دمکراسی و اصلاح

Policy Analysis on دمکراسی و اصلاح

A Tale of Six Tribes: Securing the Middle Euphrates River Valley

THE ISLAMIC STATE is now largely defeated militarily, with the U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces taking the eastern bank of the Euphrates River and a mosaic of largely Iran- and Russia-supported Assad-regime forces taking areas west of the river. As anti-IS operations wind down and the Trump administration considers its options

۲۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸

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Andrew J. Tabler

Articles & Testimony

There Is Hope for Democracy in Turkey, Even If Erdogan Wins Again

Three ascending candidates are whittling away at Erdogan's base, posing a long-term challenge to his rule even if they can't unseat him in this election.

۲۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸

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Soner Cagaptay

Turkish president Erdogan - Source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

Erdogan Enters Turkish Elections with More Power but Less Support

The president will probably become even more authoritarian in the coming months, knowing that a majority of citizens would vote him out in a fair election.

۲۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸

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Soner Cagaptay

Articles & Testimony

Saudi Reform and Security Through a Gulf Lens

Encouraging more liberal policies remains difficult when America’s Gulf partners believe certain reforms run counter to their security interests.

۱۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸

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Lori Plotkin Boghardt

تحلیل کوتاه

آسیب‌پذیری‌های ایران در برابر تحریم‌های آمریکا (بخش دوم): هوشمندانه‌تر کار کنیم، نه سخت‌تر

تصمیم‌هایی که قرار است در خصوص بازگشت تحریم‌ها گرفته شود، به واشنگتن فرصت آن را می‌دهد که مجموعه تدابیر خود را بر ضد فعالیت‌های مالی غیرقانونی ایران بازسنجی کند.

۱۸ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸

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کاترین باوئر

تحلیل کوتاه

آسیب‌پذیری‌های ایران در مقابل تحریم‌های آمریکا (بخش اول): یافتن نقاط ضعف

این مطلب دیدبان سیاست‌گذاری، بخش اول یک مقاله دو قسمتی در خصوص بازگشت تحریم‌های ایالات متحده است. اینجا می‌توانید بخش دوم این مقاله را بخوانید که به بحث درباره گزینه‌های مشخص تحریم‌های قدیم و جدیدی می‌پردازد که واشنگتن در اختیار دارد.

۱۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸

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پاتریک کلاوسون

Brief Analysis

Jordan’s Economic Protests: Repackaging Reform

A new government, delayed tax hikes, and extra Gulf aid can alleviate unrest for now, but such measures cannot mask the kingdom’s fundamental need for unpopular economic reforms.

۱۳ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸

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Ghaith al-Omari
Ben Fishman

تحلیل کوتاه

شبه‌نظامیان ایرانی در پارلمان عراق: نتایج سیاسی و واکنش ایالات متحده

در حالی که واشنگتن در حال بررسی وضع تحریم بر عصائب‌ اهل الحق و گروه‌های مشابه است، باید شکنندگی اوضاع سیاسی در بغداد را در آینده نزدیک در نظر داشته باشد و امکان تفکیک «شاخه‌»های‌ نظامی و سیاسی عصائب را با تردید بنگرد.

۱۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸

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فیلیپ اسمیت

Brief Analysis

Recount Will Test the Integrity of Iraq’s Elections

If conducted in a transparent and accountable fashion, the process could infuse some much-needed confidence into the country’s democratic process, despite the risks.

۱۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸

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Bilal Wahab

Brief Analysis

Saudi Cabinet Changes: The 'March of Modernization'?

The raft of new appointments reflects the crown prince’s vision of transforming the economy, but a simultaneous statement about recent arrests shows the limits on political freedom.

۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

Action and Reaction: Royal Rhetoric Responds to the PJD

The PJD and the monarchy will continue competing for stewardship of the reform process—and for the right to define what it means to be an Islamist party post-Arab Spring.

۲۵ مهٔ ۲۰۱۸

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Sarah Feuer

Articles & Testimony

Saudi Arabia Hits the Brakes on Reforms

Arresting feminists doesn’t inspire faith in the crown prince’s much-hyped reform agenda.

۲۲ مهٔ ۲۰۱۸

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Iraq’s Elections: Red Flags and Opportunities for Inclusion

A closer look at the local security changes, turnout obstacles, sectarian divisions, and other factors that could determine the shape of Iraq’s next government.

۱۱ مهٔ ۲۰۱۸

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Bilal Wahab

Brief Analysis

What Does Hezbollah’s Election Victory Mean for Lebanon?

Hezbollah has made further strides toward remaking state institutions in its image, but the international community can still slow the group's momentum by pressuring its domestic political enablers.

۸ مهٔ ۲۰۱۸

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Hanin Ghaddar

Video

In-Depth Reports

Toward a More Moderate and Tolerant Islam

Weinberg Founders Conference 2018 Plenary Dinner

Read a transcript or watch video of His Excellency Sheikh Mohammad Al-Issa's remarks on his vision for the future of the Islamic world.

۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۸

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Mohammad Al-Issa

Tunisian police guard the site of a terrorist attack - soucre: Reuters

Brief Analysis

The Islamic State Targets Tunisia Ahead of Elections

The group has been conducting propaganda campaigns and violence against democratic processes throughout the region, so it may try to back up its latest warnings with attacks in Tunisia’s vulnerable interior.

۳۰ آوریل ۲۰۱۸

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Aaron Y. Zelin

A Turkish soldier stands guard at a rally. Image source: Reuters

Video

Brief Analysis

Snap Elections, Syria Incursions: Turkey's Challenges and Risks

A panel of experts and policymakers grapples with the weighty implications of Turkey's early elections at home and its military intervention in Syria's Afrin pocket.

۳۰ آوریل ۲۰۱۸

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Gonul Tol
Aaron Stein
Rich Outzen

Brief Analysis

Supporting Tunisia’s Moves Toward Local Governance

While successful local elections would mark a milestone in Tunisia’s democratic transition, the vote’s tangible impact will largely depend on the powers of local authorities, which have yet to be defined.

۲۷ آوریل ۲۰۱۸

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Sarah Feuer

Articles & Testimony

Grading Counterterrorism Cooperation with the GCC States

A former Treasury official assesses Qatar and Kuwait's record on countering terrorist financing, with a focus on how to continue cooperation amid the Gulf's ongoing diplomatic rift.

۲۶ آوریل ۲۰۱۸

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Katherine Bauer

Articles & Testimony

Trump’s Travel Ban Might Be Legal, But It’s Bad Policy

Most domestic terrorists don’t get radicalized abroad; they’re made in the USA.

۲۵ آوریل ۲۰۱۸

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Matthew Levitt

Supported by the

Project Fikra: Defeating Extremism through the Power of Ideas

Fikra n. [Arabic] "Idea"

The Washington Institute's Project Fikra is a multiyear program of research, publication, and network-building designed to generate policy ideas for promoting positive change and countering the spread of extremism in the Middle East.

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