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مقالهها و دیدگاهها
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Brief Analysis
Curbing Outside Intervention in the Sudan War
Diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict are being challenged by U.S. partners and adversaries alike, including key Middle East players.
۴ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Jonathan Campbell-James
Brief Analysis
The Imminent, Avoidable U.S.-Israel Rift Over Gaza
Alliance management in wartime is never easy, but bilateral disagreements over how to address humanitarian and postwar issues risk becoming an enduring feature of the relationship if left unresolved.
۴ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Continuing Threat of ISIS in Iraq after the Withdrawal of the International Coalition
Without active and continuous deterrence, ISIS forces may look to take advantage of the deteriorating security and governance situation in areas formerly under their control.
۴ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Omar Dhabian
Brief Analysis
G42 and the China-UAE-U.S. Triangle
By sharing very specific concerns directly with the United Arab Emirates, the White House and Congress were rewarded with tangible action on a key company’s ties to Beijing—though more such engagement is needed to keep regional partners aware of U.S. risk tolerance.
۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Andrew G. Clemmensen
Rebecca Redlich
Grant Rumley
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
New Options for Iraq's Axis of Resistance Players (Part 1): Attacks on Israel
Nujaba is signaling that it was the key player in nearly twenty strikes on Israel after the "resistance" halted attacks on U.S. bases in February.
۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
New Options for Iraq's Axis of Resistance Players (Part 2): Opening the Jordan Front
With Nujaba seemingly leading on Israel strikes, Kataib Hezbollah is signaling its intended leadership of destabilizing activities in Jordan, an increasingly important base for U.S. forces.
۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Avoiding Iranian-Backed Iraqi Militias’ Political Takeover in the Shadow of a U.S. Withdrawal
Washington and allies should find ways to increase the cost to Iraqi politicians of normalizing the militias’ role and the subordination of the Iraqi state to Tehran’s rulers.
۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Omar Al-Nidawi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
China’s Governance Workshops Seek to Promote China’s Brand in the Middle East
China is increasingly backing up its narrative of good governance by providing governance training to foreign officials in an attempt to develop the Chinese brand in the Middle East.
۲ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Niva Yau
تحلیل کوتاه
واشینگتن و اروپا باید درباره پیشرفت هستهای ایران یکصدا شوند
تازهترین گزارش آژانس بینالمللی انرژی اتمی نشان میدهد که چرا غرب باید بار دیگر بر برنامه هستهای ایران متمرکز شود. برنامه هستهای ایران در حالی همچنان رو به گسترش است که به نظر میرسد اراده جهانی برای پرداختن به آن در حال کاهش است.
۲ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
مایکل سینگ
Brief Analysis
Unlike Airdrops, Maritime Aid Corridors Can Actually Help Gaza
Two nascent sea corridors could augment land routes and help Gaza return to or even exceed prewar aid levels—though internal distribution challenges still need to be resolved.
۲ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Andrew G. Clemmensen
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Federal Supreme Court’s Role in Iraq’s Eroding Democracy
Iraq is in real danger of losing its checks and balances and failing as a constitutional democracy due to the rapid collapse of a separation of powers.
۱ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Hemin Hawrami
Brief Analysis
Changing the Israel-Lebanon Status Quo: U.S. Options
From exploring land border talks to boosting Israel’s arsenal and recasting UNIFIL, Washington should do more to slow what may be an inevitable slide toward war on this front.
۱ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
David Schenker
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Navigating Cybersecurity and Surveillance: Iran's Dual Strategy for National Security
While Iranian officials acknowledge the significance of cyber tools and AI for foreign policy, they are acutely aware of the country’s financial and scientific limitations.
۲۹ مارس ۲۰۲۴
◆
Nima Khorrami
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A House Divided: Can Kurdistan Preserve Its Autonomy?
The KRG’s autonomy hangs in the balance, caught in a pincer movement between internal political discord and a history of externally imposed limitations. The recent court rulings are merely the latest blow, further restricting the KRG’s ability to govern itself.
۲۷ مارس ۲۰۲۴
◆
Ruwayda Mustafah
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Gaza Fatality Data Has Become Completely Unreliable
Given the discrepancies in official Palestinian counts and their growing reliance on questionable data from media reports, the credibility gaps revealed by a previous Washington Institute study have become yawning chasms.
۲۶ مارس ۲۰۲۴
◆
Gabriel Epstein
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sudanese Women Trapped Between Conflict and Political Marginalization in Peace Negotiations
Now more than ever, it is crucial to effectively include women's issues in peace talks and transitional negotiations, ensuring that their representation is proportionate to their realities and contributions to society.
۲۵ مارس ۲۰۲۴
◆
Areej Elhag
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Obstacles and Options in Baghdad-Erbil Negotiations
By finding lasting solutions in coordination with both parties, relations can be mended and the gridlock and animosity that is crippling cooperation between the two parties can be put to an end.
۲۵ مارس ۲۰۲۴
◆
Fawzi al-Zubaidi
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Hisham al-Hashimi’s Killer Escapes Justice
A Kataib Hezbollah hit man was acquitted of all charges despite convincing evidence that he murdered the famous Iraqi commentator and civil society activist.
۲۲ مارس ۲۰۲۴
◆
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
Ameer al-Kaabi
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Istanbul Election Will Shape Erdogan’s Policy Trajectory
If the president’s faction takes the city back from the opposition on March 31, he may feel comfortable enough to focus on more positive legacy-building steps, but a loss could see him double down on nativist and populist policies at home and abroad.
۲۲ مارس ۲۰۲۴
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Video
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State Five Years Later: Persistent Threats, U.S. Options
A U.S. counterterrorism envoy reviews the progress made after five years of fighting the group and explains Washington’s thinking on where the global coalition goes from here.
۲۱ مارس ۲۰۲۴
◆
Ian McCary
◆
Counterterrorism Lecture Series
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