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Brief Analysis
Security, Peace, and Israel's Strategy of Disengagement
The natural answer to this question is "a Palestinian state." Indeed, during the Oslo process, Israel operated under this very premise. Over the past three and a half years, however, considerable doubts have arisen about whether this is what the Palestinians really want. Of course, the leaders of Hamas explicitly
۱۳ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Brief Analysis
Michael Stein Address on U.S. Middle East Policy:
Iraq—The Way Forward
You have heard President Bush talk about a forward strategy for freedom in the Middle East. The president's vision of the future for the Middle East is predicated on one clear principle: that the advance of freedom and democracy leads to peace and progress for all. As the president has
۱۳ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Stephen Hadley
Brief Analysis
Relying on the Saudis:
The Challenge for U.S. Oil Policy
Over the past week, oil prices have exceeded $40 per barrel for the first time since the 1990 Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, and gasoline prices in parts of the United States are now more $2 per gallon. Contributing to this increase were heightened concerns about supply, particularly in the wake
۱۲ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Greater Middle East Reform:
Building on Literacy
Over the past two weeks, the Bush administration has circulated a revised draft of its Greater Middle East Initiative, a plan designed to support political, economic, and social reform throughout the Arab and Muslim worlds. According to news reports, the new draft -- a version of which will be presented
۱۱ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
In-Depth Reports
Partition without Partnership?
Disengagement and the Future of the Peace Process (Part I)
For some time, we have all been preoccupied with Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon's unilateral withdrawal plan. The fate of the peace process today depends on the outcome of political maneuvers taking place in Israel. And, once again, we find ourselves in a vicious circle, even taking steps backward. Instead
۷ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
In-Depth Reports
Partition without Partnership?
Disengagement and the Future of the Peace Process (Part II)
Four basic assumptions have passed away. The first is the assumption that peace will bring security. Many believed that, once peace was achieved, the motivation behind attacks against Israel would vanish. If we could just reach a peace agreement, some argued, there would be no more terror. Peace, we believed
۷ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Eival Giladu
In-Depth Reports
Security, Peace, and Israel's Strategy of Disengagement
My initial intention was to give a lengthy presentation of the Israeli disengagement plan. The pace of changing circumstances, however, means that no one can guarantee the chances of the plan's being implemented in the near future. I can only say that Prime Minister Ariel Sharon is truly committed to
۷ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
In-Depth Reports
Disengagement and Diplomacy
Jonathan Davidson: The European approach to the Middle East peace process is conditioned by a multitude of factors. I will highlight three of them. First, Europe has a deep and longstanding historical relationship with the Middle East. Second, we are neighbors, particularly since the European Union (EU) expanded to twenty-five
۷ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
In-Depth Reports
An Election Year Debate:
American Foreign Policy and the Middle East
Robert Satloff, The Washington Institute: Dr. Mathews, how would you define "success" in Iraq? Is it achievable, and, if so, what is required to ensure it? What would be the consequences of failure to achieve your definition of success? Jessica Tuchman Mathews: Let me first say that I speak only
۶ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Brief Analysis
Combating Terror Financing in America
Terrorist Financing in the United States While individual terrorist attacks can be carried out at a relatively low cost, the need to recruit operatives and provide them with safe houses, training, and support requires significant funding. The United States has proven to be a good venue for fundraising by terrorist
۶ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
In-Depth Reports
New Challenges, New Strategies:
Debating the Path to Peace and Security in the Middle East
Keynote addresses by Stephen Hadley and Maj. Gen. Giora Eiland. With David Frum, Jessica Tuchman Matthews, Brig. Gen. Eival Gilady, Nabil Amr, Jonathan Davidson, Dennis Ross, and David Satterfield.
۶ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
In-Depth Reports
Iraq:
The Way Forward
You have heard President Bush talk about a forward strategy for freedom in the Middle East. The president's vision of the future for the Middle East is predicated on one clear principle: that the advance of freedom and democracy leads to peace and progress for all. As the president has
۶ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
Stephen Hadley
Articles & Testimony
Sending a Message to the Barber's Wife
April 25, 2004, was a great day for American foreign policy in the Middle East. A sea of protesters converged upon the nation's capital to support women's rights in one of the largest demonstrations for social justice and equality in the history of the United States. As Washington struggles to
۵ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Brief Analysis
Patterns of Global Terrorism 2003:
Behind the Curve?
The State Department released the 2003 edition of Patterns of Global Terrorism last week in accordance with its congressional mandate to provide an accounting of international trends. With several spectacular terrorist attacks, the war in Iraq, and a series of counterterrorism victories, 2003 witnessed profound changes in the arena of
۳ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Jonathan Schanzer
Articles & Testimony
Security and Politics
The current fighting in Iraq was almost inevitable. The new political process we are putting in place is based on elections, and those who know that they are going to lose them have every reason to disrupt that process. The Sunni radicals and the Shiite rebel leader Moqtada al-Sadr realize
۳ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Making Friends
Despite the recent chaos in Iraq and the uncertain future of the country, it is clear that the post-Saddam Hussein Middle East is a very different place. There might not be peace yet between Israelis and Palestinians, but Libya's decision to give up weapons of mass destruction is an indication
۱ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Operations in Iraq Highlight the Need for Better Communication
Operation "Iraqi Freedom" encompassed the full range of modern military missions, beginning with a transition from the "not peace, not war" prosecution of no-fly zones to high-intensity warfare, followed by a security and stabilisation phase that has involved counterinsurgency and counterterrorist operations. Both during and since the war, the Coalition
۱ مهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Sharon's Likud Referendum Troubles
On Sunday, May 2, Likud members will hold an unprecedented party referendum on Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon's Gaza withdrawal plan. Polls among the 193,000 party members suggest rank and file party members may oppose Sharon's plan by a seven to ten point margin. Should Sharon's plan be defeated, this
۳۰ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
UN Plan Fails in Cyprus:
Implications for Turkey, the European Union, and the United States
On April 24, Greek and Turkish citizens of Cyprus voted on UN Secretary General Kofi Annan's plan to resolve the long-standing dispute on the island. The elusive Cyprus issue once again evaded solution: although 65 percent of the Turkish Cypriots voted to accept the Annan plan, 76 percent of Greek
۲۹ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Transfer of Sovereignty in Iraq:
Prospects for a Security Agreement
In congressional hearings on Iraq last week, legislators repeatedly asked testifying administration officials whether the United States would negotiate a formal security agreement with the post-June 30 Iraqi interim government. The officials explained that following the planned transfer of sovereignty to Iraq, U.S. and coalition forces would operate in accordance
۲۷ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Knights
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