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انتشار الأسلحة

Policy Analysis on انتشار الأسلحة

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Brief Analysis
Dealing with Syria's Chemical Weapons: Military Options
Given the complexities of military action, Washington and its partners should pursue a policy of deterrence, assistance, containment, and elimination to prevent the use or diversion of Syria's chemical arsenal.
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Can It Get Worse in Syria? It Just Did
Syria's descent into ever-greater violence steepened yesterday. Driven by the regime's desperate attempt to stay in power, an already ugly conflict took an ominous turn with the reported movement of chemical munitions and what appears to be the worst massacre of civilians yet. CHEMICAL WEAPONS MOVEMENT Although details are lacking
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  • Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Oil Sanctions against Iran Will Not Be Enough
Predictably, last week's "expert level" talks between Iran and world powers were no more fruitful than previous rounds, leaving little optimism for a negotiated resolution to the nuclear crisis anytime soon. Western policymakers, buoyed by their success in reducing Iran's oil exports, appear content to give sanctions more time to
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Not by Sanctions Alone: Using Intelligence and Military Means to Bolster Diplomacy with Iran
To bolster diplomacy with Iran, the United States must intensify intelligence operations and more actively use the military instrument to alter Tehran's threat calculus.
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Iran Confident As Sanctions Tighten
Iran sees itself in a strong position relative to the West and therefore believes it has little reason to be forthcoming in nuclear negotiations.
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  • Patrick Clawson
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Calling Iran's Bluff: It's Time to Offer Tehran a Civilian Nuclear Program
The ultimate goal of the ongoing nuclear negotiations with Iran, the next round of which commences in Moscow on June 18, has always been the same: Determining whether Iran is willing to accept that its nuclear program must be credibly limited in a way that precludes it from being able
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Russia's Modest Hopes for the Moscow Summit with Iran
Despite widespread skepticism, Russian authorities still hope that the upcoming P5+1 summit will be another small step toward settlement of the Iranian nuclear issue.
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  • Nikolay Kozhanov
In-Depth Reports
Russia's Relations with Iran:
Dialogue without Commitments
Under current conditions, it would be naive to expect Russia to severely curtail its relations with Tehran or officially support the West's stance on the nuclear question. Given Iran's importance as a regional player, Moscow simply cannot afford confrontation with its southern neighbor. At the same time, Russia's pragmatic, cost-benefit
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  • Nikolay Kozhanov
In-Depth Reports
Beyond Worst-Case Analysis:
Iran's Likely Responses to an Israeli Preventive Strike
Although an Israeli preventive strike on Iran's nuclear program would be a high-risk endeavor carrying a potential for escalation in the Levant or the Persian Gulf, it would not be the apocalyptic event that some foresee. In this Policy Note, two Washington Institute military experts assess the likelihood of various
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
How Tehran Is Outflanking Washington
Last week's talks in Baghdad between Iran and the P5-plus-1 -- the United States, Britain, China, France, Germany and Russia -- yielded no agreement. Paradoxically, however, both Washington and Tehran are likely to view the negotiations as successful, but for vastly different reasons. There is an interest that both Iran
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  • Michael Singh
Dennis Ross: Political Solution Still Possible with Iran
As world powers make their way to Baghdad for another meeting with Iran in an attempt to resolve the nuclear standoff, former US negotiator Dennis Ross tells Al-Hayat that a political solution is still possible on the issue. Ross, who closely worked on the Iranian file in the last three
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  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Command and Control
This week, the world's major powers resumed negotiations with Iran over its nuclear program. Should they fail, the specter of a possible Israeli strike looms large, seeming to grow more likely as Tehran's nuclear program advances. In recent weeks, however, the conventional wisdom has shifted to favor the view that
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  • David Makovsky
  • Olivia Holt-Ivry
Articles & Testimony
Avoiding the Containment Trap with Iran
In one of the most memorable lines of his March 4, 2012, speech on the Middle East, President Obama declared, "Iran's leaders should understand that I do not have a policy of containment; I have a policy to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon." However, containment is rarely a
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Too Early to Expect a Breakthrough on Iran
While the upcoming talks in Baghdad are unlikely to lead to a breakthrough, Washington should use them to determine whether a deal is ultimately possible.
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
The Baghdad Nuclear Talks: Three Steps to Help Diplomacy Succeed
Although Washington may be tempted to take whatever progress it can get from this week's nuclear talks, the only agreement worth having is one that resolves Western concerns about Iran's nuclear activities while lessening the threat of military conflict.
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Prospects for Success in the Iran Nuclear Negotiations
While Tehran may be preparing the ground for an interim agreement on terms the West would accept, any deal-in-principle would have to be finalized, put into practice, and followed by fuller agreements.
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  • Patrick Clawson
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The Ayatollah of Rejection May Be Contemplating Compromise
Khamenei's dilemma: To compromise he must save face; but, to save face, he must not compromise.
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, speaking
Articles & Testimony
The Ayatollah Contemplates Compromise
The new talks have put Khamenei in a perilous position: compromising is as dangerous for him as digging in his heels.
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Video
In-Depth Reports
Remarks by Denis McDonough, Deputy National Security Advisor
Deputy National Security Advisor Denis McDonough believes that the relationship between President Barack Obama and Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu is “workmanlike” and enables the two leaders to immediately address the important issues on their agendas. Speaking to the Washington Institute for Near East Policy’s Weinberg Founders Conference, McDonough stated that
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  • Denis McDonough
Video
In-Depth Reports
Iran Policy Options: Prevention, Containment, and the Nuclear Challenge
Experts tied to the administrations of Presidents Barack Obama and George W. Bush agreed that preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons should be American foreign policy and that an Israeli military strike against the country’s nuclear facilities is inadvisable this year. Speaking to The Washington Institute’s Weinberg Founders Conference, Colin
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  • Colin Kahl
  • Jamie Fly

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Featured experts

Patrick Clawson
پاتريك كلاوسون
الدكتور پاتريك كلاوسون هو زميل أقدم في برنامج الزمالة "مورنينجستار" ومستشار الأبحاث في معهد واشنطن.
Michael Singh
مايكل سينغ
مايكل سينغ هو زميل أقدم في زمالة “لين- سويغ” والمدير الإداري في معهد واشنطن.
Simon Henderson
سايمون هندرسون
سايمون هندرسون هو زميل أقدم في برنامج الزمالة "بيكر" ومدير "برنامج برنشتاين لشؤون الخليج وسياسة الطاقة" في معهد واشنطن، ومتخصص في شؤون الطاقة والدول العربية المحافظة في الخليج العربي.
Henry Rome
هنري روم
هنري روم هو زميل أقدم في معهد واشنطن لسياسة الشرق الأدنى، متخصص في العقوبات على إيران والقضايا الاقتصادية والنووية.
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