become a "Somalia on the Mediterranean"? Analyst Andrew Engel studies the causative factors in Libya's failed transition to democracy.
۹ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Andrew Engel
Brief Analysis
Oman Ruler's Failing Health Could Affect U.S. Iran Policy
The death of Sultan Qaboos with no clear successor would jeopardize U.S.-Iran diplomatic contacts, the latest of which will be the meeting tomorrow in Muscat between Secretary of State John Kerry and Iranian foreign minister Mohammad Javad Zarif.
۷ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Egypt's Army of God
Islam's growing role in the military is likely part of an ideological battle to reclaim the spiritual mantle from the Muslim Brotherhood, but manipulating religion for political gain has a history of backfiring in Egypt.
۴ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
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  • Gilad Wenig
In-Depth Reports
The Iraq Troop-Basing Question and the New Middle East
An examination of allegations that the Obama administration’s failure to secure a long-term U.S. troop presence in Iraq after 2011 was the "original sin" that led to the ascendance of ISIS.
۳۱ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
Jordanian Public Keen on Hamas, But Not ISIS or the Muslim Brotherhood
Notwithstanding the violent turbulence on Jordan's borders, a new poll indicates that the kingdom will likely continue muddling through, with little sign of mass uprisings, major reform, or dramatic policy reversals.
۳۰ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • David Pollock
Multimedia
Brief Analysis
Reflections on Islamism: From the Muslim Brotherhood to the Islamic State
2014 Zeev Schiff Memorial Lecture
Israel's former ambassador to Egypt and Jordan discusses the changing face of Islamism for the Institute's annual lecture in honor of the late Zeev Schiff.
۲۹ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Shimon Shamir
◆ Zeev Schiff Memorial Lectures
Articles & Testimony
President Sisi's Worldview
A former senior official at the U.S. embassy in Cairo describes how Sisi's background is shaping his approach to domestic politics, counterterrorism, Israel, and other issues.
۲۹ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Marc Sievers
Brief Analysis
New Poll Shows Majority of Saudis, Kuwaitis, Emiratis Reject ISIS, Back Two-State Solution with Israel
A rare poll conducted last month in three Gulf Cooperation Council states demonstrates decisive rejection of ISIS and a surprisingly high level of popular support for peaceful resolution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict -- but also substantial minority support for both the Muslim Brotherhood and Hamas.
۲۳ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Twenty Years of Israeli-Jordanian Peace: A Brief Assessment
The treaty's trade and security benefits have been considerable, though many Jordanians continue to reject the likely economic windfall that full normalization could bring.
۲۳ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Mubarak Nostalgia Is the Winning Strategy in Egyptian Politics Right Now
In a political environment that seeks a return to the status quo ante, some Egyptians are embracing a Mubarak-era strategy of leveraging patronage networks and governmental connections for victory.
۲۳ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Eric Trager

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David Schenker
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