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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

إيران

Policy Analysis on إيران

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Brief Analysis
Iran Makes Itself More Vulnerable to Outside Pressure
If oil income falters due to falling prices or sanctions, Tehran will have great difficulty paying its promised $45 billion per year in public subsidies, making the regime more susceptible to foreign pressure.
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  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Rolling Back Tehran's Veil of Nuclear Ambiguity
Unless the United States reverses the current dynamic, Iran could reap the perceived benefits of being a nuclear power even without building a bomb.
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah: Party of Fraud
Worldwide efforts aimed at Hezbollah's criminal rather than terrorist activities would weaken the group's support network and undermine its reputation at home and abroad.
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  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Iranian Doublespeak on the Anniversary of the AMIA Bombing
Iran's recent offer to assist in the 1994 AMIA bombing investigation is nothing more than a political game.
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Iran's Policy Confusion about Bahrain
Iran's inability to aid Bahraini protestors could reduce its political influence among Shiite Arabs.
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Iran and Syria: Next Steps
Testimony before the U.S. House of Representatives, Committee on Foreign Affairs. Four months ago, I had the privilege of testifying to this committee when the hope and optimism of the potential for democratic change in the region was at its height. Now that we have seen what reactionary forces in
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  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Supreme Succession
Within the Islamic Republic of Iran, both the democratic movement and internal conflict raise questions about the regime's stability. Should Ayatollah Ali Khamenei die -- or become unable to carry out his position as supreme leader -- the regime's stability rests on the peaceful transition of power.
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Iran and Syria
Iran has been trying to claim credit for the Arab Spring uprisings in Tunisia and Egypt as being inspired by the 1979 Islamic revolution, yet the Syrian case has created the need for Iran to formulate a new narrative to explain why a genuine popular uprising was threatening its closest Arab ally.
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
What Would War with Iran Look Like?
Those who fear Iranian nuclear weapons above all else tend to minimize the risks of using force, while those who fear war tend to exaggerate them.
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  • Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
The Ayatollah Will Overwhelm Ahmadinejad
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has now made the mistake that all Iranian presidents have made: he has challenged the authority of the country's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and he is doomed to fail.
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
In-Depth Reports
The Iraqi Security Forces:
Local Context and U.S. Assistance
Over the past several decades, the Iraqi Security Forces have been shaped not only by external wars, but also by local factors. As the December 2011 deadline for full U.S. military withdrawal approaches, the success of American assistance in Iraq will rely more than ever on a clear understanding of
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Syria Strategy: Heavy Meddle
If the Asad regime falls in Syria, a key link in Iran's strategic chain across the region would be broken.
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  • Michael Singh
In-Depth Reports
When the Dust Settles: The Middle East, Circa 2016
On May 13, 2011, Robin Wright, Robert Kagan, and Martin Kramer addressed The Washington Institute's 2011 Soref Symposium. Ms. Wright, a distinguished journalist who has reported from more than 140 countries, is a senior fellow at the United States Institute of Peace and a distinguished scholar at the Woodrow Wilson
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  • Robin Wright
  • Robert Kagan
  • Martin Kramer
In-Depth Reports
Michael Stein Address on U.S. Middle East Policy
On May 12, 2011, National Security Advisor Thomas E. Donilon delivered the Michael Stein Address on U.S. Middle East Policy at The Washington Institute's 2011 Soref Symposium. Mr. Donilon is national security advisor to President Obama, a post he has held since October 2010. During the Clinton administration, he served
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  • Thomas Donilon
Brief Analysis
Iran's Influence in Iraq
On April 29, 2011, Ahmed Ali, Michael Knights, and Michael Eisenstadt addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Mr. Ali is a Marcia Robbins-Wilf research associate at the Institute, focusing on Iraqi political dynamics. Dr. Knights is a Lafer fellow at the Institute, specializing in the military and security
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  • Ahmed Ali
  • Michael Knights
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Islamic Revolution: Lessons for the Arab Spring of 2011?
Does the behavior of Iran's armed forces during and after the 1979 revolution hold relevant lessons for current unrest in the Middle East?
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In-Depth Reports
Iran's Influence in Iraq:
Countering Tehran's Whole-of-Government Approach
Since the overthrow of Saddam Hussein's regime in 2003, Iran has tried to establish itself as the key external power broker in Iraq by exploiting ties with key parties, arming and training militias, and exerting economic, religious, and informational influence. Although these efforts have yielded mixed results thus far, the
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Michael Knights
  • Ahmed Ali
Brief Analysis
Washington and the UAE Discuss Iran
Sheikh Muhammad's visit is an opportunity for the White House to clarify its views on Iran, which the Gulf Arab countries do not see as being subject to the standards of universal political freedoms otherwise espoused by Washington.
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran's Continuing Power Struggles
The power struggle between Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and President Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad continues. Signs of deep fissures in the conservative camp are emerging just as the Islamic Republic prepares for parliamentary elections next year, the first countrywide polls since the disputed June 2009 presidential election. These divisions, rather than
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
No Good Options for Iranian Dissidents in Iraq
In an April 8 confrontation at Camp Ashraf, Iraq -- home to some 3,400 members of the Iranian dissident organization Mujahedin-e Khalq (MEK) -- Iraqi army forces killed at least thirty-four people, according to UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Navi Pillay. The clash highlighted an ongoing problem: what to
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  • Patrick Clawson

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