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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

إيران

Policy Analysis on إيران

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Brief Analysis
To Retaliate or Not: Hizballah's Calculus Following a Strike on Iran
Hizballah's response to military action against Iran could be shaped by rational cost-benefit analysis, a perceived spiritual obligation to defend its Shiite patron in Tehran, or both.
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Khamenei's Strength Could Be a Vulnerability
By weakening the Islamic Republic's institutions and strengthening his own authority, Ayatollah Khamenei may make himself more vulnerable in a time of crisis.
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
No Nuclear Compromise
The Iranian regime will not be able to survive existing sanctions, which are targeting the banking system and oil industry like never before.
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Avoiding a Bad Nuclear Deal with Iran
As the confrontation with Iran enters a new, more dangerous phase, Washington must avoid the temptation of redefining its red lines in a manner that endangers national security.
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
President Obama on Iran: Assessing Key Passages in the AIPAC Speech
Although the president's AIPAC speech offered reassurances that he is committed to the full logic of a "prevention" strategy in dealing with the Iranian nuclear challenge, including potential military action, it also implied a clear preference for Israel to hold back and let the noose of international sanctions tighten.
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  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Need for Consistent U.S. and Israeli Public Messaging on Iran
Washington and Israel need to address their public messaging on Iran, which has undermined mutual trust and efforts to achieve their common objective: a diplomatic solution to the nuclear crisis.
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Iran's Majlis Elections: Whoever Wins, the West Loses
Iran's upcoming parliamentary elections, while vigorously contested, offer no hope for improving U.S.-Iranian relations.
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  • Nikolay Kozhanov
Articles & Testimony
Is the Iranian Regime Rational?
Although some examples suggest rational decisionmaking by Tehran, other Iranian actions seem unencumbered by cost-benefit considerations.
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  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Friendship Under Fire
The Iranian nuclear threat will challenge Obama and Netanyahu's sometimes-rocky relationship like never before.
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  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
How to Construct an Inaccurate Historical Analogy
Resolving thorny policy problems requires not just historical analysis, but also the courage and conviction to choose, amid great uncertainty, among risky options.
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Who Will Lead Post-Khamenei Iran?
On February 13, Mehdi Khalaji, Karim Sadjadpour, and Dennis Ross addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Mr. Khalaji is a senior fellow at The Washington Institute and author of the just-released Policy Focus Supreme Succession: Who Will Lead Post-Khamenei Iran? Mr. Sadjadpour is an associate at the Carnegie
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Iran Is Ready to Talk
Speculation about an Israeli strike against Iranian nuclear facilities is rife, but there is little discussion about whether diplomacy can still succeed, precluding the need for military action. Many experts doubt that Tehran would ever accept a deal that uses intrusive inspections and denies or limits uranium enrichment to halt
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  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Next Up: Turkey vs. Iran
Turkish-Iranian rivalry in the Fertile Crescent has opened up a can of worms.
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
It's Time to Bypass Iran's 'Supreme Leader'
The Revolutionary Guard, with its economic interests and sensitivity to sanctions, is more inclined to strike a deal on the nuclear issue.
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
In-Depth Reports
Supreme Succession:
Who Will Lead Post-Khamenei Iran?
Although Ayatollah Khamenei has given no signs of imminent departure from the political scene, both the confrontational nature of his recent actions and the still-ticking Iranian nuclear clock raise important questions about what will happen upon his death. Will the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps subordinate the new Supreme Leader and
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Money Troubles: The Financial Woes of al-Qaeda's Leaders
Al-Qaeda's finances are at their weakest point in years due to a successful campaign to close off major sources of funding.
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  • Matthew Levitt
Interview on Syria, Iran, and the Israeli-Palestinian Peace Process
There are few people in Washington who know the complex diplomatic shoals of the Middle East as well as Ambassador Dennis Ross. Over the course of three administrations -- both Republican and Democrat -- he has witnessed multiple efforts to create a lasting peace between Israel and Palestine, crafted a
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
America, the Middle East, and U.S. Politics circa 2012
On January 17, 2012, Stanley Greenberg and Susan Glasser addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Mr. Greenberg, the chairman and CEO of Greenberg Quinlan Rosner, has served as polling advisor to an array of world leaders, including Bill Clinton, Al Gore, Tony Blair, Nelson Mandela, and Ehud Barak
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Brief Analysis
Calculating Victory: How Iran Views Confronting the United States
If Washington does not demonstrate through both word and deed the risks that Tehran faces, overly optimistic Iranian hardliners may wrongly decide that the benefits of a confrontation in the Strait of Hormuz outweigh the costs.
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  • Patrick Clawson
Michael Singh on C-SPAN
Appearing on C-SPAN's Washington Journal, Institute managing director Michael Singh talked about Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. Topics included Tehran's warning to Washington that the aircraft carrier USS John C. Stennis should not return to the Persian Gulf, the strategic and economic importance of the Strait of Hormuz, and
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  • Michael Singh

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