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Policy Analysis
All Policy Analysis by David Schenker
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Articles & Testimony
The Middle East's Next Nuclear Power?
In the face of stiff opposition and ongoing economic and security challenges, Jordan may delay its decision on building nuclear reactors for now, but energy shortages could force its hand in the longer term.
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah's Limited Options After Israeli Strike
With its Lebanese Shiite constituency increasingly vulnerable, its Iranian patron hobbled by other commitments, and its regional reputation in tatters, Hezbollah will likely think twice before responding forcefully to the Quneitra attack.
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Jordan's Fight Against the Islamic State Remains Complicated
Threatened by ISIS and beholden to Washington, Amman will continue to play a critical role in the coalition, but its involvement comes with a domestic political cost.
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
A Moment of Decision on Egypt
Washington is all but certain to resume its military financing to Egypt at some point, but there is little to be gained and potentially much to be lost by waiting for Cairo's Federal Reserve accounts to zero out in the meantime.
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Jordan's King Abdullah Comes to Washington
Friday's meeting offers an opportunity to discuss the kingdom's domestic challenges, the proposed no-fly zone in northern Syria, and the potential ramifications of ramped-up training of Syrian opposition forces on Jordanian territory.
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Obama Administration Should Be Helping Egypt, Not Punishing It
Helping Cairo defeat jihadis -- at minimum by delivering long-postponed weapons systems -- would be more productive than punishing it for its repressive approach in Sinai.
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David Schenker
Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Twenty Years of Israeli-Jordanian Peace: A Brief Assessment
The treaty's trade and security benefits have been considerable, though many Jordanians continue to reject the likely economic windfall that full normalization could bring.
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
There's a Worrisome Amount of Support in Jordan for the Islamic State
As the palace dispatches bombing sorties and mitigates immediate threats posed by ISIS, the ongoing dynamic in Syria guarantees a growing and potentially destabilizing reservoir of Jordanian popular sympathy for the group.
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Next Front Line in the Islamic State Onslaught
Lebanon's precarious state has worsened as ISIS beheads citizens and holds troops and police hostage.
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Defeat ISIS Without Abetting Evildoers
Hesitance among U.S. regional allies and short-term expediency are no excuse to align with the regimes in Iran and Syria.
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Jordan's Energy Decision: Go with Israel
Today's draft agreement will have to withstand domestic and foreign pressure on Amman.
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Simon Henderson
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Preventing ISIS Inroads in Jordan
Amman appears committed to difficult economic reforms, but militant Islamists -- and controversial palace initiatives -- continue to challenge the kingdom's stability.
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Hariri Returns to Lebanon: The Challenges Ahead
If Hariri is to lead Lebanon out of the current morass, he will have to take a risk and stray from Beirut's well-worn path of complete acquiescence to Hezbollah.
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Best Friends Don't Have to Ask
When Israel cracks into its U.S.-funded weapons stockpile, even President Obama doesn't hear about it.
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David Schenker
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