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All Policy Analysis by سایمون هندرسون
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Brief Analysis
Incident in the Shatt al-Arab Waterway:
Iran's Border Sensitivities
After several days of diplomatic tension between London and Tehran, eight British military personnel who had been captured by Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) were released and flown out of Iran on June 24. The men, who served with the coalition forces in Iraq, had been in three boats
۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Why Americans Die in Riyadh
Three Americans murdered in Saudi capital, Riyadh, in just two weeks. Two of them beheaded, gruesomely hacked off with a knife rather than severed with an axe. There can be few surer ways of attracting the attention of the American public. But then the leader of the gang of Islamic
۲۱ ژوئن ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
European Union Elections:
Implications for Middle East Policy
On June 10-13, elections were held throughout Europe for the European Parliament (EP), the institution that represents the peoples of the twenty-five member states of the European Union (EU). The results indicated a mixture of uninterest (as evidenced by low voter turnout) and a pattern of electorates punishing their incumbent
۱۵ ژوئن ۲۰۰۴
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
OPEC Policy:
A Correction Rather Than a Cure
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is meeting this week in Beirut, where the cartel is expected to confirm a higher production ceiling that should lead to a decrease in international oil prices. Nevertheless, the sharp price hikes seen during the past few weeks have rekindled questions about OPEC's
۲ ژوئن ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Bin Laden Increases His Challenge to the House of Saud
The implications of the assault on al-Khobar are huge. It confirms that there has been a significant shift in the pattern of terror attacks in Saudi Arabia; the battle between Osama bin Laden and the royal House of Saud is shifting gear. Although the casualties are far fewer than those
۳۱ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Now Who Is Brave Enough to Say 'We Must Finish the Job'?
The fiery death of the leader of Iraq's governing council in a car-bomb explosion in Baghdad was a ghastly reminder of the problems facing the country. It's dangerous. We don't know who is causing the violence. And we don't know much about the political leadership that the US occupation forces
۱۸ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Relying on the Saudis:
The Challenge for U.S. Oil Policy
Over the past week, oil prices have exceeded $40 per barrel for the first time since the 1990 Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, and gasoline prices in parts of the United States are now more $2 per gallon. Contributing to this increase were heightened concerns about supply, particularly in the wake
۱۲ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Making Friends
Despite the recent chaos in Iraq and the uncertain future of the country, it is clear that the post-Saddam Hussein Middle East is a very different place. There might not be peace yet between Israelis and Palestinians, but Libya's decision to give up weapons of mass destruction is an indication
۱ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Bush and Blair:
Friends Indeed
Tomorrow's meeting in Washington, D.C., between President George W. Bush and visiting British prime minister Tony Blair was scheduled before the recent outbreaks of violence in Iraq and before Wednesday's announcement of U.S. support for Israel's plan to unilaterally withdraw from Gaza. But both subjects will top the agenda of
۱۵ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Charismatic Preacher and a Crucial Battle of Wills
The next few days will be crucial. Yesterday saw the first armed confrontations between coalition forces and the gunmen who support the young Shia Muslim firebrand, Moqtada al-Sadr. Today the Americans are hitting back with Apache helicopters. The action is across the whole of the Shia south, the area that
۵ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Meeting Qadhafi:
Blair's Kiss of Acceptability
On March 25, British prime minister Tony Blair will meet with Col. Muammar Qadhafi in Libya, marking an important moment in the process of bringing Libya back into the international community. The March 23 meeting between Qadhafi and U.S. assistant secretary of state William Burns suggests that the United States
۲۴ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Terror Attacks and Elections:
The Challenge for Europe
Three days after the terrorist bombings in Madrid, the pro-American, conservative Spanish government was defeated in general elections, to the surprise of many observers. Although officials have not yet confirmed that the al-Qaeda terrorist network was responsible for the attacks, the polling result was immediately interpreted as reflecting electorate anger
۱۵ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Blasts at Shrines Raise Spectre of Civil War
As shocking as today's attacks on worshipping Iraqi Shia Muslims are, they were entirely predictable. For weeks the American and British occupation forces had been fearing violence during the festival of Ashura. I know. I was told so several times when I was in Baghdad a month ago. For the
۲ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Is There Time?
What you see in Iraq is not necessarily reality. A useful early warning was the two soldiers standing on the Iraqi side of the Habur Gate border with Turkey. Their black berets were emblazoned with the metal insignia showing the Iraqi eagle and flag and they certainly looked like Saddam
۱ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Musharraf's Mess
Thursday's front page of the New York Times has a breathless account of Pakistan's rogue nuclear network, and quotes British engineer Peter Griffin as saying he had been a supplier to Pakistan for two decades. To my knowledge, the last time Peter Griffin was quoted anywhere was on the front
۱۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Link Leaks
"My father told me that if ever anything happened to him, I was to call you," said the plaintive, attention-grabbing voice of a young Pakistani woman on the telephone to me Sunday. Her father, a nuclear scientist, had been detained by Pakistan's feared Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI). They had come in
۱۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Pakistan's Nuclear Proliferation and U.S. Policy
Recent media reports suggest that rogue Pakistani scientists have been peddling nuclear secrets across the Middle East for many years. The revelation offsets recent good news from the region -- Iran's acceptance of nuclear inspections and Libya's agreement to give up weapons of mass destruction. The spread of nuclear secrets
۱۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Waging the War on Terror:
Are the Saudis Starting to Turn the Corner?
MATTHEW LEVITT In the wake of the al-Qaeda attacks in Riyadh in May and November 2003, the Saudis have made significant progress toward stemming the flow of funds to terrorists. Though bold and welcome, the Saudi measures still fall short of transforming the kingdom from the "epicenter" of terrorist financing
۳۱ دسامبر ۲۰۰۳
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Matthew Levitt
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Living in the Past:
Saddam's Present and Future
Saddam Hussein's dejected look as an U.S. Army medic looked in his hair for lice will go down in history. His expression of puzzlement, just a few hours after his capture on Saturday night, was, as they say, a picture. Indeed, it has since appeared on the cover of a
۱۷ دسامبر ۲۰۰۳
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Nuclear Spinning:
The Iran-Pakistan Link
Forget, for the moment, Saddam's weapons of mass destruction -- or lack thereof. Consider instead the other WMD conundrum: Iran. Events in Pakistan, where two nuclear scientists were arrested last week, suggest the whole issue is about to blow. (Figuratively, that is.) Last month, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۰۳
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Simon Henderson
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