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إيران

Policy Analysis on إيران

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In-Depth Reports
Beyond Worst-Case Analysis:
Iran's Likely Responses to an Israeli Preventive Strike
Although an Israeli preventive strike on Iran's nuclear program would be a high-risk endeavor carrying a potential for escalation in the Levant or the Persian Gulf, it would not be the apocalyptic event that some foresee. In this Policy Note, two Washington Institute military experts assess the likelihood of various
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
How Tehran Is Outflanking Washington
Last week's talks in Baghdad between Iran and the P5-plus-1 -- the United States, Britain, China, France, Germany and Russia -- yielded no agreement. Paradoxically, however, both Washington and Tehran are likely to view the negotiations as successful, but for vastly different reasons. There is an interest that both Iran
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  • Michael Singh
Dennis Ross: Political Solution Still Possible with Iran
As world powers make their way to Baghdad for another meeting with Iran in an attempt to resolve the nuclear standoff, former US negotiator Dennis Ross tells Al-Hayat that a political solution is still possible on the issue. Ross, who closely worked on the Iranian file in the last three
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  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Command and Control
This week, the world's major powers resumed negotiations with Iran over its nuclear program. Should they fail, the specter of a possible Israeli strike looms large, seeming to grow more likely as Tehran's nuclear program advances. In recent weeks, however, the conventional wisdom has shifted to favor the view that
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  • David Makovsky
  • Olivia Holt-Ivry
Articles & Testimony
The Clerics vs. Modernity
While the Islamic Republic's soft power fails, the Iranian people's urge to integrate into world culture and economy is unprecedented.
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Avoiding the Containment Trap with Iran
In one of the most memorable lines of his March 4, 2012, speech on the Middle East, President Obama declared, "Iran's leaders should understand that I do not have a policy of containment; I have a policy to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon." However, containment is rarely a
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Too Early to Expect a Breakthrough on Iran
While the upcoming talks in Baghdad are unlikely to lead to a breakthrough, Washington should use them to determine whether a deal is ultimately possible.
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
The Baghdad Nuclear Talks: Three Steps to Help Diplomacy Succeed
Although Washington may be tempted to take whatever progress it can get from this week's nuclear talks, the only agreement worth having is one that resolves Western concerns about Iran's nuclear activities while lessening the threat of military conflict.
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Prospects for Success in the Iran Nuclear Negotiations
While Tehran may be preparing the ground for an interim agreement on terms the West would accept, any deal-in-principle would have to be finalized, put into practice, and followed by fuller agreements.
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  • Patrick Clawson
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The Ayatollah of Rejection May Be Contemplating Compromise
Khamenei's dilemma: To compromise he must save face; but, to save face, he must not compromise.
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Gulf Arab Leaders Meet to Discuss Syria and Iran
The upcoming GCC meeting in Riyadh reflects concern about events in Syria, fear of Iran, and anxieties about Washington's policies.
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Iranian Security Threat in the Western Hemisphere:
Learning from Past Experience
World attention on Iran centers on the threats to international security posed by the country’s nuclear program. As Iran presses on in its efforts to become a nuclear power, the regime in Tehran also employs an aggressive foreign policy that relies heavily on the deployment of clandestine assets abroad to collect intelligence and support foreign operations, all of which are aimed at furthering Iranian foreign policy interests. From a U.S. perspective, Iran’s massive diplomatic presence in the Western Hemisphere presents a particularly acute problem. In response to Iran’s abuse of the diplomatic system, the international community should collectively press our friends and allies in Latin America to severely restrict the size of Iran’s diplomatic missions to the minimum needed to conduct official business.
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  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Sanctions Are Only a Stop-Gap
The question is not whether sanctions have worked but whether the strategy they serve is correct.
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  • Patrick Clawson
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, speaking
Articles & Testimony
The Ayatollah Contemplates Compromise
The new talks have put Khamenei in a perilous position: compromising is as dangerous for him as digging in his heels.
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Changes in Israeli Policy after the Netanyahu-Mofaz Deal
Israel's new national unity government strengthens both Binyamin Netanyahu and Shaul Mofaz, but it will ultimately be judged by whether it makes progress on its foreign and domestic policy agenda.
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  • David Makovsky
Video
In-Depth Reports
Iran Policy Options: Prevention, Containment, and the Nuclear Challenge
Experts tied to the administrations of Presidents Barack Obama and George W. Bush agreed that preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons should be American foreign policy and that an Israeli military strike against the country’s nuclear facilities is inadvisable this year. Speaking to The Washington Institute’s Weinberg Founders Conference, Colin
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  • Colin Kahl
  • Jamie Fly
Video
In-Depth Reports
2012 Weinberg Founders Conference
Navigating the New 'New Middle East': Challenges for U.S. Policy
From May 4, through Sunday noon, May 6, The Washington Institute explored the full range of Middle East policy challenges at the 2012 Weinberg Founders Conference, which brought together policymakers, diplomats, journalists, experts, and private citizens for a lively weekend of discussion and debate. Watch plenary sessions of the conference
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Brief Analysis
Russian Foreign Policy after Putin's Return
Contrary to expectations, Russia's positions on Iran and Syria are unlikely to harden during Putin's third presidential term, which starts next week.
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  • Nikolay Kozhanov
Brief Analysis
Russia's Position on Iran's Nuclear Program
In the April 14 talks in Istanbul, Russia demonstrated once again that it could be a team player. But Moscow's cooperative front with the other members of the P5+1 group originates not in a pure desire to resolve the Iranian nuclear issue but rather in a bid to gain leverage
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  • Nikolay Kozhanov
Articles & Testimony
Back from the Threshold: The Last Chance for Diplomacy to Stop Iran
In this timely and detailed paper, Brig. Gen. Michael Herzog (IDF, Ret.) proposes ways to maximise the chances of success in P5+1 talks to move the Iranians back from their nuclear threshold capacity. Key Points Strong evidence suggests that Iran's nuclear programme is intended to actually construct nuclear weapons, not
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  • Michael Herzog

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