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ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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In-Depth Reports
The Last Resort: Consequences of Preventive Military Action against Iran
Accepted wisdom suggests that preventive military action against Iran's nuclear program would entail significant risks and uncertain prospects of success. Much of the public debate surrounding these risks and uncertainties has focused on strictly military-technical considerations. Although important, these issues do not address the key political and contextual questions underlying
۱۲ ژوئن ۲۰۰۸
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Ahmadinezhad Deflects Critcism with Attacks on Clerics
In late May, an official close to Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad publicly accused more than forty high-ranking government officials -- including some of the country's most powerful clerics -- of economic corruption. These unprecedented revelations may signal the start of a significant power struggle inside the Iranian government, one likely
۱۱ ژوئن ۲۰۰۸
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
In-Depth Reports
Energy in Danger:
Iran, Oil, and the West
"If the Americans make a wrong move toward Iran, the shipment of energy will definitely face danger." -- Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, June 4, 2006 Every day, nearly 40 percent of the world's internationally traded oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz -- a narrow channel over which Iran
۳ ژوئن ۲۰۰۸
◆
  • Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
Emerging Threats, Challenges, and Opportunities in the Middle East
An inside briefing on the U.S. government's current strategic assessment of the Middle East.
۲۹ مهٔ ۲۰۰۸
◆
  • Donald Kerr
◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
Syria: Between Negotiations with Israel and the Iranian Axis
The Syria-Iran alliance predated the rise to power of Saddam Hussein in Iraq. Prior to the 1979 Iranian revolution, President Hafiz Assad offered Ayatollah Khomeini sanctuary in Syria. Subsequently, Syria was the first Arab state to recognize the Shiite revolutionary regime in Tehran. Increased political pressures, a growing fiscal deficit
۲۸ مهٔ ۲۰۰۸
◆
  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
How to Have Successful Negotiations
President Bush evoked considerable controversy when he compared those who call for talks with "terrorists and radicals" to Nazi appeasers. Making such a charge in the Israeli Knesset, where the lessons of the Holocaust inform every Israeli leader, was bound to give it a special weight and attention. While some
۲۷ مهٔ ۲۰۰۸
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Human Rights and the Basis for EU Sanctions against Iran
When the UN Security Council approved the third round of sanctions against Iran by adopting Resolution 1803 in March 2008, U.S. policymakers anticipated that the European Union would follow past practice and enact additional punitive measures. Almost two months later, however, Europeans are still at loggerheads on how best to
۳۰ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
Articles & Testimony
A New Phase Begins in Northern Iraq
In the past several months, the Kurds have grown increasingly uneasy with their situation in northern Iraq, as they begin to feel serious pressure from Iran and the Iraqi Arabs. And since many Kurds believe the United States will abandon their cause, it appears that they see Turkey as their
۲۷ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
Articles & Testimony
Choices and Strategies for Dealing with Iran
On April 24, 2008, Ambassador Dennis Ross testified before the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Subcommittee on Federal Financial Management, Government Information, Federal Services, and International Security. The following is an excerpt from his prepared remarks. When President George W. Bush assumed office in 2001, Iran was not a
۲۴ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Iranian Parliamentary Elections and Ahmadinezhad's Discontents
On April 25, a second round of voting will determine the remaining eighty-eight seats of the Iranian Majlis. The first round, held on March 14, decided 202 seats and was considered a defeat for both the reformists and President Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad. His reaction to the setback -- the dismissal of
۲۲ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Small Island, Big Issues:
Bahrain's King Visits Washington
Tomorrow, King Hamad bin Isa al-Khalifa of Bahrain visits the White House for talks and a working lunch with President Bush. The meeting promises to cover much more than the usual diplomatic pleasantries. The island state of Bahrain headquarters the U.S. Fifth Fleet and is therefore key to U.S. strategy
۲۴ مارس ۲۰۰۸
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Will the Turkish Constitutional Court Ban the AKP?
On March 14, Turkey's chief prosecutor, Abdurrahman Yalcinkaya, filed a case with the country's Constitutional Court asking it to shut down the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) and ban seventy-one of its members from seeking elected office for five years. He accused the party of spearheading "anti-secular activities" in
۱۹ مارس ۲۰۰۸
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How to Talk to Iran
When President Bush assumed office, Iran was not a nuclear power. When his successor takes the oath of office next year, however, Iran will have achieved (or be on the verge of achieving) that status. Nothing the Bush Administration or the international community is doing now is likely to alter
۱۳ مارس ۲۰۰۸
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Iran and the Road Ahead
Recently, two important developments have broken months of gridlock on the Iranian nuclear issue: a third round of UN sanctions and a new warning by the Financial Action Task Force (FATF). Although both measures are positive, their ultimate impact will depend on how aggressively and effectively key governments implement them
۶ مارس ۲۰۰۸
◆
  • Michael Jacobson
Brief Analysis
Timely Reminder of Iranian Support for Terrorism
Over the past several years, Iran's nuclear activities have commanded the attention of the international community. But the recent assassination of Hizballah foreign operations chief Imad Mughniyeh is a reminder that Iran has been -- and continues to be -- a key player in global terrorism, as its explicit sponsorship
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۸
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Michael Jacobson
Brief Analysis
Iran's Parliamentary Elections:
Assured Victory for the Supreme Leader
As Iran's March 14 parliamentary elections approach, the prospects for the reformist/technocratic coalition are predictably bleak. Yet, President Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad is expected to lose ground as well. Although his conservative critics are likely to pick up a significant number of seats, the big winner will be Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۸
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Who Was Imad Mughniyeh?
Yesterday's assassination of arch-terrorist Imad Mughniyeh was welcome news in Washington, Buenos Aires, Tel Aviv, and, albeit quietly, Beirut and Baghdad. For Hizballah and Damascus, however, the loss of Mughniyeh -- who was a brilliant military tactician, a key contact to Tehran, and a successful political leader -- is a
۱۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۸
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Artificial Intelligence
Though the White House press release read "President Bush to travel to Middle East to follow up on progress made at Annapolis," his January trip actually centered on Iran, a country he did not visit. America's friends -- the Persian Gulf monarchs as well as Israel -- fear that the
۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۸
Brief Analysis
Iranian Threats and the UN Sanctions Debate
On January 26, Hussein Shariatmadari -- the publisher of Iran's most influential newspaper and a close confidant of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei -- stated that attacks on "Zionists, Americans, and European countries that support Israel," as well as on compliant regional rulers, were both morally permissible and easily carried out
۲۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۸
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Britain and the Middle East
On January 15, 2008, British ambassador to the United States Sir Nigel Sheinwald addressed a Washington Institute Policy Forum. Prior to assuming his position in October 2007, he served as chief foreign and defense policy advisor to Prime Minister Tony Blair. The following are edited excerpts from his presentation; listen
۲۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۸

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