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مقالهها و دیدگاهها
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Brief Analysis
The Twitter Purge and Digital Diplomacy in the Middle East
The company’s crackdown on fake accounts caused a stir in some regional countries, but the expanding use of encrypted messaging platforms may say more about the people’s sentiment toward their leaders.
۲۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Samuel Northrup
مقالهها و دیدگاهها
آیا ممکن است قیمت هر بشکه نفت به دویست دلار و بیشتر برسد؟
تابستان است و هوا گرم. همه میخواهیم به تعطیلات برویم. اما به آن عده از ما که بازار نفت را دنبال میکنیم، حسی حاکی از نارضایتی میگوید که نخواهیم توانست رمان مبتذلمان را کنار ساحل بخوانیم، چون قیمت نفت در مرز انفجار است.
۲۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
سایمون هندرسون
Video
Brief Analysis
Bernard Lewis: Appreciating a Scholar of Consequence
Three distinguished experts and former students of the late scholar share their memories of his life and research.
۲۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Martin Kramer
Katherine Hughes
Michael Doran
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Jordan Navigates Border Trade, Pressures from Syria
Of all the bilateral ties between Arab states, the Jordanian-Syrian relationship has been among the most intense. Various gradations of reciprocal unfriendliness and even open animosity have characterized the two countries’ ties since the 1970s, reflecting the rise of the Ba’ath party and Hafez al-Assad. However, recent economic instabilities pushed
۲۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Shehab Al-Makahleh
Brief Analysis
Reimplementing Iran Sanctions: Where, How, and How Much?
Read or watch a conversation with former Treasury and State Department officials on how the Trump administration should go about renewing financial pressure on Iran's oil industry and other sectors.
۲۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Daniel L. Glaser
Suzanne Maloney
Katherine Bauer
◆
Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah's Corruption Crisis Runs Deep
The group's involvement in human trafficking and other criminal activities is far more extensive than Nasrallah cares to admit, going beyond anything his anti-corruption committee is likely to address.
۲۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Putin’s Golan Comments: Implications for Israeli Security
Moscow has seemingly reaffirmed Israel’s right to keep Iranian forces away from the Golan frontier, but it is unclear whether Assad’s southern offensive will actually help or hinder that goal in the long term.
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran's Posturing on the Strait of Hormuz
The United States steadily continues to tighten the screws on Iran, prompting an upswing in Iranian rhetoric implying that closing the Strait of Hormuz is on the table as a military option in response to U.S. actions. While Iran’s naval capabilities are ill-equipped for a total closure, these threats from
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Firas Elias
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Opinion Survey Insights into the 2018 Iraqi Election
The results of the May 2018 Iraqi elections caught many by surprise, especially in the polling field. A series of public opinion surveys conducted between March and May predicted that the Nasr Coalition, led by Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi, would win the highest number of seats in the Iraqi Parliament
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Munqith Dagher
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Fifth Presidential Term for Bouteflika?
With Algeria’s presidential elections scheduled in April 2019, calls are now being heard from within the Algerian regime for President Abdelaziz Bouteflika to run for a fifth term. This messaging has caused controversy and confusion among Algerians, who are wondering about the unexpressed reasons for regime figures to insist on
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Ahmed Marwane
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq Faces its Next Crisis: Water
While the very earliest civilizations in Iraq grew up around the gifts of the Tigris and Euphrates, millions of Iraqis from the North to the newly revived southern Marshes are at risk from the actions of Iraq’s northern and astern neighbors. Turkey and Iran’s increased limiting of water of the
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Yerevan Saeed
Brief Analysis
Putting Iraq-KRG Oil Relations on Solid Legal Ground
Notwithstanding their decades of contention, the two governments must resolve their differences legally to make way for economic development and stave off public unrest.
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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James Jeffrey
Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
What the Stolen Iranian Nuclear Secrets Do, and Don’t, Reveal
The Israeli revelations make the argument for sticking with the nuclear accord much more difficult to sustain.
۱۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran After the JCPOA Withdrawal (Part 2): Shaping Tehran’s Response
Tehran will likely resort to measured countermoves in the nuclear domain at first, but successful U.S. pressure could spur it to challenge JCPOA limits, take action in non-nuclear domains, or push back against U.S. and allied forces.
۱۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Iran After the JCPOA Withdrawal (Part 1): Lessons from Past Pressure Campaigns
Tehran has generally responded to pressure by issuing threats, ramping up its nuclear activities, accepting temporary limits, and, when the heat is turned up, launching cyber, military, and terrorist operations.
۱۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Syria Could Be on Trump-Putin Agenda, But Options for a Deal Are Slim
In addition to his poor record on keeping promises, Putin has no ability or desire to genuinely restrain Iran, leaving little room for substantive dealmaking.
۱۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Video
Getting Syria Right at the Trump-Putin Summit
Keeping U.S. troops in place is critical to our national security, but American interests don't require the large-scale, long-term ground force that many fear.
۱۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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James Jeffrey
Barbara A. Leaf
Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
After the Match, Saudi Arabia Makes the Real Play
As the FIFA World Cup final approaches, a highlight this year was the four Middle Eastern countries participating for the first time in years. Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia, and Saudi Arabia each succeeded in qualifying, though their respective teams did not make it further than the first round of the Cup
۱۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Danya Rubenstein-Markiewicz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Drawing on Past Lessons for Lasting Peace in Yemen
The Houthi militia’s track record of betrayal and broken promises shows that it only calls for negotiations and is willing to discuss compromises when the group is at a disadvantage. These negotiations allow the group’s fighters to catch their breath, reposition themselves, and launch a new round of violence. Thus
۱۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Moammar Al-Eryani
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Jordan’s Shift Back to the Sunni-Israeli Coalition
Despite recent tensions between Jordan and other stakeholders in the Middle East, shifting dynamics across the region have recently led to the formation of a tentative U.S.-backed cooperation between Israel and such Sunni Arab states as Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and the Hashemite Kingdom. While this rapprochement
۱۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Abdullah Sawalha
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