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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

عرب و اسلام سیاسی

Policy Analysis on عرب و اسلام سیاسی

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Articles & Testimony
Egypt's Islamist Future
The struggle for supremacy between the Islamists and the military is second to a more important political battle: what kind of Islamic state Egypt will become.
۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۲
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  • David Schenker
Eric Trager to «Al-Watan»: «Morsi’s» Hostile Statements on «Septemebr 11» Concerns Washington
۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۲
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Mounting Pressure on the Syrian Army
Unless the army finds a way to relieve growing pressure on its capabilities and cohesion, it will likely collapse, sweeping away much of the regime in the process.
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۲
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  • Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Revolutionary Fallout: Egypt Faces Early Security Challenges
As post-revolutionary Egypt slowly shapes a new political landscape, it faces a resurgent security challenge from extremist groups. David Schenker examines recent incidents, security force capabilities, and the extent to which Islamist political blocs might influence the country's domestic and regional security posture. The following is a summary of the
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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  • David Schenker
Video
Issues in Syria
David Pollock discussed Saturday's emergency meeting in Geneva on the crisis in Syria on C-SPAN's Washington Journal.
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Fluid Alliances: The Syrian Government's Support for and Complicity in Terrorism
The Syrian government's fluid relationships with terrorist groups such as Hizballah and Hamas have been further complicated by the ongoing popular uprising against Bashar al-Assad. This article dissects several of these key relationships, documenting how they evolved before and during the uprising and forecasting how they might change upon Assad's
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
The Clerics vs. Modernity:
Failure of the Islamic Republic's Soft Power
The Islamic Republic's greatest fear is neither a military attack on its shadowy nuclear program nor a forced suspension of uranium enrichment, but a cultural invasion in the form of Western modernity.
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Syria's Kurds in Play as Turkey Ponders Options
Yet another dimension of the Syrian imbroglio is the role of the Kurdish population.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Annan's Syria Action Group a Hopeful Sign
UN special envoy Kofi Annan recently issued invitations for a June 30 meeting in Geneva to deal with the Syria crisis. The participants -- whom Annan dubbed an "action group" -- include the five permanent members of the Security Council, Turkey, and Arab League members Iraq, Kuwait, and Qatar. Annan's
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Iran Confident As Sanctions Tighten
Iran sees itself in a strong position relative to the West and therefore believes it has little reason to be forthcoming in nuclear negotiations.
۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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  • Patrick Clawson
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The Muslim Brotherhood Won an Election, But Is It Really Democratic?
In the stultifying, 100-plus-degree heat of Tahrir Square on Sunday, where tens of thousands gathered to hear the results of Egypt's first relatively free presidential election, the sweaty, and occasionally fainting, masses were morbidly grim. Many in the Islamist-dominant crowd were convinced that Egypt's military junta would anoint former prime
۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Syria Shoots Down Turkish Jet: Washington's Dilemma
The United States must strongly support Turkey even at the cost of diplomatic cooperation with Russia.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Morsi's Victory in Egypt: Early Implications for America and the Broader Middle East
While the authority of Egypt's new president may be circumscribed, it is a mistake to underestimate his ability to influence political change at home and abroad. Before any further embrace of the Muslim Brotherhood leader, the Obama administration needs clarity on how Morsi's policies are likely to affect critical U.S. interests.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
The Rumors of Another Egyptian Revolution Are Greatly Exaggerated
On Wednesday night, thousands of demonstrators descended onto Tahrir Square to demand an end to military rule. It was the twentieth straight night of these protests, and the Muslim Brotherhood marked the occasion by calling on its hundreds of thousands of members nationwide to join an open-ended Tahrir Square sit-in
۲۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
The Revolution in Egypt: Turning Point?
Sixteen months on, the transition in Egypt is not over; indeed, it is just beginning. On the eve of the Muslim Brotherhood's presidential victory, former senior Defense Department official David Schenker testified on how Washington should use its limited leverage in Cairo in the near term, offering a detailed status
۲۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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  • David Schenker
Fikra Forum Interviews New Head of Syrian National Council
On June 15, 2012, the newly elected head of the Syrian National Council (SNC), Abdulbaset Sieda, gave Fikra Forum his first extended Western media interview since assuming the post on June 10. The interview was conducted by Skype, in Arabic, by Fikra Forum editor Lauren Emerson and contributors Maya Gebeily and Jehad Saleh. Key points include: 1. Sieda asserts that the SNC does not lead the FSA, and that this could lead to the "disorganized and haphazard use of weapons" and an "uncontrollable … security coup," as he says has occurred in Libya. 2. He says it would be fine to "coordinate" with the Kurdish opposition and others, rather than try and bring them back into the SNC. 3. He says there could be dialogue with regime elements "with no blood on their hands,” but only concerning "the timing and process of the fall of the regime." 4. He denies that the SNC should do anything to demonstrate its independence from the MB, which is "an essential faction of the Syrian opposition."
۲۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
In-Depth Reports
From Crisis to Cooperation:
Turkey's Relations with Washington and NATO
As recently as 2011, most discussions of the U.S-Turkey relationship necessarily focused on discord, disappointment, and growing concern. With memories of the Gaza flotilla incident and Turkish dissent on Iran sanctions still fresh, the horizon was clouded and turbulent. The intervening months have brought a dramatic turnaround, however. In this
۱۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Rich Outzen
Articles & Testimony
Another Saudi Actuarial Disaster
Washington woke on Saturday to the news of the death of Crown Prince Nayef, who was next in line for the Saudi throne. The collective sigh of relief by senior U.S. officials was almost audible -- even though, within hours, President Barack Obama issued a statement about his "great regret"
۱۸ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Saudi Succession Crisis Is an Opportunity for Change
Washington should bluntly tell the House of Saud that its current system of governance is broken, and that younger princes should be given bigger roles.
۱۸ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Next Egyptian President: Likely Scenarios
Policymakers must prepare for the likelihood that Egyptian instability will continue for some time, rendering Cairo unable to continue its historic role as a major U.S. strategic partner.
۱۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
  • Eric Trager

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Featured experts

David Schenker
دیوید شنکر
David Schenker is a Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Ghaith al-Omari
غیث العمری
*غیث العمری، هموند ارشد انستیتو واشنگتن و یکی از نویسندگان کتاب «خنثی سازی بشکه باروت غزه» است.
Hanin Ghaddar
حنین غدار
حنین غدار هموند فریدمن در برنامه گدولد در انستیتو واشنگتن است که بر سیاست‌ کشورهای عربی متمرکز است. در این برنامه، مطالعات او در حوزه سیاست‌های شیعیان در سرزمین شام است.
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