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Policy Analysis
All Policy Analysis by David Schenker
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Articles & Testimony
The Risks of Israel's Gaza Incursion
Prior to the latest ground campaign in Gaza, Hamas appeared to be losing relevance and legitimacy, but Israel's offensive -- however justifiable -- could restore both.
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David Schenker
Judith Miller
Articles & Testimony
Countering the ISIS Threat to Jordan
Since last summer the Obama administration has been missing in action as the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham, or ISIS, conquered much of Syria and Iraq. But as the terrorist organization now turns its sights on the pro-Western Kingdom of Jordan, Washington can no longer ignore its territorial gains
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
U.S. Support to Counter Egypt's Insurgency (Still) on Hold
The policy of conditioning delivery of Apache helicopters and other equipment enhances neither freedom in Egypt nor the prospect of defeating Islamist militants in the Sinai.
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Moral Math of Trading with Enemies
The Bowe Bergdahl controversy has brought renewed attention to the costs of trading for hostages, and how the United States, Israel, and other countries weigh those costs.
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Jordan Has a Jihadi Problem Too
The full extent of Salafi jihadist inroads in the kingdom will likely remain unknown until the war in Syria ends, but the current indicators are troubling.
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Lebanon Unstable and Insecure
Military coordination with Hezbollah may be providing a quick fix, but the country's long-term strength can only be achieved with a reconstituted March 14 coalition.
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Salafi Jihadists on the Rise in Jordan
The longer the war in Syria continues, the greater the threat these fighters will likely pose.
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Lebanon's Presidential Race
The thorny parliamentary process of selecting a new president could rekindle violence if it results in substantial delays or further sectarian friction.
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Why Refugee Influx Threatens Lebanon, Jordan Stability
Regardless of how much relief money is spent, life for the refugees in Lebanon and Jordan will become increasingly inhospitable absent a horizon for return to Syria.
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
How Syria's Civil War Threatens Lebanon's Fragile Peace
Less than a generation removed from the 15-year civil war that claimed nearly 200,000 lives, Lebanon again appears to be hurtling toward instability.
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Jordan's Energy Balancing Act
A deal to buy Israeli natural gas can help mitigate the kingdom's energy shortage and steer Amman away from problematic nuclear plans, but it risks stirring domestic opposition.
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David Schenker
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Arms Deal with Russia: Potential Strategic Costs
Cairo's possible purchase of advanced weapons systems from Russia could become another irritant in U.S.-Egyptian relations.
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David Schenker
Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Jordan Not Out of the Woods Yet
President Obama's reaffirmed pledges of assistance to Jordan are helpful, but they may not be enough to safeguard the country if the situation in Syria continues to fester.
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Syria Cheats
The regime's long history of reneging on promises and legal obligations does not bode well for full implementation of the chemical weapons deal.
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David Schenker
Video
Syria's Spillover: Will Israel Be Drawn In?
The complexities and dynamics of the Syrian conflict make it distinctly possible that Israel could become militarily involved -- even though none of the actors are interested in that outcome.
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Jeffrey White
David Schenker
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