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All Policy Analysis by Patrick Clawson
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Brief Analysis
Sanctioning Syria:
A Moment of Opportunity
Since March 8, 2004, Syria has witnessed an unprecedented series of riots by Kurds and protests by human rights activists and intellectuals. These developments set the stage for the Bush administration's imminent announcement about imposing sanctions in accordance with the Syria Accountability and Lebanese Sovereignty Restoration Act. The Shortsighted Ophthalmologist
۱۸ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Iraq for the Iraqis:
How and When
Are Iraqis ready to take on the responsibilities of sovereignty? Regardless of the government that assumes sovereign authority on June 30, it will remain fragile and weak at first, and heavily reliant on the United States. Indeed, the U.S. influence may remain so pervasive that it could look like indirect
۱۵ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Libya's WMD Renunciation:
How to Consolidate and Replicate
Testimony before the House Committee on International Relations, Hearing on Weapons of Mass Destruction, Terrorism, Human Rights, and the Future of U.S.-Libyan Relations I will confine myself to two issues: first, how to consolidate Libya's apparent decision to give up weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and second, how to replicate
۱۰ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The Iraqi Bill of Rights in Regional Perspective
The Iraqi Transitional Administrative Law (TAL) -- to be officially published tomorrow, when the mourning period for the victims of the March 3 Ashura bombings ends -- includes an extensive bill of rights. Yet, several of the Arab countries whose constitutions offer similar rights have a decidedly unsatisfactory record on
۴ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
The Paradox of Anti-Americanism in Iran
While anti-Americanism has deep resonance in the Arab world, the situation is quite different in Iran, where the United States has in recent years become profoundly popular....
۱ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Iran between Elections and the IAEA
To no one's surprise, the Iranian parliamentary elections resulted in a conservative sweep; the hardliners had rigged the rules so as to prevent a serious contest. As the hardliners consolidate their control, they may be interested in improving relations with the United States, though a major initiative would likely appear
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Tunisia As the Test Case for U.S. Resolve on Arab Reform
Today's meeting between President George W. Bush and visiting Tunisian president Zine El-Abidine Ben Ali may be a low-profile event with a leader of a country in which the United States has only limited strategic interests. Yet, the repercussions of their luncheon tete-a-tete for the administration's larger objective of Arab
۱۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Eyewitness Perspectives Assessing Progress in Iraq (Part II):
Politics, Transition, and the Kurds
On February 9, 2004, Patrick Clawson, Soner Cagaptay, Jeffrey White, and Jonathan Schanzer addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. All four were part of the Institute fact-finding delegation tasked with conducting an independent survey of local security conditions and emerging political currents in Iraq. The delegation traveled throughout Iraq
۱۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Patrick Clawson
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Reversing the Tragedy of Weak Arab Development
Friends of the Arabs can but mourn the transformation of the Middle East from an advanced and powerful region arguably ahead of Europe to a backward state. It is sobering to realize that as recently as the 1930s, there was no Arab development deficit. At that time, Alexandria was more
۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Trading Terrorists:
Al-Qaeda in Iran for Mujahedin in Iraq?
On December 9, 2003, the Iraqi Governing Council announced that it would expel the Iranian opposition group Mujahedin-e Khalq (MEK) from Iraq. Reacting to this decision, Paul Bremer, administrator of the Coalition Provisional Authority, recently told Iraqi television that MEK members should be settled in other countries with the help
۳۰ دسامبر ۲۰۰۳
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Raymond Tanter
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Impact of World Bank Loans to Iran
Testimony before the House Committee on Financial Services, Subcommittee on Domestic and International Monetary Policy, Trade, and Technology Two important considerations in judging U.S. reaction to World Bank lending to Iran are: how important is World Bank lending be to Iran, and how would lending to Iran fit with World
۲۹ اکتبر ۲۰۰۳
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Economics of Iraqi Security (Part III):
Financing Reconstruction
This PolicyWatch is the third in a three-part series written to coincide with the Madrid Donors Conference on Iraq, which begins on October 24, 2003. Read Part I and Part II (both by Michael Knights). Although economics is not the driving force behind Iraqi resistance to the U.S.-led coalition, restoring
۲۲ اکتبر ۲۰۰۳
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Iranian-European Nuclear Deal:
An Achievement with a Potential Poison Pill
The October 21 deal between Iran and the European trio of Britain, France, and Germany has the potential to significantly reduce the risk of Iran producing a nuclear weapon from highly enriched uranium (HEU)—assuming the accord is implemented strictly and on a tight timetable. Yet, HEU is only one of
۲۲ اکتبر ۲۰۰۳
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
How Iraqis View U.S. Role Is Key to Evaluating Progress in Iraq
Reports about U.S. casualties inevitably take top billing in media coverage of postwar Iraq. Yet, assessing how Iraqis themselves view the current situation is, arguably, just as important for evaluating progress in Iraq. Two recent public opinion polls have provided systematic data about Iraqi views, and this data in turn
۲۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۳
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Evaluating the Options Regarding the Iranian Nuclear Threat
Testimony before the U.S.-Israel Joint Parliamentary Committee The United States has for years judged Iran to be the world's foremost state-sponsor of terrorism. While the most direct way to sever the link between Tehran and its main terror arm -- Hizbollah -- is via Damascus, Washington is vigilant about Iran's
۱۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۳
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Gaining Support for Action on Iran's Nuclear Program
The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), whose report about Iran leaked out yesterday, will soon have to decide whether to declare Iran noncompliant with its obligations under the Treaty on the Nonproliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). What the world does about Iran's nuclear program will largely determine the future of
۲۷ اوت ۲۰۰۳
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Reading the Popular Mood in Iran
July 9 is the fourth anniversary of the student-sparked mass protests that erupted in Iran in 1999. New protests this July could test Washington no less than Tehran. Will the U.S. government side openly and publicly with the freedom-minded students against not only the unelected hardliners, but also the ineffectual
۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۳
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Iran:
Demonstrations, Despair, and Danger
In the early morning hours of June 11, according to Reuters, 3,000 demonstrators near Tehran University shouted, "Political prisoners must be freed!" This incident comes shortly after the issuance of two letters sharply attacking the present system -- one signed by more than one-third of the Majlis and one by
۱۱ ژوئن ۲۰۰۳
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
A Terrorist U.S. Ally?
One of the stranger news items coming out of Iraq these days concerns an Iranian opposition group called the Mujahedeen-e Khalq (MEK). It's a U.S. government-designated terrorist organization that coalition forces first bombed from the air, then signed a cease-fire agreement with -- and finally disarmed and protected. Say that
۲۰ مهٔ ۲۰۰۳
◆
Patrick Clawson
In-Depth Reports
Defining the Postwar Priorities in the Middle East
Peter David: Robert Satloff said he wanted a British ally to be present at this meeting. So in one sense, I owe my presence here to the work of the Seventh Armored Brigade, the British unit that captured Basra. The way the brigade captured Basra was quite unusual. They approached
۱۴ آوریل ۲۰۰۳
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Patrick Clawson
David Makovsky
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