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کشورهای حاشیه‌خلیج فارس

Policy Analysis on کشورهای حاشیه‌خلیج فارس

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Brief Analysis
The Arrest of Saudi Reformers One Year On
A year ago, on March 16, 2004, the Saudi authorities arrested thirteen reformist intellectuals, including one university academic who was reportedly taken away in handcuffs in front of his class. Three days later the arrests were an issue taken up by then Secretary of State Colin Powell when he arrived
۱۵ مارس ۲۰۰۵
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Saudi Elections in Regional Perspective:
The Shiite 'Threat' Theory
The most significant area of Saudi Arabia affected by the March 3 municipal elections was the enormous Eastern Province, which contains most of the kingdom's vast oil wealth and serves as home to its minority Shiite population. Unsurprisingly, local Shiites triumphed in several towns, winning nearly all of the seats
۹ مارس ۲۰۰۵
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Supporting the Palestinian Authority:
Will the Oil-Rich Arabs Pay Up?
On March 1, British prime minister Tony Blair will host a conference in London dedicated to garnering support for the Palestinian Authority (PA). The summit is intended to help the new Palestinian leadership strengthen PA institutions, with a special focus on facilitating economic development, encouraging donor pledges, and identifying investment
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۵
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Lights, Camera, Inaction?
Saudi Arabia’s Counterterrorism Conference
Beginning on February 5, Riyadh hosted a four-day international counterterrorism conference. Amid extraordinary splendor in palatial conference facilities, delegates from several international organizations and a reported fifty countries (including the United States) listened to speeches by the Saudi leadership and then discussed initiatives in breakout workshops. The conference served as
۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۵
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Backing Kuwait's Stand against Terrorism
Five firefights between Kuwaiti government forces and terrorist cells since January 10, 2005, have brought the hitherto low-profile issue of Kuwait's role in the war on terror to the fore. The incidents highlight the increased terrorist threat in a country that, in addition to attracting the normal commercial contingent of
۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۵
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia and Oil:
Coping with the Challenge of Osama bin Laden
On January 26, 2005, Riyadh announced that Prince Nawaf, head of the Saudi General Intelligence Department, had been relieved of his post. The move was not entirely unexpected-the prince has reportedly never fully recovered from a brain hemorrhage he suffered at the 2002 Arab Summit in Beirut. Yet, Riyadh failed
۲۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
◆
  • Simon Henderson
U.S.-Iran Relations:
A Danger to Gulf Stability
Remarks delivered at the second annual conference of the Gulf Research Center in Dubai. As the organizers of this conference have indicated in their description about this session, the most important issue Iran poses for the Gulf and the central issue in U.S.-Iran relations is Iran’s nuclear program. So that
۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Saudi Municipal Elections:
Royal Caution and Citizen Apathy
December 22 was the last day Saudi men could register to vote in municipal elections due to be held February 10 in the capital, Riyadh, and the surrounding area. Despite continuing outbreaks of al-Qaeda-related terrorism (nine terrorists were killed in clashes after two car bombs exploded in Riyadh on December
۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
JTIC Briefing:
Jeddah Attack Underscores Fall in Capabilities of Saudi Militants
The 6 December 2004 assault on the US consulate in Jeddah ended six months of relative calm in the Kingdom and provided an unwelcome reminder that the Al-Qaeda movement is down but not out in the region. Michael Knights analyses whether the attack was an unsuccessful anomaly or the leading
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Saudi Stability in the Shadow of the U.S. Consulate Attack in Jeddah
The December 6 terrorist attack on the U.S. consulate in the Saudi port city of Jeddah, which killed five non-American staff members, was a worrisome display of al-Qaeda's careful planning, detailed timing, and audaciousness. Worse still, the assault contradicts Riyadh's claims that it has contained the threat of terrorism. The
۷ دسامبر ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The UAE After Sheikh Zayed: Tensions Between Tribe and State
The formal succession has been smooth so far, but many questions remain about how the ruling family will handle major regional decisionmaking in practice.
۱۶ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Elections in Saudi Arabia:
Assessing the Latest Postponement
Municipal elections in Saudi Arabia, scheduled to begin in November, have been postponed until 2005. Given that these will be the first public political elections ever to take place in the kingdom, their introduction has been keenly watched, both domestically and from abroad. The latest delay, the second since the
۲۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۴
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Hand of Bandar?
As everyone knows, Saudis, if not Saudi Arabia, were central to the horrific events of September 11, 2001. Fifteen out of 19 hijackers were Saudi, plus the Saudi-born Osama bin Laden, (from whom the kingdom withdrew citizenship in the 1990s). What is perhaps surprising therefore is that Saudi Arabia is
۵ اوت ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The al-Qaeda Challenge to Saudi Arabia
As a result of the 2001 U.S. invasion of Afghanistan, the al-Qaeda network now consists of small, local, and autonomous affiliate groups that attack domestic and Western targets alike. Ties between affiliate groups and the former al-Qaeda core is largely informal. For example, recent attacks have been claimed by affiliates
۲۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Jonathan Schanzer
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Broader Threat from Sunni Islamists in the Gulf
On July 14, 2004, Bahraini security forces arrested seven suspected terrorists accused of planning "to carry out bombings on some government, economic, and tourist facilities to spread chaos and fear and harm the national economy and foreign investments." The arrests targeted a group of Sunni radicals of the extremist Salafi
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia Faces Long-Term Insecurity
A string of terrorist attacks in Saudi Arabia sent oil prices to a 21-year high in early June and prompted speculation about the future stability of the Al-Saud regime. Yet, the near-term terrorist threat presents a relatively minor risk compared to the longer-term possibility of state failure....
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Yemen's War on Terror
Yemen has emerged of late as one of the more fertile locations for Al Qaeda activity. Al Qaeda's Yemeni affiliate, the Islamic Army of Aden-Abyan (IAA), has executed a number of spectacular attacks against Western interests in recent years. It was responsible for the 1998 kidnapping of sixteen Western tourists
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Jonathan Schanzer
Articles & Testimony
Why Americans Die in Riyadh
Three Americans murdered in Saudi capital, Riyadh, in just two weeks. Two of them beheaded, gruesomely hacked off with a knife rather than severed with an axe. There can be few surer ways of attracting the attention of the American public. But then the leader of the gang of Islamic
۲۱ ژوئن ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Bin Laden Increases His Challenge to the House of Saud
The implications of the assault on al-Khobar are huge. It confirms that there has been a significant shift in the pattern of terror attacks in Saudi Arabia; the battle between Osama bin Laden and the royal House of Saud is shifting gear. Although the casualties are far fewer than those
۳۱ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Relying on the Saudis:
The Challenge for U.S. Oil Policy
Over the past week, oil prices have exceeded $40 per barrel for the first time since the 1990 Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, and gasoline prices in parts of the United States are now more $2 per gallon. Contributing to this increase were heightened concerns about supply, particularly in the wake
۱۲ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Simon Henderson

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